NHL Data
This page serves as a landing page for data from the current NHL season. I will update it approximately weekly during the season with new ratings and game predictions. New types of analysis will be added as they are developed.
Updated for games played through December 29, 2025. The ratings are now determined solely by games played during the 2025-26 regular season. Changes in the ratings are relative to ratings from the prior week.
Predictive Ratings
Predictive Ratings
Home advantage: 0.130 goals
Mean score: 3.040 goals
Rank Rating Team Offense Defense
1 1.730 Colorado Avalanche 0.960 0.774
2 0.791 Dallas Stars 0.418 0.379
3 0.774 Tampa Bay Lightning 0.279 0.487
4 0.699 Minnesota Wild 0.117 0.569
5 0.626 Carolina Hurricanes 0.520 0.116
6 0.298 Washington Capitals 0.177 0.138
7 0.151 Vegas Golden Knights 0.159 -0.007
8 0.146 Florida Panthers 0.149 0.011
9 0.120 Anaheim Ducks 0.459 -0.335
10 0.115 Philadelphia Flyers -0.129 0.240
11 0.093 New Jersey Devils -0.167 0.278
12 0.092 New York Islanders -0.204 0.286
13 0.085 Buffalo Sabres 0.143 -0.061
14 -0.012 Montreal Canadiens 0.352 -0.372
15 -0.034 Edmonton Oilers 0.295 -0.334
16 -0.041 Ottawa Senators 0.141 -0.181
17 -0.055 Detroit Red Wings 0.135 -0.200
18 -0.056 Utah Mammoth -0.163 0.113
19 -0.087 Boston Bruins 0.006 -0.076
20 -0.135 Winnipeg Jets -0.077 -0.052
Rank Rating Team Offense Defense
21 -0.144 New York Rangers -0.575 0.427
22 -0.216 Pittsburgh Penguins 0.088 -0.306
23 -0.296 Los Angeles Kings -0.583 0.288
24 -0.311 Nashville Predators -0.141 -0.170
25 -0.391 Seattle Kraken -0.459 0.071
26 -0.393 Toronto Maple Leafs -0.034 -0.365
27 -0.398 Columbus Blue Jackets -0.141 -0.247
28 -0.415 San Jose Sharks 0.010 -0.423
29 -0.449 Calgary Flames -0.530 0.076
30 -0.583 Vancouver Canucks -0.190 -0.393
31 -0.658 Chicago Blackhawks -0.355 -0.307
32 -1.077 St. Louis Blues -0.657 -0.428 Schedule Strength
Schedule Strength for an Average Team
Home advantage: 0.130 goals
Mean score: 3.040 goals
Rank Team SOS Future OppRtg Future
1 Colorado Avalanche .497 (19) .484 (29) -0.019 (19) -0.102 (30)
2 Dallas Stars .491 (23) .499 (15) -0.053 (23) -0.002 (15)
3 Tampa Bay Lightning .501 (17) .494 (22) 0.008 (17) -0.036 (22)
4 Minnesota Wild .496 (20) .496 (18) -0.020 (20) -0.021 (17)
5 Carolina Hurricanes .506 (10) .488 (26) 0.040 (10) -0.071 (26)
6 Washington Capitals .502 (15) .496 (17) 0.013 (16) -0.019 (16)
7 Vegas Golden Knights .510 (6) .480 (32) 0.068 (5) -0.123 (32)
8 Florida Panthers .508 (7) .496 (20) 0.053 (7) -0.026 (20)
9 Anaheim Ducks .494 (22) .491 (24) -0.035 (22) -0.049 (24)
10 Philadelphia Flyers .499 (18) .505 (11) -0.008 (18) 0.032 (11)
11 New Jersey Devils .520 (2) .486 (28) 0.126 (2) -0.087 (28)
12 New York Islanders .520 (1) .483 (31) 0.129 (1) -0.105 (31)
13 Buffalo Sabres .496 (21) .507 (9) -0.021 (21) 0.040 (9)
14 Montreal Canadiens .485 (28) .516 (5) -0.087 (28) 0.102 (5)
15 Edmonton Oilers .502 (16) .487 (27) 0.013 (15) -0.073 (27)
16 Ottawa Senators .487 (27) .513 (6) -0.083 (27) 0.084 (6)
17 Detroit Red Wings .482 (32) .522 (1) -0.113 (32) 0.140 (1)
18 Utah Mammoth .503 (14) .494 (21) 0.027 (13) -0.034 (21)
19 Boston Bruins .505 (11) .501 (12) 0.033 (11) 0.009 (13)
20 Winnipeg Jets .503 (13) .499 (14) 0.023 (14) 0.001 (14)
Rank Team SOS Future OppRtg Future
21 New York Rangers .511 (4) .496 (16) 0.072 (4) -0.023 (18)
22 Pittsburgh Penguins .487 (26) .517 (4) -0.082 (26) 0.107 (4)
23 Los Angeles Kings .504 (12) .491 (25) 0.033 (12) -0.057 (25)
24 Nashville Predators .506 (9) .496 (19) 0.044 (9) -0.025 (19)
25 Seattle Kraken .491 (24) .505 (10) -0.055 (24) 0.035 (10)
26 Toronto Maple Leafs .483 (31) .522 (2) -0.103 (31) 0.137 (3)
27 Columbus Blue Jackets .510 (5) .501 (13) 0.065 (6) 0.010 (12)
28 San Jose Sharks .515 (3) .483 (30) 0.098 (3) -0.101 (29)
29 Calgary Flames .485 (29) .512 (7) -0.094 (29) 0.083 (7)
30 Vancouver Canucks .507 (8) .492 (23) 0.046 (8) -0.045 (23)
31 Chicago Blackhawks .488 (25) .510 (8) -0.070 (25) 0.063 (8)
32 St. Louis Blues .484 (30) .521 (3) -0.098 (30) 0.138 (2) Upcoming Game Predictions
Games on Tuesday, December 30, 2025
#1: Carolina Hurricanes (0.712, 61.55%) at Pittsburgh Penguins (-0.712, 38.45%)
Estimated score: 3.801 - 3.077, Total: 6.879
Quality: 68.48%, Team quality: 57.64%, Competitiveness: 96.63%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.53%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.74%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 31.48%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 10.78%
#2: Montreal Canadiens (-0.289, 45.26%) at Florida Panthers (0.289, 54.74%)
Estimated score: 3.317 - 3.626, Total: 6.942
Quality: 66.18%, Team quality: 54.00%, Competitiveness: 99.44%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.89%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.80%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 32.46%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 10.28%
#3: New Jersey Devils (0.355, 55.83%) at Toronto Maple Leafs (-0.355, 44.17%)
Estimated score: 3.173 - 2.794, Total: 5.967
Quality: 51.35%, Team quality: 36.96%, Competitiveness: 99.15%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.06%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.69%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 19.09%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 19.87%
#4: Philadelphia Flyers (0.567, 59.25%) at Vancouver Canucks (-0.567, 40.75%)
Estimated score: 3.240 - 2.676, Total: 5.915
Quality: 43.49%, Team quality: 28.99%, Competitiveness: 97.85%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.82%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.20%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 18.49%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 20.50%
#5: New York Islanders (0.619, 60.08%) at Chicago Blackhawks (-0.619, 39.92%)
Estimated score: 3.079 - 2.465, Total: 5.543
Quality: 39.72%, Team quality: 25.36%, Competitiveness: 97.44%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.06%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.04%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 14.53%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 25.33%
Games on Wednesday, December 31, 2025
#1: Tampa Bay Lightning (0.524, 58.56%) at Anaheim Ducks (-0.524, 41.44%)
Estimated score: 3.589 - 3.077, Total: 6.666
Quality: 83.34%, Team quality: 76.79%, Competitiveness: 98.16%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.64%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.32%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 28.30%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 12.57%
#2: Buffalo Sabres (-0.836, 36.51%) at Dallas Stars (0.836, 63.49%)
Estimated score: 2.738 - 3.584, Total: 6.322
Quality: 77.73%, Team quality: 70.16%, Competitiveness: 95.39%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.26%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.27%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 23.52%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 15.89%
#3: New York Rangers (-0.572, 40.66%) at Washington Capitals (0.572, 59.34%)
Estimated score: 2.262 - 2.856, Total: 5.118
Quality: 63.39%, Team quality: 51.03%, Competitiveness: 97.81%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.84%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.18%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 10.75%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 31.53%
