NHL Data
This page serves as a landing page for data from the current NHL season. I will update it approximately weekly during the season with new ratings and game predictions. New types of analysis will be added as they are developed.
Updated for games played through October 12, 2025. Games from the 2024 regular season and postseason are weighted at 40%, and 2025 preseason games are weighted at 100%. Changes in the ratings are relative to ratings that do not include preseason games.
Predictive Ratings
Predictive Ratings
Home advantage: 0.303 goals
Mean score: 3.037 goals
Rank Move Rating Change Team Offense Defense
1 +2 0.817 +0.048 Washington Capitals 0.327 0.481
2 +2 0.801 +0.042 Colorado Avalanche 0.412 0.383
3 +2 0.787 +0.096 Dallas Stars 0.464 0.326
4 -2 0.752 -0.027 Winnipeg Jets 0.294 0.443
5 -4 0.749 -0.097 Tampa Bay Lightning 0.539 0.209
6 0.667 -0.006 Florida Panthers 0.280 0.397
7 +1 0.480 -0.005 Toronto Maple Leafs 0.344 0.132
8 -1 0.458 -0.070 Los Angeles Kings 0.009 0.444
9 +2 0.363 -0.026 Carolina Hurricanes 0.264 0.099
10 0.351 -0.041 Edmonton Oilers 0.214 0.145
11 -2 0.301 -0.115 Vegas Golden Knights 0.067 0.238
12 0.192 -0.059 St. Louis Blues 0.083 0.123
13 0.132 +0.024 New Jersey Devils -0.070 0.200
14 +1 0.031 +0.039 Minnesota Wild -0.113 0.147
15 +1 0.021 +0.076 New York Rangers 0.012 -0.003
16 +1 -0.010 +0.076 Vancouver Canucks 0.000 -0.010
17 -3 -0.011 -0.051 Ottawa Senators -0.052 0.029
18 +1 -0.056 +0.093 Montreal Canadiens -0.013 -0.051
19 -1 -0.075 +0.044 Columbus Blue Jackets 0.132 -0.203
20 +2 -0.213 +0.060 Seattle Kraken -0.121 -0.090
Rank Move Rating Change Team Offense Defense
21 -1 -0.225 -0.015 Detroit Red Wings -0.171 -0.066
22 +1 -0.249 +0.042 Utah Mammoth -0.231 -0.011
23 +1 -0.319 -0.001 Anaheim Ducks -0.208 -0.109
24 +3 -0.356 +0.208 Boston Bruins -0.223 -0.139
25 -0.417 -0.092 Calgary Flames -0.388 -0.030
26 -5 -0.431 -0.195 Buffalo Sabres 0.032 -0.455
27 -1 -0.494 +0.020 Pittsburgh Penguins -0.128 -0.368
28 -0.584 +0.003 Nashville Predators -0.475 -0.119
29 +1 -0.617 +0.046 Philadelphia Flyers -0.148 -0.469
30 -1 -0.663 -0.074 New York Islanders -0.336 -0.320
31 -0.988 -0.020 Chicago Blackhawks -0.469 -0.530
32 -1.193 +0.013 San Jose Sharks -0.373 -0.807 Schedule Strength
Schedule Strength for an Average Team
Home advantage: 0.303 goals
Mean score: 3.037 goals
Rank Team SOS Future OppRtg Future
1 Washington Capitals .464 (22) .495 (30) -0.231 (22) -0.034 (29)
2 Colorado Avalanche .536 (9) .495 (29) 0.231 (9) -0.034 (30)
3 Dallas Stars .665 (1) .494 (31) 1.079 (1) -0.041 (31)
4 Winnipeg Jets .550 (7) .496 (28) 0.319 (7) -0.030 (28)
5 Tampa Bay Lightning .462 (23) .497 (25) -0.242 (23) -0.019 (24)
6 Florida Panthers .371 (32) .503 (10) -0.842 (32) 0.021 (10)
7 Toronto Maple Leafs .478 (17) .498 (21) -0.141 (17) -0.011 (21)
8 Los Angeles Kings .611 (5) .491 (32) 0.719 (5) -0.057 (32)
9 Carolina Hurricanes .415 (31) .499 (19) -0.545 (31) -0.009 (19)
10 Edmonton Oilers .419 (30) .497 (26) -0.517 (30) -0.023 (26)
11 Vegas Golden Knights .467 (21) .497 (24) -0.215 (21) -0.020 (25)
12 St. Louis Blues .470 (20) .499 (20) -0.193 (20) -0.010 (20)
13 New Jersey Devils .633 (3) .496 (27) 0.859 (3) -0.023 (27)
14 Minnesota Wild .509 (12) .501 (14) 0.058 (13) 0.003 (14)
15 New York Rangers .477 (18) .500 (16) -0.150 (18) -0.001 (16)
16 Vancouver Canucks .495 (15) .498 (22) -0.033 (15) -0.014 (22)
17 Ottawa Senators .655 (2) .498 (23) 1.011 (2) -0.015 (23)
18 Montreal Canadiens .509 (13) .502 (11) 0.059 (12) 0.009 (11)
19 Columbus Blue Jackets .504 (14) .501 (12) 0.027 (14) 0.008 (12)
20 Seattle Kraken .451 (26) .504 (9) -0.312 (26) 0.022 (9)
Rank Team SOS Future OppRtg Future
21 Detroit Red Wings .486 (16) .505 (3) -0.091 (16) 0.034 (3)
22 Utah Mammoth .562 (6) .500 (17) 0.411 (6) -0.002 (17)
23 Anaheim Ducks .438 (28) .500 (15) -0.400 (28) 0.001 (15)
24 Boston Bruins .454 (24) .504 (8) -0.302 (24) 0.025 (8)
25 Calgary Flames .544 (8) .500 (18) 0.278 (8) -0.004 (18)
26 Buffalo Sabres .474 (19) .507 (2) -0.167 (19) 0.043 (2)
27 Pittsburgh Penguins .453 (25) .505 (4) -0.308 (25) 0.032 (4)
28 Nashville Predators .427 (29) .504 (7) -0.465 (29) 0.027 (7)
29 Philadelphia Flyers .627 (4) .501 (13) 0.818 (4) 0.007 (13)
30 New York Islanders .525 (11) .504 (6) 0.162 (11) 0.028 (6)
31 Chicago Blackhawks .528 (10) .505 (5) 0.186 (10) 0.029 (5)
32 San Jose Sharks .451 (26) .507 (1) -0.312 (26) 0.048 (1) Upcoming Game Predictions
Games on Monday, October 13, 2025
#1: Los Angeles Kings (0.123, 51.95%) at Minnesota Wild (-0.123, 48.05%)
Estimated score: 2.747 - 2.631, Total: 5.378
Quality: 77.00%, Team quality: 67.61%, Competitiveness: 99.90%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.57%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.73%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 13.52%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 28.12%
#2: St. Louis Blues (-0.101, 48.41%) at Vancouver Canucks (0.101, 51.59%)
Estimated score: 2.978 - 3.065, Total: 6.044
Quality: 68.46%, Team quality: 56.66%, Competitiveness: 99.94%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.55%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.75%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 20.55%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 19.52%
#3: Tampa Bay Lightning (0.802, 62.45%) at Boston Bruins (-0.802, 37.55%)
Estimated score: 3.563 - 2.756, Total: 6.320
Quality: 66.37%, Team quality: 55.18%, Competitiveness: 96.01%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.84%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.33%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 24.00%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 16.48%
#4: New Jersey Devils (-0.096, 48.48%) at Columbus Blue Jackets (0.096, 51.52%)
Estimated score: 3.018 - 3.120, Total: 6.139
Quality: 64.67%, Team quality: 52.02%, Competitiveness: 99.94%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.55%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.75%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 21.70%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 18.44%
#5: Colorado Avalanche (0.928, 64.33%) at Buffalo Sabres (-0.928, 35.67%)
Estimated score: 3.753 - 2.838, Total: 6.591
Quality: 63.12%, Team quality: 51.53%, Competitiveness: 94.69%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 26.62%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 28.86%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 27.69%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 13.81%
