NBA Data
This page serves as a landing page for data from the current NBA season. I will update it approximately weekly during the season with new ratings and game predictions. New types of analysis will be added as they are developed.
Updated for games played through December 29, 2025. Ratings are now based solely on games played during the 2025-26 regular season.. Changes in the ratings are relative to ratings from the prior week.
Predictive Ratings
Predictive Ratings
Home advantage: 1.65 points
Mean score: 116.54 points
Rank Rating Team Offense Defense
1 12.69 Oklahoma City Thunder 4.50 8.18
2 8.51 Houston Rockets 3.88 4.63
3 6.89 Denver Nuggets 8.83 -1.96
4 6.27 New York Knicks 3.87 2.38
5 5.66 San Antonio Spurs 2.24 3.40
6 5.26 Boston Celtics -0.31 5.57
7 4.20 Detroit Pistons 1.17 3.02
8 3.93 Minnesota Timberwolves 1.51 2.43
9 3.72 Miami Heat 4.91 -1.19
10 2.92 Orlando Magic -0.12 3.03
11 2.84 Golden State Warriors -1.33 4.16
12 2.36 Phoenix Suns -1.72 4.07
13 1.47 Cleveland Cavaliers 2.31 -0.84
14 0.93 Los Angeles Lakers 0.51 0.46
15 0.47 Toronto Raptors -2.35 2.79
16 -0.76 Memphis Grizzlies -1.69 0.90
17 -0.89 Atlanta Hawks 2.47 -3.40
18 -1.05 Philadelphia 76ers -0.94 -0.06
19 -1.71 Los Angeles Clippers -4.45 2.73
20 -1.94 Portland Trail Blazers 0.95 -2.90
Rank Rating Team Offense Defense
21 -3.63 Milwaukee Bucks -3.70 0.07
22 -3.82 Charlotte Hornets -2.01 -1.84
23 -4.15 Dallas Mavericks -3.11 -0.99
24 -4.57 Brooklyn Nets -6.99 2.36
25 -5.15 Chicago Bulls 0.39 -5.52
26 -5.27 Utah Jazz 5.15 -10.42
27 -6.20 New Orleans Pelicans -0.25 -5.93
28 -7.95 Sacramento Kings -4.41 -3.56
29 -9.33 Indiana Pacers -6.67 -2.65
30 -11.57 Washington Wizards -2.78 -8.78 Schedule Strength
Schedule Strength for an Average Team
Home advantage: 1.65 points
Mean score: 116.54 points
Rank Team SOS Future OppRtg Future
1 Oklahoma City Thunder .453 (29) .532 (1) -1.63 (29) 1.06 (1)
2 Houston Rockets .497 (16) .487 (26) -0.10 (17) -0.38 (26)
3 Denver Nuggets .482 (21) .515 (5) -0.65 (21) 0.59 (3)
4 New York Knicks .480 (22) .492 (22) -0.73 (22) -0.28 (23)
5 San Antonio Spurs .513 (9) .516 (4) 0.51 (8) 0.59 (4)
6 Boston Celtics .487 (19) .490 (25) -0.55 (19) -0.31 (25)
7 Detroit Pistons .446 (30) .503 (12) -1.85 (30) 0.09 (13)
8 Minnesota Timberwolves .471 (28) .517 (2) -0.97 (27) 0.63 (2)
9 Miami Heat .513 (8) .475 (29) 0.43 (9) -0.87 (29)
10 Orlando Magic .540 (4) .460 (30) 1.33 (4) -1.39 (30)
11 Golden State Warriors .516 (7) .501 (15) 0.59 (7) 0.07 (15)
12 Phoenix Suns .508 (11) .514 (6) 0.35 (11) 0.52 (6)
13 Cleveland Cavaliers .475 (25) .492 (24) -0.87 (24) -0.31 (24)
14 Los Angeles Lakers .499 (14) .506 (11) 0.02 (14) 0.26 (11)
15 Toronto Raptors .473 (26) .508 (9) -0.97 (26) 0.30 (9)
16 Memphis Grizzlies .497 (17) .511 (7) -0.11 (18) 0.39 (7)
17 Atlanta Hawks .496 (18) .494 (21) -0.08 (16) -0.27 (22)
18 Philadelphia 76ers .477 (23) .500 (18) -0.76 (23) -0.03 (18)
19 Los Angeles Clippers .554 (2) .478 (28) 1.89 (2) -0.78 (28)
20 Portland Trail Blazers .540 (3) .492 (23) 1.45 (3) -0.26 (21)
Rank Team SOS Future OppRtg Future
21 Milwaukee Bucks .472 (27) .503 (13) -1.01 (28) 0.09 (12)
22 Charlotte Hornets .483 (20) .501 (16) -0.63 (20) 0.01 (17)
23 Dallas Mavericks .507 (12) .516 (3) 0.26 (12) 0.57 (5)
24 Brooklyn Nets .498 (15) .496 (20) -0.07 (15) -0.19 (20)
25 Chicago Bulls .477 (24) .510 (8) -0.87 (25) 0.38 (8)
26 Utah Jazz .536 (5) .507 (10) 1.25 (5) 0.28 (10)
27 New Orleans Pelicans .532 (6) .502 (14) 1.13 (6) 0.08 (14)
28 Sacramento Kings .575 (1) .483 (27) 2.68 (1) -0.60 (27)
29 Indiana Pacers .504 (13) .500 (17) 0.08 (13) 0.05 (16)
30 Washington Wizards .508 (10) .499 (19) 0.36 (10) -0.06 (19)Upcoming Game Predictions
Games on Tuesday, December 30, 2025
#1: Detroit Pistons (1.61, 55.00%) at Los Angeles Lakers (-1.61, 45.00%)
Estimated score: 116.42 - 114.86, Total: 231.28
Quality: 76.85%, Team quality: 67.58%, Competitiveness: 99.36%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.77%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.16%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 18.21%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 24.45%
#2: Philadelphia 76ers (-1.94, 43.99%) at Memphis Grizzlies (1.94, 56.01%)
Estimated score: 113.87 - 115.74, Total: 229.61
Quality: 56.76%, Team quality: 42.97%, Competitiveness: 99.07%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.93%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.06%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 16.16%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 27.05%
#3: Boston Celtics (8.88, 75.60%) at Utah Jazz (-8.88, 24.40%)
Estimated score: 125.82 - 116.95, Total: 242.77
Quality: 51.40%, Team quality: 40.64%, Competitiveness: 82.22%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.46%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.18%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 36.30%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 10.59%