#4: Minnesota Wild (0.984, 65.76%) at San Jose Sharks (-0.984, 34.24%)
Estimated score: 3.515 - 2.547, Total: 6.061
Quality: 59.11%, Team quality: 46.96%, Competitiveness: 93.67%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.28%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.62%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 20.21%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 18.76%
#5: Boston Bruins (-0.183, 46.98%) at Edmonton Oilers (0.183, 53.02%)
Estimated score: 3.315 - 3.476, Total: 6.791
Quality: 58.55%, Team quality: 44.85%, Competitiveness: 99.77%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.70%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.93%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 30.15%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 11.49%
#6: Winnipeg Jets (-0.210, 46.54%) at Detroit Red Wings (0.210, 53.46%)
Estimated score: 3.099 - 3.293, Total: 6.391
Quality: 56.12%, Team quality: 42.11%, Competitiveness: 99.70%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.74%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.90%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 24.44%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 15.18%
#7: Nashville Predators (-0.593, 40.34%) at Vegas Golden Knights (0.593, 59.66%)
Estimated score: 2.841 - 3.435, Total: 6.276
Quality: 53.12%, Team quality: 39.18%, Competitiveness: 97.65%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.93%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.12%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 22.92%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 16.37%
#8: New Jersey Devils (0.361, 55.92%) at Columbus Blue Jackets (-0.361, 44.08%)
Estimated score: 3.055 - 2.687, Total: 5.742
Quality: 51.12%, Team quality: 36.71%, Competitiveness: 99.13%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.08%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.68%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 16.57%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 22.68%
#9: Philadelphia Flyers (0.434, 57.10%) at Calgary Flames (-0.434, 42.90%)
Estimated score: 2.770 - 2.336, Total: 5.106
Quality: 49.41%, Team quality: 34.96%, Competitiveness: 98.74%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.30%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.54%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 10.65%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 31.72%
#10: St. Louis Blues (-2.937, 11.27%) at Colorado Avalanche (2.937, 88.73%)
Estimated score: 1.545 - 4.494, Total: 6.039
Quality: 19.20%, Team quality: 11.28%, Competitiveness: 55.62%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 49.68%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 15.99%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 19.94%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 19.02%
Games on Thursday, January 1, 2026
#1: Montreal Canadiens (-0.768, 37.56%) at Carolina Hurricanes (0.768, 62.44%)
Estimated score: 3.211 - 3.997, Total: 7.209
Quality: 72.84%, Team quality: 63.41%, Competitiveness: 96.09%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.85%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.53%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 36.68%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 8.37%
#2: Washington Capitals (0.208, 53.43%) at Ottawa Senators (-0.208, 46.57%)
Estimated score: 3.333 - 3.108, Total: 6.441
Quality: 70.50%, Team quality: 59.29%, Competitiveness: 99.71%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.74%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.90%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 25.12%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 14.68%
#3: Tampa Bay Lightning (0.940, 65.10%) at Los Angeles Kings (-0.940, 34.90%)
Estimated score: 2.966 - 2.035, Total: 5.001
Quality: 65.58%, Team quality: 54.72%, Competitiveness: 94.20%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.96%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.82%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 9.85%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 33.33%
#4: Utah Mammoth (-0.278, 45.43%) at New York Islanders (0.278, 54.57%)
Estimated score: 2.526 - 2.789, Total: 5.315
Quality: 63.12%, Team quality: 50.28%, Competitiveness: 99.48%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.87%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.82%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 12.40%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 28.58%
#5: Detroit Red Wings (0.031, 50.51%) at Pittsburgh Penguins (-0.031, 49.49%)
Estimated score: 3.416 - 3.394, Total: 6.810
Quality: 53.92%, Team quality: 39.60%, Competitiveness: 99.99%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.57%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 32.01%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 30.43%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 11.34%
#6: Dallas Stars (1.318, 70.68%) at Chicago Blackhawks (-1.318, 29.32%)
Estimated score: 3.700 - 2.371, Total: 6.071
Quality: 46.60%, Team quality: 33.73%, Competitiveness: 88.92%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 28.12%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 27.84%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 20.33%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 18.65%
#7: Winnipeg Jets (0.127, 52.10%) at Toronto Maple Leafs (-0.127, 47.90%)
Estimated score: 3.263 - 3.124, Total: 6.387
Quality: 44.97%, Team quality: 30.18%, Competitiveness: 99.89%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.63%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.97%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 24.38%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 15.23%
#8: Nashville Predators (-0.051, 49.17%) at Seattle Kraken (0.051, 50.83%)
Estimated score: 2.763 - 2.816, Total: 5.579
Quality: 39.27%, Team quality: 24.61%, Competitiveness: 99.98%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.58%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 32.01%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 14.88%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 24.84%
Games on Friday, January 2, 2026
#1: Minnesota Wild (0.448, 57.33%) at Anaheim Ducks (-0.448, 42.67%)
Estimated score: 3.426 - 2.996, Total: 6.422
Quality: 82.72%, Team quality: 75.74%, Competitiveness: 98.65%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.35%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.50%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 24.86%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 14.87%
#2: New York Rangers (-0.291, 45.23%) vs. Florida Panthers (0.291, 54.77%)
Estimated score: 2.455 - 2.762, Total: 5.217
Quality: 61.95%, Team quality: 48.90%, Competitiveness: 99.43%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.90%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.80%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 11.56%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 30.02%
#3: Seattle Kraken (0.061, 51.01%) at Vancouver Canucks (-0.061, 48.99%)
Estimated score: 2.909 - 2.844, Total: 5.753
Quality: 30.73%, Team quality: 17.03%, Competitiveness: 99.97%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.58%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 32.01%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 16.69%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 22.53%