#6: Detroit Red Wings (-1.009, 34.49%) at Toronto Maple Leafs (1.009, 65.51%)
Estimated score: 2.583 - 3.598, Total: 6.181
Quality: 58.17%, Team quality: 45.82%, Competitiveness: 93.76%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 27.17%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 28.53%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 22.22%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 17.97%
#7: Florida Panthers (0.981, 65.10%) at Philadelphia Flyers (-0.981, 34.90%)
Estimated score: 3.635 - 2.644, Total: 6.279
Quality: 52.94%, Team quality: 39.71%, Competitiveness: 94.09%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 26.97%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 28.65%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 23.47%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 16.91%
#8: Winnipeg Jets (1.112, 67.00%) at New York Islanders (-1.112, 33.00%)
Estimated score: 3.500 - 2.410, Total: 5.910
Quality: 51.19%, Team quality: 38.09%, Competitiveness: 92.47%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 27.93%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 28.07%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 18.99%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 21.10%
#9: Nashville Predators (-0.876, 36.45%) at Ottawa Senators (0.876, 63.55%)
Estimated score: 2.382 - 3.255, Total: 5.637
Quality: 36.09%, Team quality: 22.22%, Competitiveness: 95.26%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 26.28%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.07%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 16.03%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 24.58%
#10: Utah Mammoth (0.436, 56.85%) at Chicago Blackhawks (-0.436, 43.15%)
Estimated score: 3.184 - 2.730, Total: 5.915
Quality: 23.19%, Team quality: 11.23%, Competitiveness: 98.80%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.21%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.34%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 19.04%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 21.05%
Games on Tuesday, October 14, 2025
#1: Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.370, 44.17%) at Washington Capitals (0.370, 55.83%)
Estimated score: 2.943 - 3.307, Total: 6.249
Quality: 94.18%, Team quality: 91.79%, Competitiveness: 99.14%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.02%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.46%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 23.09%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 17.22%
#2: Edmonton Oilers (0.027, 50.42%) at New York Rangers (-0.027, 49.58%)
Estimated score: 3.103 - 3.056, Total: 6.159
Quality: 74.09%, Team quality: 63.78%, Competitiveness: 100.00%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.52%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.77%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 21.95%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 18.21%
#3: Minnesota Wild (-1.059, 33.76%) at Dallas Stars (1.059, 66.24%)
Estimated score: 2.447 - 3.505, Total: 5.951
Quality: 71.62%, Team quality: 62.81%, Competitiveness: 93.15%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 27.53%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 28.31%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 19.46%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 20.60%
#4: Vegas Golden Knights (0.415, 56.52%) at Calgary Flames (-0.415, 43.48%)
Estimated score: 2.983 - 2.563, Total: 5.546
Quality: 57.06%, Team quality: 43.33%, Competitiveness: 98.92%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.14%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.38%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 15.11%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 25.80%
#5: Seattle Kraken (-0.460, 42.77%) at Montreal Canadiens (0.460, 57.23%)
Estimated score: 2.815 - 3.266, Total: 6.081
Quality: 51.66%, Team quality: 37.38%, Competitiveness: 98.67%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.29%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.29%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 21.00%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 19.09%
#6: Nashville Predators (-1.367, 29.42%) at Toronto Maple Leafs (1.367, 70.58%)
Estimated score: 2.279 - 3.651, Total: 5.930
Quality: 40.02%, Team quality: 26.87%, Competitiveness: 88.83%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 30.11%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 26.78%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 19.21%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 20.87%
#7: Pittsburgh Penguins (-0.478, 42.50%) at Anaheim Ducks (0.478, 57.50%)
Estimated score: 2.866 - 3.348, Total: 6.214
Quality: 34.46%, Team quality: 20.37%, Competitiveness: 98.57%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.35%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.25%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 22.65%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 17.60%
#8: Carolina Hurricanes (1.253, 69.00%) at San Jose Sharks (-1.253, 31.00%)
Estimated score: 3.956 - 2.717, Total: 6.673
Quality: 24.29%, Team quality: 12.58%, Competitiveness: 90.53%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 29.09%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 27.38%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 28.85%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 13.06%
Games on Wednesday, October 15, 2025
#1: Florida Panthers (0.589, 59.22%) at Detroit Red Wings (-0.589, 40.78%)
Estimated score: 3.231 - 2.621, Total: 5.852
Quality: 71.34%, Team quality: 60.93%, Competitiveness: 97.83%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.78%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.99%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 18.34%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 21.81%
#2: Ottawa Senators (0.117, 51.84%) at Buffalo Sabres (-0.117, 48.16%)
Estimated score: 3.288 - 3.192, Total: 6.480
Quality: 48.33%, Team quality: 33.61%, Competitiveness: 99.91%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.57%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.74%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 26.15%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 14.86%