#4: Sacramento Kings (-7.90, 26.87%) at Los Angeles Clippers (7.90, 73.13%)
Estimated score: 108.58 - 116.48, Total: 225.06
Quality: 27.35%, Team quality: 15.45%, Competitiveness: 85.65%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.45%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.36%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 11.34%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 34.80%
Games on Wednesday, December 31, 2025
#1: New York Knicks (-1.05, 46.74%) at San Antonio Spurs (1.05, 53.26%)
Estimated score: 116.18 - 117.22, Total: 233.40
Quality: 90.34%, Team quality: 85.98%, Competitiveness: 99.73%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.57%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.29%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 21.06%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 21.33%
#2: Denver Nuggets (4.77, 64.52%) at Toronto Raptors (-4.77, 35.48%)
Estimated score: 121.75 - 116.98, Total: 238.72
Quality: 78.58%, Team quality: 71.64%, Competitiveness: 94.52%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 21.42%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 28.45%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 29.24%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 14.62%
#3: Phoenix Suns (-0.77, 47.62%) at Cleveland Cavaliers (0.77, 52.38%)
Estimated score: 114.84 - 115.61, Total: 230.45
Quality: 73.87%, Team quality: 63.53%, Competitiveness: 99.85%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.50%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.33%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 17.17%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 25.73%
#4: Minnesota Timberwolves (3.17, 59.78%) at Atlanta Hawks (-3.17, 40.22%)
Estimated score: 120.62 - 117.41, Total: 238.03
Quality: 70.12%, Team quality: 59.45%, Competitiveness: 97.54%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 19.76%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.51%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 28.09%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 15.41%
#5: Golden State Warriors (5.00, 65.20%) at Charlotte Hornets (-5.00, 34.80%)
Estimated score: 116.22 - 111.19, Total: 227.41
Quality: 56.13%, Team quality: 43.37%, Competitiveness: 93.98%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 21.72%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 28.26%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 13.68%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 30.69%
#6: Portland Trail Blazers (-16.28, 10.17%) at Oklahoma City Thunder (16.28, 89.83%)
Estimated score: 108.48 - 124.76, Total: 233.24
Quality: 53.97%, Team quality: 55.19%, Competitiveness: 51.62%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 48.23%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 14.09%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 20.83%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 21.56%
#7: Orlando Magic (10.59, 79.60%) at Indiana Pacers (-10.59, 20.40%)
Estimated score: 118.25 - 107.67, Total: 225.91
Quality: 30.98%, Team quality: 19.82%, Competitiveness: 75.66%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 32.40%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 21.95%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 12.15%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 33.29%
#8: New Orleans Pelicans (-2.70, 41.65%) at Chicago Bulls (2.70, 58.35%)
Estimated score: 120.98 - 123.68, Total: 244.66
Quality: 27.67%, Team quality: 14.69%, Competitiveness: 98.21%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 19.40%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.75%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 39.80%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 9.00%
#9: Washington Wizards (-9.59, 22.69%) at Milwaukee Bucks (9.59, 77.31%)
Estimated score: 112.86 - 122.45, Total: 235.30
Quality: 14.24%, Team quality: 6.03%, Competitiveness: 79.56%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 30.03%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.27%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 23.82%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 18.75%
Games on Thursday, January 1, 2026
#1: Miami Heat (-2.13, 43.39%) at Detroit Pistons (2.13, 56.61%)
Estimated score: 117.60 - 119.72, Total: 237.31
Quality: 82.81%, Team quality: 75.78%, Competitiveness: 98.88%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 19.03%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.99%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 26.94%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 16.24%
#2: Houston Rockets (11.43, 81.41%) at Brooklyn Nets (-11.43, 18.59%)
Estimated score: 117.23 - 105.75, Total: 222.98