#4: Vegas Golden Knights (1.097, 67.47%) at St. Louis Blues (-1.097, 32.53%)
Estimated score: 3.562 - 2.456, Total: 6.019
Quality: 23.21%, Team quality: 11.64%, Competitiveness: 92.18%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 26.16%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.06%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 19.70%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 19.26%
Games on Saturday, January 3, 2026
#1: Colorado Avalanche (0.974, 65.61%) at Carolina Hurricanes (-0.974, 34.39%)
Estimated score: 3.820 - 2.852, Total: 6.672
Quality: 94.92%, Team quality: 95.49%, Competitiveness: 93.79%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.20%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.67%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 28.38%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 12.52%
#2: Philadelphia Flyers (0.019, 50.31%) at Edmonton Oilers (-0.019, 49.69%)
Estimated score: 3.181 - 3.161, Total: 6.341
Quality: 65.66%, Team quality: 53.21%, Competitiveness: 100.00%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.57%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 32.02%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 23.77%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 15.69%
#3: Minnesota Wild (0.864, 63.93%) at Los Angeles Kings (-0.864, 36.07%)
Estimated score: 2.804 - 1.953, Total: 4.757
Quality: 65.18%, Team quality: 53.97%, Competitiveness: 95.08%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.44%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.15%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 8.15%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 37.23%
#4: Utah Mammoth (-0.280, 45.40%) at New Jersey Devils (0.280, 54.60%)
Estimated score: 2.534 - 2.825, Total: 5.360
Quality: 63.15%, Team quality: 50.32%, Competitiveness: 99.47%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.87%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.82%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 12.80%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 27.93%
#5: Tampa Bay Lightning (1.060, 66.90%) at San Jose Sharks (-1.060, 33.10%)
Estimated score: 3.677 - 2.628, Total: 6.305
Quality: 59.45%, Team quality: 47.61%, Competitiveness: 92.69%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.86%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.25%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 23.30%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 16.07%
#6: Winnipeg Jets (-0.224, 46.32%) at Ottawa Senators (0.224, 53.68%)
Estimated score: 3.079 - 3.298, Total: 6.378
Quality: 56.51%, Team quality: 42.55%, Competitiveness: 99.66%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.77%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.89%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 24.26%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 15.32%
#7: Pittsburgh Penguins (-0.292, 45.21%) at Detroit Red Wings (0.292, 54.79%)
Estimated score: 3.263 - 3.546, Total: 6.810
Quality: 52.83%, Team quality: 38.51%, Competitiveness: 99.43%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.90%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.80%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 30.43%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 11.34%
#8: Buffalo Sabres (0.353, 55.79%) at Columbus Blue Jackets (-0.353, 44.21%)
Estimated score: 3.365 - 3.025, Total: 6.390
Quality: 50.93%, Team quality: 36.50%, Competitiveness: 99.16%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.05%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.70%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 24.42%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 15.19%
#9: Toronto Maple Leafs (-0.615, 39.99%) at New York Islanders (0.615, 60.01%)
Estimated score: 2.656 - 3.267, Total: 5.922
Quality: 48.26%, Team quality: 33.96%, Competitiveness: 97.48%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.04%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.06%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 18.57%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 20.41%
#10: Boston Bruins (0.365, 55.99%) at Vancouver Canucks (-0.365, 44.01%)
Estimated score: 3.374 - 2.991, Total: 6.365
Quality: 38.97%, Team quality: 24.43%, Competitiveness: 99.10%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.09%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.67%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 24.09%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 15.45%
#11: Chicago Blackhawks (-1.086, 32.70%) at Washington Capitals (1.086, 67.30%)
Estimated score: 2.482 - 3.590, Total: 6.071
Quality: 38.12%, Team quality: 24.49%, Competitiveness: 92.34%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 26.07%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.12%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 20.33%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 18.64%
#12: Nashville Predators (0.008, 50.12%) at Calgary Flames (-0.008, 49.88%)
Estimated score: 2.758 - 2.746, Total: 5.503
Quality: 37.40%, Team quality: 22.87%, Competitiveness: 100.00%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.57%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 32.02%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 14.14%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 25.89%
#13: Montreal Canadiens (0.934, 65.01%) at St. Louis Blues (-0.934, 34.99%)
Estimated score: 3.755 - 2.821, Total: 6.576
Quality: 21.49%, Team quality: 10.26%, Competitiveness: 94.27%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.92%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.84%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 27.01%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 13.39%
Games on Sunday, January 4, 2026
#1: Colorado Avalanche (1.453, 72.57%) at Florida Panthers (-1.453, 27.43%)
Estimated score: 3.925 - 2.480, Total: 6.405
Quality: 83.06%, Team quality: 81.31%, Competitiveness: 86.69%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 29.47%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 27.01%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 24.63%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 15.04%
#2: Carolina Hurricanes (0.402, 56.60%) at New Jersey Devils (-0.402, 43.40%)
Estimated score: 3.218 - 2.823, Total: 6.041
Quality: 81.04%, Team quality: 73.36%, Competitiveness: 98.91%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.20%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.60%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 19.96%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 19.00%
#3: Montreal Canadiens (-0.933, 35.01%) at Dallas Stars (0.933, 64.99%)
Estimated score: 2.948 - 3.895, Total: 6.843
Quality: 73.45%, Team quality: 64.82%, Competitiveness: 94.29%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.91%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.85%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 30.93%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 11.07%
#4: Pittsburgh Penguins (0.051, 50.84%) at Columbus Blue Jackets (-0.051, 49.16%)
Estimated score: 3.310 - 3.270, Total: 6.580