#3: Calgary Flames (-0.471, 42.60%) at Utah Mammoth (0.471, 57.40%)
Estimated score: 2.508 - 2.988, Total: 5.496
Quality: 38.95%, Team quality: 24.48%, Competitiveness: 98.60%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.33%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.27%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 14.63%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 26.47%
#4: Chicago Blackhawks (-1.482, 27.87%) at St. Louis Blues (1.482, 72.13%)
Estimated score: 2.293 - 3.801, Total: 6.095
Quality: 21.49%, Team quality: 10.68%, Competitiveness: 87.00%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 31.21%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 26.13%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 21.16%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 18.93%
Games on Thursday, October 16, 2025
#1: Florida Panthers (0.232, 53.66%) at New Jersey Devils (-0.232, 46.34%)
Estimated score: 2.965 - 2.722, Total: 5.687
Quality: 83.72%, Team quality: 76.74%, Competitiveness: 99.66%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.71%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.65%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 16.54%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 23.92%
#2: Colorado Avalanche (0.572, 58.96%) at Columbus Blue Jackets (-0.572, 41.04%)
Estimated score: 3.501 - 2.938, Total: 6.439
Quality: 78.66%, Team quality: 70.49%, Competitiveness: 97.95%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.71%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.03%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 25.59%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 15.27%
#3: New York Rangers (-0.762, 38.15%) at Toronto Maple Leafs (0.762, 61.85%)
Estimated score: 2.766 - 3.535, Total: 6.301
Quality: 70.01%, Team quality: 59.66%, Competitiveness: 96.39%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.62%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.47%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 23.76%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 16.68%
#4: Vancouver Canucks (-1.101, 33.16%) at Dallas Stars (1.101, 66.84%)
Estimated score: 2.560 - 3.662, Total: 6.222
Quality: 69.67%, Team quality: 60.43%, Competitiveness: 92.62%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 27.85%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 28.12%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 22.75%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 17.51%
#5: Carolina Hurricanes (0.379, 55.97%) at Anaheim Ducks (-0.379, 44.03%)
Estimated score: 3.258 - 2.881, Total: 6.139
Quality: 62.49%, Team quality: 49.62%, Competitiveness: 99.09%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.04%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.44%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 21.71%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 18.43%
#6: Winnipeg Jets (1.066, 66.35%) at Philadelphia Flyers (-1.066, 33.65%)
Estimated score: 3.649 - 2.598, Total: 6.247
Quality: 53.51%, Team quality: 40.58%, Competitiveness: 93.05%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 27.59%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 28.28%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 23.06%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 17.25%
#7: Seattle Kraken (-0.505, 42.07%) at Ottawa Senators (0.505, 57.93%)
Estimated score: 2.735 - 3.226, Total: 5.961
Quality: 52.59%, Team quality: 38.45%, Competitiveness: 98.40%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.45%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.19%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 19.58%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 20.49%
#8: Boston Bruins (-0.959, 35.22%) at Vegas Golden Knights (0.959, 64.78%)
Estimated score: 2.425 - 3.395, Total: 5.819
Quality: 50.34%, Team quality: 36.77%, Competitiveness: 94.34%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 26.82%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 28.74%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 17.97%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 22.22%
#9: Edmonton Oilers (0.711, 61.07%) at New York Islanders (-0.711, 38.93%)
Estimated score: 3.420 - 2.708, Total: 6.128
Quality: 47.06%, Team quality: 32.80%, Competitiveness: 96.85%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.35%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.64%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 21.57%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 18.56%
#10: Pittsburgh Penguins (-1.254, 30.98%) at Los Angeles Kings (1.254, 69.02%)
Estimated score: 2.313 - 3.566, Total: 5.879
Quality: 44.42%, Team quality: 31.12%, Competitiveness: 90.52%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 29.10%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 27.38%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 18.63%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 21.49%
#11: Nashville Predators (-0.831, 37.12%) at Montreal Canadiens (0.831, 62.88%)
Estimated score: 2.462 - 3.294, Total: 5.756
Quality: 35.48%, Team quality: 21.60%, Competitiveness: 95.73%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 26.01%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.23%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 17.28%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 23.02%
Games on Friday, October 17, 2025
#1: Tampa Bay Lightning (0.672, 60.48%) at Detroit Red Wings (-0.672, 39.52%)
Estimated score: 3.490 - 2.808, Total: 6.298
Quality: 72.19%, Team quality: 62.21%, Competitiveness: 97.18%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.15%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.75%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 23.72%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 16.70%
#2: Minnesota Wild (-1.088, 33.34%) at Washington Capitals (1.088, 66.66%)
Estimated score: 2.291 - 3.369, Total: 5.659
Quality: 71.64%, Team quality: 62.95%, Competitiveness: 92.77%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 27.75%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 28.18%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 16.26%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 24.28%
#3: Vancouver Canucks (0.674, 60.52%) at Chicago Blackhawks (-0.674, 39.48%)