Quality: 54.75%, Team quality: 47.66%, Competitiveness: 72.25%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 34.51%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 20.80%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 9.52%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 38.60%
#3: Philadelphia 76ers (1.45, 54.50%) at Dallas Mavericks (-1.45, 45.50%)
Estimated score: 115.76 - 114.32, Total: 230.08
Quality: 46.29%, Team quality: 31.58%, Competitiveness: 99.48%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.70%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.20%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 16.72%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 26.31%
#4: Boston Celtics (11.56, 81.68%) at Sacramento Kings (-11.56, 18.32%)
Estimated score: 118.97 - 107.40, Total: 226.36
Quality: 38.02%, Team quality: 27.68%, Competitiveness: 71.71%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 34.84%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 20.62%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 12.60%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 32.51%
#5: Utah Jazz (-5.21, 34.20%) at Los Angeles Clippers (5.21, 65.80%)
Estimated score: 118.13 - 123.34, Total: 241.47
Quality: 37.87%, Team quality: 24.10%, Competitiveness: 93.48%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 22.00%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 28.08%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 33.97%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 11.79%
Games on Friday, January 2, 2026
#1: Oklahoma City Thunder (8.20, 73.90%) at Golden State Warriors (-8.20, 26.10%)
Estimated score: 116.05 - 107.85, Total: 223.90
Quality: 85.40%, Team quality: 85.79%, Competitiveness: 84.64%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 27.04%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.01%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 10.29%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 36.91%
#2: Denver Nuggets (3.77, 61.57%) at Cleveland Cavaliers (-3.77, 38.43%)
Estimated score: 125.38 - 121.64, Total: 247.02
Quality: 82.08%, Team quality: 75.68%, Competitiveness: 96.54%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 20.31%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.16%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 44.26%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 7.29%
#3: Atlanta Hawks (-8.81, 24.57%) at New York Knicks (8.81, 75.43%)
Estimated score: 115.80 - 124.64, Total: 240.44
Quality: 65.45%, Team quality: 58.30%, Competitiveness: 82.47%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.31%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.26%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 32.16%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 12.80%
#4: Memphis Grizzlies (-3.35, 39.68%) at Los Angeles Lakers (3.35, 60.32%)
Estimated score: 113.57 - 116.98, Total: 230.55
Quality: 61.68%, Team quality: 49.12%, Competitiveness: 97.25%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 19.92%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.41%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 17.29%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 25.58%
#5: Orlando Magic (6.41, 69.18%) at Chicago Bulls (-6.41, 30.82%)
Estimated score: 121.12 - 114.73, Total: 235.85
Quality: 50.13%, Team quality: 37.35%, Competitiveness: 90.29%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 23.79%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.97%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 24.64%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 18.06%
#6: Charlotte Hornets (-1.84, 44.30%) at Milwaukee Bucks (1.84, 55.70%)
Estimated score: 113.63 - 115.50, Total: 229.14
Quality: 39.14%, Team quality: 24.59%, Competitiveness: 99.17%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.87%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.09%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 15.60%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 27.82%
#7: Portland Trail Blazers (2.60, 58.05%) at New Orleans Pelicans (-2.60, 41.95%)
Estimated score: 122.59 - 120.02, Total: 242.61
Quality: 36.69%, Team quality: 22.41%, Competitiveness: 98.33%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 19.33%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.79%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 36.01%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 10.73%
#8: San Antonio Spurs (13.34, 85.12%) at Indiana Pacers (-13.34, 14.88%)
Estimated score: 120.60 - 107.29, Total: 227.89
Quality: 31.60%, Team quality: 22.17%, Competitiveness: 64.22%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 39.63%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 18.14%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 14.20%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 29.89%