Quality: 42.20%, Team quality: 27.42%, Competitiveness: 99.98%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.58%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 32.01%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 27.07%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 13.35%
#5: Vegas Golden Knights (0.678, 61.02%) at Chicago Blackhawks (-0.678, 38.98%)
Estimated score: 3.441 - 2.758, Total: 6.199
Quality: 40.78%, Team quality: 26.45%, Competitiveness: 96.94%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.35%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.85%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 21.92%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 17.20%
Games on Monday, January 5, 2026
#1: Anaheim Ducks (-0.308, 44.94%) at Washington Capitals (0.308, 55.06%)
Estimated score: 3.296 - 3.617, Total: 6.913
Quality: 74.39%, Team quality: 64.36%, Competitiveness: 99.36%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.94%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.77%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 32.00%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 10.51%
#2: Minnesota Wild (0.864, 63.93%) at Los Angeles Kings (-0.864, 36.07%)
Estimated score: 2.804 - 1.953, Total: 4.757
Quality: 65.18%, Team quality: 53.97%, Competitiveness: 95.08%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.44%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.15%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 8.15%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 37.23%
#3: Detroit Red Wings (-0.144, 47.63%) at Ottawa Senators (0.144, 52.37%)
Estimated score: 3.291 - 3.447, Total: 6.738
Quality: 59.59%, Team quality: 46.04%, Competitiveness: 99.86%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.65%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.96%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 29.36%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 11.94%
#4: Utah Mammoth (-0.043, 49.30%) at New York Rangers (0.043, 50.70%)
Estimated score: 2.385 - 2.418, Total: 4.803
Quality: 56.33%, Team quality: 42.28%, Competitiveness: 99.99%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.58%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 32.01%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 8.45%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 36.49%
#5: Seattle Kraken (-0.072, 48.81%) at Calgary Flames (0.072, 51.19%)
Estimated score: 2.439 - 2.504, Total: 4.943
Quality: 34.81%, Team quality: 20.54%, Competitiveness: 99.96%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.59%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 32.00%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 9.43%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 34.24%
Games on Tuesday, January 6, 2026
#1: Colorado Avalanche (0.825, 63.33%) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.825, 36.67%)
Estimated score: 3.448 - 2.611, Total: 6.059
Quality: 96.80%, Team quality: 97.45%, Competitiveness: 95.50%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.19%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.31%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 20.18%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 18.79%
#2: Dallas Stars (0.034, 50.56%) at Carolina Hurricanes (-0.034, 49.44%)
Estimated score: 3.277 - 3.247, Total: 6.523
Quality: 94.42%, Team quality: 91.75%, Competitiveness: 99.99%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.57%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 32.01%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 26.26%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 13.88%
#3: Anaheim Ducks (-0.125, 47.94%) at Philadelphia Flyers (0.125, 52.06%)
Estimated score: 3.194 - 3.311, Total: 6.506
Quality: 70.25%, Team quality: 58.92%, Competitiveness: 99.89%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.63%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.98%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 26.02%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 14.05%
#4: New Jersey Devils (-0.129, 47.88%) at New York Islanders (0.129, 52.12%)
Estimated score: 2.522 - 2.624, Total: 5.147
Quality: 68.72%, Team quality: 56.99%, Competitiveness: 99.89%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.63%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.97%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 10.98%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 31.09%
#5: Vegas Golden Knights (0.155, 52.55%) at Winnipeg Jets (-0.155, 47.45%)
Estimated score: 3.186 - 3.036, Total: 6.222
Quality: 63.25%, Team quality: 50.34%, Competitiveness: 99.84%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.66%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.95%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 22.22%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 16.95%
#6: Florida Panthers (0.409, 56.70%) at Toronto Maple Leafs (-0.409, 43.30%)
Estimated score: 3.488 - 3.061, Total: 6.549
Quality: 52.63%, Team quality: 38.39%, Competitiveness: 98.88%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.22%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.59%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 26.63%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 13.64%
#7: Nashville Predators (-0.407, 43.32%) at Edmonton Oilers (0.407, 56.68%)
Estimated score: 3.168 - 3.570, Total: 6.739
Quality: 49.31%, Team quality: 34.82%, Competitiveness: 98.89%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.22%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.59%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 29.37%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 11.93%
#8: Boston Bruins (0.173, 52.85%) at Seattle Kraken (-0.173, 47.15%)
Estimated score: 2.910 - 2.722, Total: 5.631
Quality: 46.46%, Team quality: 31.70%, Competitiveness: 99.80%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.69%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.94%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 15.41%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 24.14%
#9: Vancouver Canucks (-0.798, 37.09%) at Buffalo Sabres (0.798, 62.91%)
Estimated score: 2.846 - 3.641, Total: 6.487
Quality: 39.27%, Team quality: 25.14%, Competitiveness: 95.78%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.03%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.42%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 25.75%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 14.23%
#10: Columbus Blue Jackets (-0.113, 48.14%) at San Jose Sharks (0.113, 51.86%)
Estimated score: 3.257 - 3.363, Total: 6.620
Quality: 35.59%, Team quality: 21.24%, Competitiveness: 99.91%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.62%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.98%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 27.63%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 12.99%
Games on Wednesday, January 7, 2026
#1: Dallas Stars (0.362, 55.95%) at Washington Capitals (-0.362, 44.05%)
Estimated score: 3.254 - 2.903, Total: 6.158
Quality: 88.66%, Team quality: 83.85%, Competitiveness: 99.12%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.08%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.68%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 21.40%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 17.66%
#2: Ottawa Senators (-0.115, 48.10%) at Utah Mammoth (0.115, 51.90%)
Estimated score: 3.003 - 3.123, Total: 6.126