Estimated score: 3.416 - 2.730, Total: 6.145
Quality: 27.49%, Team quality: 14.62%, Competitiveness: 97.16%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.17%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.75%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 21.78%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 18.36%
#4: San Jose Sharks (-1.247, 31.08%) at Utah Mammoth (1.247, 68.92%)
Estimated score: 2.523 - 3.764, Total: 6.287
Quality: 12.78%, Team quality: 4.80%, Competitiveness: 90.62%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 29.04%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 27.41%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 23.58%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 16.82%
Games on Saturday, October 18, 2025
#1: Dallas Stars (0.293, 54.61%) at St. Louis Blues (-0.293, 45.39%)
Estimated score: 3.226 - 2.946, Total: 6.172
Quality: 86.81%, Team quality: 81.10%, Competitiveness: 99.46%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.83%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.57%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 22.11%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 18.07%
#2: Carolina Hurricanes (-0.397, 43.76%) at Los Angeles Kings (0.397, 56.24%)
Estimated score: 2.705 - 3.098, Total: 5.804
Quality: 82.86%, Team quality: 75.81%, Competitiveness: 99.01%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.09%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.41%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 17.80%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 22.42%
#3: Tampa Bay Lightning (0.521, 58.17%) at Columbus Blue Jackets (-0.521, 41.83%)
Estimated score: 3.627 - 3.111, Total: 6.738
Quality: 78.18%, Team quality: 69.72%, Competitiveness: 98.30%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.51%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.15%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 29.80%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 12.49%
#4: Edmonton Oilers (-0.084, 48.67%) at New Jersey Devils (0.084, 51.33%)
Estimated score: 2.900 - 2.973, Total: 5.873
Quality: 76.96%, Team quality: 67.54%, Competitiveness: 99.96%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.54%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.75%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 18.56%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 21.56%
#5: Florida Panthers (0.795, 62.34%) at Buffalo Sabres (-0.795, 37.66%)
Estimated score: 3.621 - 2.824, Total: 6.445
Quality: 62.09%, Team quality: 49.92%, Competitiveness: 96.08%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.80%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.36%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 25.67%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 15.21%
#6: New York Rangers (-0.225, 46.44%) at Montreal Canadiens (0.225, 53.56%)
Estimated score: 2.949 - 3.179, Total: 6.127
Quality: 61.21%, Team quality: 47.96%, Competitiveness: 99.68%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.70%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.65%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 21.56%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 18.56%
#7: Seattle Kraken (-0.997, 34.66%) at Toronto Maple Leafs (0.997, 65.34%)
Estimated score: 2.632 - 3.622, Total: 6.254
Quality: 58.77%, Team quality: 46.50%, Competitiveness: 93.90%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 27.08%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 28.58%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 23.16%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 17.17%
#8: Boston Bruins (-1.459, 28.18%) at Colorado Avalanche (1.459, 71.82%)
Estimated score: 2.280 - 3.740, Total: 6.020
Quality: 52.13%, Team quality: 40.27%, Competitiveness: 87.38%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 30.98%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 26.27%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 20.27%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 19.79%
#9: Calgary Flames (-1.021, 34.32%) at Vegas Golden Knights (1.021, 65.68%)
Estimated score: 2.260 - 3.286, Total: 5.546
Quality: 47.29%, Team quality: 33.61%, Competitiveness: 93.62%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 27.25%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 28.48%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 15.11%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 25.80%
#10: Minnesota Wild (0.345, 55.43%) at Philadelphia Flyers (-0.345, 44.57%)
Estimated score: 3.241 - 2.893, Total: 6.134
Quality: 42.50%, Team quality: 27.81%, Competitiveness: 99.25%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.95%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.50%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 21.65%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 18.48%
#11: Nashville Predators (-1.639, 25.83%) at Winnipeg Jets (1.639, 74.17%)
Estimated score: 1.968 - 3.602, Total: 5.570
Quality: 40.38%, Team quality: 27.94%, Competitiveness: 84.34%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 32.83%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 25.20%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 15.35%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 25.47%
#12: New York Islanders (-0.954, 35.28%) at Ottawa Senators (0.954, 64.72%)
Estimated score: 2.521 - 3.456, Total: 5.977
Quality: 32.72%, Team quality: 19.26%, Competitiveness: 94.40%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 26.79%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 28.76%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 19.76%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 20.30%
#13: Pittsburgh Penguins (0.396, 56.23%) at San Jose Sharks (-0.396, 43.77%)
Estimated score: 3.564 - 3.184, Total: 6.748
Quality: 13.83%, Team quality: 5.17%, Competitiveness: 99.01%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.09%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.41%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 29.94%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 12.41%
Games on Sunday, October 19, 2025
#1: Vancouver Canucks (-1.130, 32.74%) at Washington Capitals (1.130, 67.26%)
Estimated score: 2.404 - 3.526, Total: 5.930
Quality: 69.68%, Team quality: 60.56%, Competitiveness: 92.23%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 28.07%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 27.98%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 19.22%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 20.86%
#2: Edmonton Oilers (0.274, 54.31%) at Detroit Red Wings (-0.274, 45.69%)
Estimated score: 3.166 - 2.873, Total: 6.039
Quality: 65.90%, Team quality: 53.62%, Competitiveness: 99.53%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.79%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.60%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 20.49%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 19.58%
#3: Boston Bruins (-0.410, 43.56%) at Utah Mammoth (0.410, 56.44%)
Estimated score: 2.674 - 3.096, Total: 5.770
Quality: 41.41%, Team quality: 26.79%, Competitiveness: 98.94%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.13%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.39%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 17.43%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 22.85%
#4: Anaheim Ducks (0.366, 55.76%) at Chicago Blackhawks (-0.366, 44.24%)
Estimated score: 3.207 - 2.828, Total: 6.035
Quality: 21.83%, Team quality: 10.24%, Competitiveness: 99.16%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.00%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.46%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 20.45%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 19.62%
Games on Monday, October 20, 2025
#1: Carolina Hurricanes (-0.240, 46.21%) at Vegas Golden Knights (0.240, 53.79%)
Estimated score: 2.911 - 3.156, Total: 6.068
Quality: 80.71%, Team quality: 72.64%, Competitiveness: 99.64%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.73%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.64%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 20.84%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 19.24%
#2: Minnesota Wild (-0.293, 45.39%) at New York Rangers (0.293, 54.61%)
Estimated score: 2.775 - 3.054, Total: 5.829
Quality: 63.51%, Team quality: 50.75%, Competitiveness: 99.46%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.83%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.57%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 18.07%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 22.11%
#3: Winnipeg Jets (0.867, 63.42%) at Calgary Flames (-0.867, 36.58%)
Estimated score: 3.210 - 2.358, Total: 5.568
Quality: 63.47%, Team quality: 51.78%, Competitiveness: 95.36%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 26.23%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.10%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 15.34%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 25.49%
#4: Buffalo Sabres (-0.678, 39.43%) at Montreal Canadiens (0.678, 60.57%)
Estimated score: 2.969 - 3.631, Total: 6.600
Quality: 42.14%, Team quality: 27.75%, Competitiveness: 97.14%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.18%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.74%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 27.81%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 13.73%
#5: Seattle Kraken (0.100, 51.59%) at Philadelphia Flyers (-0.100, 48.41%)
Estimated score: 3.234 - 3.130, Total: 6.364
Quality: 35.85%, Team quality: 21.48%, Competitiveness: 99.94%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.55%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.75%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 24.59%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 16.02%
Games on Tuesday, October 21, 2025
#1: Los Angeles Kings (-0.037, 49.41%) at St. Louis Blues (0.037, 50.59%)
Estimated score: 2.771 - 2.827, Total: 5.598
Quality: 81.12%, Team quality: 73.07%, Competitiveness: 99.99%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.52%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.77%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 15.64%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 25.09%
#2: New Jersey Devils (-0.651, 39.83%) at Toronto Maple Leafs (0.651, 60.17%)
Estimated score: 2.683 - 3.332, Total: 6.015
Quality: 74.76%, Team quality: 65.52%, Competitiveness: 97.35%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.06%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.81%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 20.20%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 19.86%
#3: Edmonton Oilers (0.059, 50.93%) at Ottawa Senators (-0.059, 49.07%)
Estimated score: 3.071 - 2.991, Total: 6.062
Quality: 73.16%, Team quality: 62.58%, Competitiveness: 99.98%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.53%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.76%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 20.76%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 19.31%
#4: Colorado Avalanche (0.746, 61.61%) at Utah Mammoth (-0.746, 38.39%)
Estimated score: 3.308 - 2.575, Total: 5.883
Quality: 71.60%, Team quality: 61.66%, Competitiveness: 96.54%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.53%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.52%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 18.68%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 21.43%
#5: Columbus Blue Jackets (-1.165, 32.24%) at Dallas Stars (1.165, 67.76%)
Estimated score: 2.692 - 3.856, Total: 6.548
Quality: 66.56%, Team quality: 56.69%, Competitiveness: 91.76%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 28.35%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 27.82%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 27.08%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 14.21%
#6: Florida Panthers (0.719, 61.21%) at Boston Bruins (-0.719, 38.79%)
Estimated score: 3.304 - 2.569, Total: 5.874
Quality: 65.62%, Team quality: 54.04%, Competitiveness: 96.78%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.39%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.61%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 18.58%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 21.55%
#7: Seattle Kraken (-1.333, 29.89%) at Washington Capitals (1.333, 70.11%)
Estimated score: 2.283 - 3.606, Total: 5.889
Quality: 59.55%, Team quality: 48.61%, Competitiveness: 89.35%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 29.79%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 26.96%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 18.75%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 21.36%