Quality: 59.65%, Team quality: 46.09%, Competitiveness: 99.91%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.62%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.98%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 21.01%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 18.02%
#3: Calgary Flames (-0.568, 40.74%) at Montreal Canadiens (0.568, 59.26%)
Estimated score: 2.817 - 3.381, Total: 6.198
Quality: 43.70%, Team quality: 29.20%, Competitiveness: 97.85%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.82%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.20%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 21.90%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 17.22%
#4: San Jose Sharks (-0.250, 45.90%) at Los Angeles Kings (0.250, 54.10%)
Estimated score: 2.697 - 2.945, Total: 5.643
Quality: 38.36%, Team quality: 23.81%, Competitiveness: 99.58%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.81%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.86%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 15.53%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 23.99%
#5: St. Louis Blues (-0.549, 41.03%) at Chicago Blackhawks (0.549, 58.97%)
Estimated score: 2.626 - 3.179, Total: 5.804
Quality: 11.54%, Team quality: 3.96%, Competitiveness: 97.98%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.74%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.25%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 17.24%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 21.88%
Games on Thursday, January 8, 2026
#1: Anaheim Ducks (-0.636, 39.64%) at Carolina Hurricanes (0.636, 60.36%)
Estimated score: 3.318 - 3.960, Total: 7.279
Quality: 78.44%, Team quality: 70.43%, Competitiveness: 97.30%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.14%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.99%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 37.82%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 7.92%
#2: Ottawa Senators (-1.902, 21.63%) at Colorado Avalanche (1.902, 78.37%)
Estimated score: 2.342 - 4.247, Total: 6.589
Quality: 68.92%, Team quality: 64.67%, Competitiveness: 78.28%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 34.67%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 23.93%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 27.19%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 13.27%
#3: Florida Panthers (0.028, 50.46%) at Montreal Canadiens (-0.028, 49.54%)
Estimated score: 3.495 - 3.447, Total: 6.942
Quality: 67.38%, Team quality: 55.31%, Competitiveness: 99.99%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.57%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 32.01%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 32.46%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 10.28%
#4: Buffalo Sabres (0.099, 51.63%) at New York Rangers (-0.099, 48.37%)
Estimated score: 2.691 - 2.591, Total: 5.282
Quality: 60.98%, Team quality: 47.63%, Competitiveness: 99.93%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.61%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.99%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 12.11%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 29.06%
#5: Minnesota Wild (0.959, 65.39%) at Seattle Kraken (-0.959, 34.61%)
Estimated score: 3.021 - 2.077, Total: 5.098
Quality: 60.38%, Team quality: 48.39%, Competitiveness: 93.97%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.10%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.73%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 10.59%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 31.84%
#6: New Jersey Devils (0.179, 52.94%) at Pittsburgh Penguins (-0.179, 47.06%)
Estimated score: 3.114 - 2.916, Total: 6.030
Quality: 58.53%, Team quality: 44.82%, Competitiveness: 99.78%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.69%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.93%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 19.83%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 19.13%
#7: Edmonton Oilers (-0.030, 49.51%) at Winnipeg Jets (0.030, 50.49%)
Estimated score: 3.322 - 3.363, Total: 6.685
Quality: 57.40%, Team quality: 43.49%, Competitiveness: 99.99%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.57%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 32.01%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 28.58%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 12.40%
#8: New York Islanders (0.273, 54.48%) at Nashville Predators (-0.273, 45.52%)
Estimated score: 2.942 - 2.679, Total: 5.621
Quality: 54.71%, Team quality: 40.57%, Competitiveness: 99.50%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.86%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.83%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 15.30%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 24.28%
#9: Columbus Blue Jackets (-0.679, 38.96%) at Vegas Golden Knights (0.679, 61.04%)
Estimated score: 2.842 - 3.512, Total: 6.353
Quality: 49.01%, Team quality: 34.85%, Competitiveness: 96.93%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.36%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.85%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 23.93%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 15.57%
#10: Toronto Maple Leafs (-0.638, 39.62%) at Philadelphia Flyers (0.638, 60.38%)
Estimated score: 2.702 - 3.341, Total: 6.043
Quality: 48.66%, Team quality: 34.42%, Competitiveness: 97.29%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.15%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.99%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 19.99%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 18.97%
#11: Calgary Flames (-0.492, 41.95%) at Boston Bruins (0.492, 58.05%)
Estimated score: 2.521 - 3.035, Total: 5.555
Quality: 42.13%, Team quality: 27.57%, Competitiveness: 98.38%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.51%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.40%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 14.64%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 25.17%
#12: Vancouver Canucks (-0.659, 39.29%) at Detroit Red Wings (0.659, 60.71%)
Estimated score: 2.985 - 3.634, Total: 6.619
Quality: 37.00%, Team quality: 22.84%, Competitiveness: 97.11%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.25%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.92%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 27.62%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 12.99%
Games on Friday, January 9, 2026
#1: Los Angeles Kings (-0.292, 45.21%) at Winnipeg Jets (0.292, 54.79%)
Estimated score: 2.444 - 2.741, Total: 5.185
Quality: 47.42%, Team quality: 32.75%, Competitiveness: 99.43%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.90%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.80%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 11.29%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 30.51%
#2: Washington Capitals (0.825, 63.33%) at Chicago Blackhawks (-0.825, 36.67%)
Estimated score: 3.459 - 2.612, Total: 6.071
Quality: 43.03%, Team quality: 28.88%, Competitiveness: 95.50%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.19%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.31%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 20.33%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 18.64%
#3: St. Louis Blues (-1.151, 31.74%) at Utah Mammoth (1.151, 68.26%)