#8: Vancouver Canucks (0.180, 52.84%) at Pittsburgh Penguins (-0.180, 47.16%)
Estimated score: 3.254 - 3.070, Total: 6.324
Quality: 46.06%, Team quality: 31.30%, Competitiveness: 99.79%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.63%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.70%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 24.06%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 16.43%
#9: Anaheim Ducks (-0.038, 49.40%) at Nashville Predators (0.038, 50.60%)
Estimated score: 2.796 - 2.823, Total: 5.618
Quality: 33.73%, Team quality: 19.59%, Competitiveness: 99.99%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.52%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.77%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 15.84%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 24.82%
#10: San Jose Sharks (-0.833, 37.08%) at New York Islanders (0.833, 62.92%)
Estimated score: 2.833 - 3.660, Total: 6.493
Quality: 9.50%, Team quality: 2.99%, Competitiveness: 95.70%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 26.02%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.22%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 26.32%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 14.74%
Games on Wednesday, October 22, 2025
#1: Minnesota Wild (-0.404, 43.65%) at New Jersey Devils (0.404, 56.35%)
Estimated score: 2.572 - 2.971, Total: 5.542
Quality: 65.87%, Team quality: 53.74%, Competitiveness: 98.97%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.11%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.40%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 15.08%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 25.84%
#2: Montreal Canadiens (0.058, 50.91%) at Calgary Flames (-0.058, 49.09%)
Estimated score: 2.903 - 2.852, Total: 5.755
Quality: 47.40%, Team quality: 32.64%, Competitiveness: 99.98%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.53%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.76%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 17.27%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 23.04%
#3: Detroit Red Wings (-0.098, 48.46%) at Buffalo Sabres (0.098, 51.54%)
Estimated score: 3.170 - 3.287, Total: 6.457
Quality: 41.35%, Team quality: 26.60%, Competitiveness: 99.94%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.55%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.75%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 25.83%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 15.09%
Games on Thursday, October 23, 2025
#1: Los Angeles Kings (-0.633, 40.12%) at Dallas Stars (0.633, 59.88%)
Estimated score: 2.569 - 3.208, Total: 5.777
Quality: 87.71%, Team quality: 83.20%, Competitiveness: 97.50%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.97%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.87%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 17.51%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 22.75%
#2: Carolina Hurricanes (-0.740, 38.48%) at Colorado Avalanche (0.740, 61.52%)
Estimated score: 2.767 - 3.502, Total: 6.268
Quality: 84.86%, Team quality: 79.55%, Competitiveness: 96.59%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.50%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.54%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 23.34%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 17.02%
#3: Montreal Canadiens (-0.710, 38.93%) at Edmonton Oilers (0.710, 61.07%)
Estimated score: 2.728 - 3.454, Total: 6.181
Quality: 65.32%, Team quality: 53.64%, Competitiveness: 96.86%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.35%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.64%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 22.23%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 17.96%
#4: Seattle Kraken (-1.269, 30.78%) at Winnipeg Jets (1.269, 69.22%)
Estimated score: 2.322 - 3.573, Total: 5.895
Quality: 59.55%, Team quality: 48.36%, Competitiveness: 90.31%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 29.22%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 27.30%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 18.81%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 21.29%
#5: Utah Mammoth (-0.743, 38.43%) at St. Louis Blues (0.743, 61.57%)
Estimated score: 2.531 - 3.282, Total: 5.813
Quality: 54.35%, Team quality: 40.77%, Competitiveness: 96.56%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.52%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.53%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 17.90%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 22.30%
#6: Pittsburgh Penguins (-1.463, 28.13%) at Florida Panthers (1.463, 71.87%)
Estimated score: 2.361 - 3.837, Total: 6.197
Quality: 44.93%, Team quality: 32.23%, Competitiveness: 87.31%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 31.02%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 26.24%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 22.43%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 17.79%
#7: Vancouver Canucks (0.270, 54.26%) at Nashville Predators (-0.270, 45.74%)
Estimated score: 3.005 - 2.724, Total: 5.728
Quality: 42.70%, Team quality: 27.96%, Competitiveness: 99.54%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.78%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.60%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 16.98%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 23.38%
#8: Anaheim Ducks (-0.266, 45.80%) at Boston Bruins (0.266, 54.20%)
Estimated score: 2.816 - 3.075, Total: 5.891
Quality: 40.15%, Team quality: 25.50%, Competitiveness: 99.55%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.78%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.61%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 18.77%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 21.34%
#9: Philadelphia Flyers (-0.909, 35.96%) at Ottawa Senators (0.909, 64.04%)
Estimated score: 2.708 - 3.606, Total: 6.314
Quality: 34.66%, Team quality: 20.95%, Competitiveness: 94.91%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 26.49%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 28.94%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 23.92%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 16.54%
#10: Detroit Red Wings (0.134, 52.12%) at New York Islanders (-0.134, 47.88%)
Estimated score: 3.035 - 2.919, Total: 5.954
Quality: 34.03%, Team quality: 19.86%, Competitiveness: 99.89%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.58%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.73%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 19.49%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 20.58%
#11: Chicago Blackhawks (-2.040, 20.97%) at Tampa Bay Lightning (2.040, 79.03%)
Estimated score: 2.207 - 4.257, Total: 6.464
Quality: 22.43%, Team quality: 12.12%, Competitiveness: 76.79%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 37.51%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 22.58%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 25.93%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 15.02%
#12: San Jose Sharks (-1.517, 27.41%) at New York Rangers (1.517, 72.59%)
Estimated score: 2.516 - 4.008, Total: 6.523
Quality: 14.31%, Team quality: 5.82%, Competitiveness: 86.43%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 31.56%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 25.93%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 26.74%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 14.44%
Games on Friday, October 24, 2025
#1: Washington Capitals (0.588, 59.21%) at Columbus Blue Jackets (-0.588, 40.79%)
Estimated score: 3.416 - 2.839, Total: 6.255
Quality: 78.79%, Team quality: 70.71%, Competitiveness: 97.83%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.78%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.99%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 23.17%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 17.16%
#2: Toronto Maple Leafs (0.608, 59.51%) at Buffalo Sabres (-0.608, 40.49%)
Estimated score: 3.684 - 3.089, Total: 6.773
Quality: 59.78%, Team quality: 46.77%, Competitiveness: 97.69%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.86%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.94%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 30.30%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 12.19%
#3: Calgary Flames (-1.472, 28.01%) at Winnipeg Jets (1.472, 71.99%)
Estimated score: 2.055 - 3.513, Total: 5.568
Quality: 48.93%, Team quality: 36.66%, Competitiveness: 87.16%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 31.11%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 26.19%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 15.34%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 25.49%
#4: San Jose Sharks (-1.628, 25.97%) at New Jersey Devils (1.628, 74.03%)
Estimated score: 2.312 - 3.925, Total: 6.237
Quality: 14.76%, Team quality: 6.16%, Competitiveness: 84.54%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 32.71%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 25.27%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 22.94%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 17.35%
Games on Saturday, October 25, 2025
#1: Carolina Hurricanes (-0.727, 38.68%) at Dallas Stars (0.727, 61.32%)
Estimated score: 2.824 - 3.553, Total: 6.377
Quality: 84.84%, Team quality: 79.46%, Competitiveness: 96.71%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.43%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.59%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 24.76%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 15.89%
#2: Vegas Golden Knights (-0.669, 39.56%) at Florida Panthers (0.669, 60.44%)
Estimated score: 2.556 - 3.230, Total: 5.786
Quality: 82.34%, Team quality: 75.79%, Competitiveness: 97.20%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.14%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.76%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 17.61%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 22.64%
#3: Ottawa Senators (-1.131, 32.73%) at Washington Capitals (1.131, 67.27%)
Estimated score: 2.352 - 3.487, Total: 5.838
Quality: 69.65%, Team quality: 60.52%, Competitiveness: 92.22%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 28.08%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 27.98%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 18.18%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 21.99%
#4: Colorado Avalanche (0.853, 63.22%) at Boston Bruins (-0.853, 36.78%)
Estimated score: 3.437 - 2.583, Total: 6.020
Quality: 66.73%, Team quality: 55.79%, Competitiveness: 95.50%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 26.14%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.15%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 20.27%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 19.79%
#5: Edmonton Oilers (0.262, 54.12%) at Seattle Kraken (-0.262, 45.88%)
Estimated score: 3.190 - 2.923, Total: 6.112
Quality: 66.35%, Team quality: 54.16%, Competitiveness: 99.57%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.77%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.61%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 21.38%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 18.73%
#6: St. Louis Blues (0.114, 51.80%) at Detroit Red Wings (-0.114, 48.20%)
Estimated score: 3.034 - 2.894, Total: 5.929
Quality: 61.74%, Team quality: 48.53%, Competitiveness: 99.92%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.56%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.74%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 19.20%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 20.88%
#7: Montreal Canadiens (-0.349, 44.51%) at Vancouver Canucks (0.349, 55.49%)
Estimated score: 2.883 - 3.240, Total: 6.122
Quality: 59.28%, Team quality: 45.82%, Competitiveness: 99.23%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.96%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.49%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 21.50%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 18.62%
#8: Anaheim Ducks (-1.371, 29.37%) at Tampa Bay Lightning (1.371, 70.63%)
Estimated score: 2.468 - 3.836, Total: 6.303
Quality: 54.06%, Team quality: 42.19%, Competitiveness: 88.77%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 30.14%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 26.76%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 23.79%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 16.65%
#9: Los Angeles Kings (0.738, 61.49%) at Nashville Predators (-0.738, 38.51%)