Estimated score: 2.205 - 3.371, Total: 5.576
Quality: 18.08%, Team quality: 8.04%, Competitiveness: 91.44%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 26.61%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 28.78%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 14.85%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 24.89%
Games on Saturday, January 10, 2026
#1: Tampa Bay Lightning (0.529, 58.64%) at Philadelphia Flyers (-0.529, 41.36%)
Estimated score: 3.014 - 2.489, Total: 5.504
Quality: 83.16%, Team quality: 76.56%, Competitiveness: 98.13%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.66%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.30%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 14.14%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 25.88%
#2: New York Islanders (-0.737, 38.05%) at Minnesota Wild (0.737, 61.95%)
Estimated score: 2.203 - 2.936, Total: 5.139
Quality: 77.70%, Team quality: 69.76%, Competitiveness: 96.40%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.67%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.65%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 10.92%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 31.21%
#3: Anaheim Ducks (-0.095, 48.43%) at Buffalo Sabres (0.095, 51.57%)
Estimated score: 3.495 - 3.583, Total: 7.077
Quality: 69.45%, Team quality: 57.90%, Competitiveness: 99.94%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.61%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.99%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 34.57%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 9.28%
#4: Florida Panthers (0.057, 50.94%) at Ottawa Senators (-0.057, 49.06%)
Estimated score: 3.305 - 3.236, Total: 6.541
Quality: 66.42%, Team quality: 54.14%, Competitiveness: 99.98%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.58%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 32.01%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 26.50%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 13.72%
#5: Detroit Red Wings (-0.173, 47.15%) at Montreal Canadiens (0.173, 52.85%)
Estimated score: 3.482 - 3.658, Total: 7.140
Quality: 60.44%, Team quality: 47.03%, Competitiveness: 99.80%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.69%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.94%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 35.56%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 8.84%
#6: Dallas Stars (1.076, 67.15%) at San Jose Sharks (-1.076, 32.85%)
Estimated score: 3.816 - 2.736, Total: 6.552
Quality: 59.50%, Team quality: 47.73%, Competitiveness: 92.48%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.99%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.17%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 26.67%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 13.61%
#7: New York Rangers (-0.187, 46.92%) at Boston Bruins (0.187, 53.08%)
Estimated score: 2.476 - 2.684, Total: 5.160
Quality: 54.82%, Team quality: 40.64%, Competitiveness: 99.76%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.71%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.93%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 11.09%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 30.88%
#8: Seattle Kraken (-1.148, 31.79%) at Carolina Hurricanes (1.148, 68.21%)
Estimated score: 2.400 - 3.555, Total: 5.955
Quality: 53.77%, Team quality: 41.23%, Competitiveness: 91.48%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 26.58%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 28.80%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 18.94%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 20.02%
#9: Columbus Blue Jackets (-2.259, 17.57%) at Colorado Avalanche (2.259, 82.43%)
Estimated score: 2.060 - 4.313, Total: 6.373
Quality: 50.56%, Team quality: 42.74%, Competitiveness: 70.76%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 39.48%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 21.24%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 24.20%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 15.36%
#10: Los Angeles Kings (-0.392, 43.57%) at Edmonton Oilers (0.392, 56.43%)
Estimated score: 2.726 - 3.112, Total: 5.839
Quality: 49.97%, Team quality: 35.50%, Competitiveness: 98.97%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.17%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.62%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 17.62%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 21.44%
#11: Calgary Flames (-0.363, 44.04%) at Pittsburgh Penguins (0.363, 55.96%)
Estimated score: 2.751 - 3.117, Total: 5.868
Quality: 39.13%, Team quality: 24.59%, Competitiveness: 99.11%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.08%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.68%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 17.95%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 21.08%
#12: Vancouver Canucks (-0.321, 44.73%) at Toronto Maple Leafs (0.321, 55.27%)
Estimated score: 3.150 - 3.465, Total: 6.615
Quality: 29.85%, Team quality: 16.37%, Competitiveness: 99.31%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.97%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.75%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 27.56%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 13.03%
#13: Chicago Blackhawks (-0.477, 42.20%) at Nashville Predators (0.477, 57.80%)
Estimated score: 2.790 - 3.272, Total: 6.062
Quality: 29.02%, Team quality: 15.76%, Competitiveness: 98.48%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.45%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.44%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 20.22%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 18.75%
#14: St. Louis Blues (-1.358, 28.76%) at Vegas Golden Knights (1.358, 71.24%)
Estimated score: 2.326 - 3.693, Total: 6.019
Quality: 19.54%, Team quality: 9.20%, Competitiveness: 88.27%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 28.51%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 27.60%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 19.70%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 19.26%
Games on Sunday, January 11, 2026
#1: New Jersey Devils (0.097, 51.60%) at Winnipeg Jets (-0.097, 48.40%)
Estimated score: 2.860 - 2.751, Total: 5.611
Quality: 61.56%, Team quality: 48.31%, Competitiveness: 99.94%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.61%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.99%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 15.21%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 24.41%
#2: Washington Capitals (0.479, 57.83%) at Nashville Predators (-0.479, 42.17%)
Estimated score: 3.322 - 2.826, Total: 6.148
Quality: 59.45%, Team quality: 46.20%, Competitiveness: 98.46%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.46%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.43%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 21.28%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 17.77%
#3: Pittsburgh Penguins (-0.259, 45.74%) at Boston Bruins (0.259, 54.26%)
Estimated score: 3.139 - 3.417, Total: 6.555
Quality: 51.95%, Team quality: 37.53%, Competitiveness: 99.55%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.83%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.84%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 26.71%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 13.58%