Estimated score: 3.013 - 2.270, Total: 5.283
Quality: 52.32%, Team quality: 38.50%, Competitiveness: 96.61%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.49%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.55%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 12.67%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 29.49%
#10: Utah Mammoth (-0.583, 40.88%) at Minnesota Wild (0.583, 59.12%)
Estimated score: 2.507 - 3.086, Total: 5.593
Quality: 51.84%, Team quality: 37.72%, Competitiveness: 97.87%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.75%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.00%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 15.58%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 25.16%
#11: Buffalo Sabres (-1.214, 31.54%) at Toronto Maple Leafs (1.214, 68.46%)
Estimated score: 2.786 - 3.987, Total: 6.773
Quality: 47.70%, Team quality: 34.52%, Competitiveness: 91.09%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 28.76%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 27.58%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 30.30%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 12.19%
#12: Columbus Blue Jackets (0.116, 51.83%) at Pittsburgh Penguins (-0.116, 48.17%)
Estimated score: 3.386 - 3.263, Total: 6.649
Quality: 44.16%, Team quality: 29.36%, Competitiveness: 99.92%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.56%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.74%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 28.51%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 13.28%
#13: New York Islanders (-0.349, 44.51%) at Philadelphia Flyers (0.349, 55.49%)
Estimated score: 3.019 - 3.361, Total: 6.380
Quality: 22.56%, Team quality: 10.76%, Competitiveness: 99.23%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.96%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.49%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 24.80%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 15.86%
Games on Sunday, October 26, 2025
#1: Colorado Avalanche (0.366, 55.75%) at New Jersey Devils (-0.366, 44.25%)
Estimated score: 3.097 - 2.736, Total: 5.833
Quality: 85.38%, Team quality: 79.22%, Competitiveness: 99.16%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.00%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.47%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 18.12%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 22.05%
#2: Vegas Golden Knights (-0.752, 38.31%) at Tampa Bay Lightning (0.752, 61.69%)
Estimated score: 2.743 - 3.489, Total: 6.232
Quality: 82.62%, Team quality: 76.45%, Competitiveness: 96.49%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.56%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.50%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 22.87%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 17.41%
#3: Edmonton Oilers (0.058, 50.92%) at Vancouver Canucks (-0.058, 49.08%)
Estimated score: 3.110 - 3.044, Total: 6.153
Quality: 73.18%, Team quality: 62.60%, Competitiveness: 99.98%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.53%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.76%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 21.88%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 18.27%
#4: Utah Mammoth (-1.304, 30.29%) at Winnipeg Jets (1.304, 69.71%)
Estimated score: 2.212 - 3.494, Total: 5.705
Quality: 57.73%, Team quality: 46.29%, Competitiveness: 89.79%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 29.53%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 27.12%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 16.74%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 23.68%
#5: Dallas Stars (1.068, 66.37%) at Nashville Predators (-1.068, 33.63%)
Estimated score: 3.468 - 2.388, Total: 5.857
Quality: 55.39%, Team quality: 42.73%, Competitiveness: 93.03%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 27.60%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 28.27%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 18.38%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 21.76%
#6: New York Rangers (0.135, 52.14%) at Calgary Flames (-0.135, 47.86%)
Estimated score: 2.928 - 2.804, Total: 5.732
Quality: 49.80%, Team quality: 35.16%, Competitiveness: 99.88%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.58%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.73%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 17.02%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 23.33%
#7: Los Angeles Kings (1.142, 67.44%) at Chicago Blackhawks (-1.142, 32.56%)
Estimated score: 3.424 - 2.276, Total: 5.700
Quality: 33.42%, Team quality: 20.13%, Competitiveness: 92.07%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 28.17%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 27.93%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 16.68%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 23.75%
#8: San Jose Sharks (-1.527, 27.28%) at Minnesota Wild (1.527, 72.72%)
Estimated score: 2.365 - 3.882, Total: 6.247
Quality: 14.35%, Team quality: 5.86%, Competitiveness: 86.26%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 31.66%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 25.87%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 23.06%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 17.25%
Games on Monday, October 27, 2025
#1: St. Louis Blues (0.382, 56.01%) at Pittsburgh Penguins (-0.382, 43.99%)
Estimated score: 3.337 - 2.937, Total: 6.274
Quality: 51.38%, Team quality: 37.00%, Competitiveness: 99.08%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.05%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.44%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 23.40%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 16.96%
#2: Boston Bruins (-0.647, 39.89%) at Ottawa Senators (0.647, 60.11%)
Estimated score: 2.634 - 3.275, Total: 5.909
Quality: 46.27%, Team quality: 31.89%, Competitiveness: 97.38%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.04%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.83%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 18.97%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 21.12%Ratings and predictions will be updated on an approximately weekly basis during the season. I expect the next update will be posted around October 20, 2025 with games played through October 19, 2025.