#4: Vegas Golden Knights (0.436, 57.14%) at San Jose Sharks (-0.436, 42.86%)
Estimated score: 3.557 - 3.123, Total: 6.680
Quality: 51.72%, Team quality: 37.43%, Competitiveness: 98.72%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.31%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.53%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 28.51%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 12.45%
#5: Columbus Blue Jackets (-0.472, 42.28%) at Utah Mammoth (0.472, 57.72%)
Estimated score: 2.721 - 3.189, Total: 5.910
Quality: 45.04%, Team quality: 30.46%, Competitiveness: 98.51%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.44%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.45%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 18.43%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 20.56%
Games on Monday, January 12, 2026
#1: Tampa Bay Lightning (0.529, 58.64%) at Philadelphia Flyers (-0.529, 41.36%)
Estimated score: 3.014 - 2.489, Total: 5.504
Quality: 83.16%, Team quality: 76.56%, Competitiveness: 98.13%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.66%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.30%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 14.14%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 25.88%
#2: New Jersey Devils (-0.736, 38.07%) at Minnesota Wild (0.736, 61.93%)
Estimated score: 2.239 - 2.944, Total: 5.184
Quality: 77.75%, Team quality: 69.82%, Competitiveness: 96.41%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.66%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.65%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 11.28%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 30.53%
#3: Carolina Hurricanes (0.550, 58.98%) at Detroit Red Wings (-0.550, 41.02%)
Estimated score: 3.696 - 3.125, Total: 6.820
Quality: 75.54%, Team quality: 66.33%, Competitiveness: 97.97%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.75%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.25%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 30.59%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 11.25%
#4: Florida Panthers (-0.069, 48.86%) at Buffalo Sabres (0.069, 51.14%)
Estimated score: 3.184 - 3.237, Total: 6.422
Quality: 70.31%, Team quality: 58.97%, Competitiveness: 99.97%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.59%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 32.00%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 24.86%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 14.87%
#5: Dallas Stars (0.956, 65.35%) at Los Angeles Kings (-0.956, 34.65%)
Estimated score: 3.105 - 2.143, Total: 5.248
Quality: 65.65%, Team quality: 54.86%, Competitiveness: 94.01%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.08%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.75%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 11.82%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 29.56%
#6: Toronto Maple Leafs (-2.253, 17.62%) at Colorado Avalanche (2.253, 82.38%)
Estimated score: 2.167 - 4.430, Total: 6.598
Quality: 50.85%, Team quality: 43.07%, Competitiveness: 70.88%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 39.40%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 21.28%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 27.32%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 13.19%
#7: Seattle Kraken (-0.377, 43.81%) at New York Rangers (0.377, 56.19%)
Estimated score: 2.089 - 2.460, Total: 4.549
Quality: 43.28%, Team quality: 28.61%, Competitiveness: 99.04%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.12%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.65%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 6.88%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 40.67%
#8: Vancouver Canucks (-0.701, 38.61%) at Montreal Canadiens (0.701, 61.39%)
Estimated score: 3.157 - 3.851, Total: 7.007
Quality: 37.75%, Team quality: 23.58%, Competitiveness: 96.73%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.47%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.77%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 33.47%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 9.79%
#9: Edmonton Oilers (0.493, 58.06%) at Chicago Blackhawks (-0.493, 41.94%)
Estimated score: 3.577 - 3.085, Total: 6.662
Quality: 37.17%, Team quality: 22.85%, Competitiveness: 98.37%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.51%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.40%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 28.24%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 12.61%
Games on Tuesday, January 13, 2026
#1: Dallas Stars (0.540, 58.82%) at Anaheim Ducks (-0.540, 41.18%)
Estimated score: 3.727 - 3.185, Total: 6.913
Quality: 83.45%, Team quality: 76.99%, Competitiveness: 98.05%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.70%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.27%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 32.00%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 10.51%
#2: Tampa Bay Lightning (0.860, 63.87%) at Pittsburgh Penguins (-0.860, 36.13%)
Estimated score: 3.560 - 2.706, Total: 6.266
Quality: 69.50%, Team quality: 59.40%, Competitiveness: 95.12%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.42%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.17%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 22.78%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 16.48%
#3: Montreal Canadiens (-0.440, 42.79%) at Washington Capitals (0.440, 57.21%)
Estimated score: 3.189 - 3.654, Total: 6.843
Quality: 69.21%, Team quality: 57.95%, Competitiveness: 98.70%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.32%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.52%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 30.93%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 11.07%
#4: New York Islanders (0.096, 51.58%) at Winnipeg Jets (-0.096, 48.42%)
Estimated score: 2.824 - 2.743, Total: 5.567
Quality: 61.52%, Team quality: 48.27%, Competitiveness: 99.94%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.61%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.99%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 14.76%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 25.01%
#5: Detroit Red Wings (-0.098, 48.39%) at Boston Bruins (0.098, 51.61%)
Estimated score: 3.186 - 3.311, Total: 6.497
Quality: 58.19%, Team quality: 44.40%, Competitiveness: 99.94%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.61%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.99%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 25.90%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 14.13%
#6: Edmonton Oilers (0.147, 52.41%) at Nashville Predators (-0.147, 47.59%)
Estimated score: 3.440 - 3.299, Total: 6.739
Quality: 51.10%, Team quality: 36.55%, Competitiveness: 99.85%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.65%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.96%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 29.37%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 11.93%
#7: Toronto Maple Leafs (-0.467, 42.36%) at Utah Mammoth (0.467, 57.64%)
Estimated score: 2.828 - 3.307, Total: 6.135
Quality: 45.28%, Team quality: 30.69%, Competitiveness: 98.54%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.42%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.46%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 21.12%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 17.92%
#8: Vancouver Canucks (-0.672, 39.07%) at Ottawa Senators (0.672, 60.93%)
Estimated score: 2.966 - 3.640, Total: 6.606
Quality: 37.25%, Team quality: 23.08%, Competitiveness: 96.99%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.32%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.87%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 27.43%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 13.11%
#9: Calgary Flames (-0.182, 47.01%) at Columbus Blue Jackets (0.182, 52.99%)
Estimated score: 2.692 - 2.888, Total: 5.580
Quality: 34.33%, Team quality: 20.14%, Competitiveness: 99.78%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.70%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.93%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 14.89%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 24.83%
#10: Carolina Hurricanes (1.572, 74.18%) at St. Louis Blues (-1.572, 25.82%)
Estimated score: 3.924 - 2.333, Total: 6.257
Quality: 25.95%, Team quality: 14.37%, Competitiveness: 84.60%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 30.75%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 26.24%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 22.66%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 16.58%
Games on Wednesday, January 14, 2026
#1: Philadelphia Flyers (-0.101, 48.34%) at Buffalo Sabres (0.101, 51.66%)
Estimated score: 2.907 - 3.008, Total: 5.915
Quality: 69.27%, Team quality: 57.67%, Competitiveness: 99.93%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.61%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.99%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 18.49%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 20.50%
#2: Vegas Golden Knights (0.317, 55.20%) at Los Angeles Kings (-0.317, 44.80%)
Estimated score: 2.847 - 2.530, Total: 5.376
Quality: 56.86%, Team quality: 43.02%, Competitiveness: 99.33%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.96%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.76%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 12.95%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 27.69%
#3: Ottawa Senators (-0.027, 49.55%) at New York Rangers (0.027, 50.45%)
Estimated score: 2.689 - 2.712, Total: 5.401
Quality: 56.86%, Team quality: 42.87%, Competitiveness: 99.99%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.57%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 32.01%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 13.17%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 27.34%
#4: Seattle Kraken (-0.615, 39.99%) at New Jersey Devils (0.615, 60.01%)
Estimated score: 2.238 - 2.867, Total: 5.106
Quality: 48.35%, Team quality: 34.05%, Competitiveness: 97.48%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.03%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.06%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 10.65%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 31.72%
Games on Thursday, January 15, 2026
#1: Dallas Stars (0.717, 61.63%) at Utah Mammoth (-0.717, 38.37%)
Estimated score: 3.279 - 2.563, Total: 5.843
Quality: 76.77%, Team quality: 68.45%, Competitiveness: 96.59%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.55%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.72%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 17.67%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 21.40%
#2: Winnipeg Jets (-0.964, 34.54%) at Minnesota Wild (0.964, 65.46%)
Estimated score: 2.329 - 3.274, Total: 5.603
Quality: 67.33%, Team quality: 57.01%, Competitiveness: 93.92%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 25.13%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 29.71%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 15.13%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 24.52%
#3: New York Islanders (-0.004, 49.93%) at Edmonton Oilers (0.004, 50.07%)
Estimated score: 3.106 - 3.115, Total: 6.221
Quality: 64.93%, Team quality: 52.32%, Competitiveness: 100.00%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.57%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 32.02%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 22.20%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 16.97%
#4: Montreal Canadiens (-0.228, 46.26%) at Buffalo Sabres (0.228, 53.74%)
Estimated score: 3.388 - 3.620, Total: 7.007
Quality: 64.70%, Team quality: 52.13%, Competitiveness: 99.65%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.77%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.88%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 33.47%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 9.79%
#5: Philadelphia Flyers (0.201, 53.30%) at Pittsburgh Penguins (-0.201, 46.70%)
Estimated score: 3.152 - 2.954, Total: 6.106
Quality: 59.14%, Team quality: 45.54%, Competitiveness: 99.73%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.73%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.91%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 20.76%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 18.25%
#6: San Jose Sharks (-0.844, 36.38%) at Washington Capitals (0.844, 63.62%)
Estimated score: 2.847 - 3.706, Total: 6.552
Quality: 50.16%, Team quality: 36.39%, Competitiveness: 95.30%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 24.31%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.23%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 26.67%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 13.61%
#7: Toronto Maple Leafs (-0.674, 39.05%) at Vegas Golden Knights (0.674, 60.95%)
Estimated score: 2.949 - 3.629, Total: 6.578
Quality: 49.27%, Team quality: 35.11%, Competitiveness: 96.98%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 23.33%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 30.87%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 27.03%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 13.37%
#8: Seattle Kraken (-0.434, 42.89%) at Boston Bruins (0.434, 57.11%)
Estimated score: 2.591 - 3.040, Total: 5.631
Quality: 44.63%, Team quality: 30.01%, Competitiveness: 98.74%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 22.30%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.53%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 15.41%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 24.14%
#9: Vancouver Canucks (-0.315, 44.82%) at Columbus Blue Jackets (0.315, 55.18%)
Estimated score: 3.032 - 3.358, Total: 6.390
Quality: 29.73%, Team quality: 16.26%, Competitiveness: 99.33%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.96%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 31.76%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 24.43%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 15.19%
#10: Calgary Flames (0.078, 51.28%) at Chicago Blackhawks (-0.078, 48.72%)
Estimated score: 2.752 - 2.674, Total: 5.426
Quality: 26.86%, Team quality: 13.93%, Competitiveness: 99.96%
Blowout probability (margin >= 3.0 goals): 21.59%
Close game probability (margin <= 1.0 goals): 32.00%
High scoring probability (total >= 8.0 goals): 13.41%
Low scoring probability (total <= 4.0 goals): 26.98%Ratings and predictions will be updated on an approximately weekly basis during the season. I expect the next update will be posted around January 6, 2026 with games played through January 5, 2026.