#9: Sacramento Kings (-11.97, 17.50%) at Phoenix Suns (11.97, 82.50%)
Estimated score: 107.24 - 119.21, Total: 226.45
Quality: 30.22%, Team quality: 19.85%, Competitiveness: 70.03%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 35.89%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 20.06%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 12.69%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 32.35%
#10: Brooklyn Nets (5.35, 66.18%) at Washington Wizards (-5.35, 33.82%)
Estimated score: 117.51 - 112.22, Total: 229.72
Quality: 15.60%, Team quality: 6.39%, Competitiveness: 93.16%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 22.18%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.97%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 16.29%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 26.87%
Games on Saturday, January 3, 2026
#1: Minnesota Timberwolves (-1.44, 45.53%) at Miami Heat (1.44, 54.47%)
Estimated score: 118.41 - 119.84, Total: 238.25
Quality: 82.69%, Team quality: 75.38%, Competitiveness: 99.49%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.70%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.20%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 28.45%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 15.16%
#2: Boston Celtics (5.32, 66.11%) at Los Angeles Clippers (-5.32, 33.89%)
Estimated score: 112.68 - 107.35, Total: 220.03
Quality: 68.48%, Team quality: 58.69%, Competitiveness: 93.22%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 22.14%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.99%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 7.32%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 44.16%
#3: Philadelphia 76ers (-8.97, 24.18%) at New York Knicks (8.97, 75.82%)
Estimated score: 112.39 - 121.30, Total: 233.69
Quality: 64.66%, Team quality: 57.45%, Competitiveness: 81.90%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.65%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.07%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 21.46%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 20.93%
#4: Atlanta Hawks (-3.02, 40.69%) at Toronto Raptors (3.02, 59.31%)
Estimated score: 115.39 - 118.42, Total: 233.81
Quality: 60.24%, Team quality: 47.29%, Competitiveness: 97.77%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 19.63%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.59%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 21.63%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 20.77%
#5: Portland Trail Blazers (-9.26, 23.48%) at San Antonio Spurs (9.26, 76.52%)
Estimated score: 113.26 - 122.51, Total: 235.77
Quality: 60.23%, Team quality: 51.99%, Competitiveness: 80.83%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 29.28%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.70%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 24.52%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 18.16%
#6: Houston Rockets (11.01, 80.50%) at Dallas Mavericks (-11.01, 19.50%)
Estimated score: 120.59 - 109.62, Total: 230.21
Quality: 57.01%, Team quality: 50.03%, Competitiveness: 74.00%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 33.42%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 21.39%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 16.88%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 26.11%
#7: Utah Jazz (-9.76, 22.30%) at Golden State Warriors (9.76, 77.70%)
Estimated score: 116.70 - 126.45, Total: 243.15
Quality: 42.84%, Team quality: 31.57%, Competitiveness: 78.93%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 30.41%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.06%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 36.99%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 10.26%
#8: Charlotte Hornets (-0.32, 49.00%) at Chicago Bulls (0.32, 51.00%)
Estimated score: 119.23 - 119.59, Total: 238.82
Quality: 34.96%, Team quality: 20.68%, Competitiveness: 99.97%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.44%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.38%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 29.39%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 14.52%
Games on Sunday, January 4, 2026
#1: Oklahoma City Thunder (8.67, 75.10%) at Phoenix Suns (-8.67, 24.90%)
Estimated score: 116.14 - 107.47, Total: 223.60
Quality: 83.74%, Team quality: 84.13%, Competitiveness: 82.96%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.02%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.43%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 10.04%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 37.45%
#2: Detroit Pistons (1.07, 53.34%) at Cleveland Cavaliers (-1.07, 46.66%)
Estimated score: 117.72 - 116.66, Total: 234.38
Quality: 78.41%, Team quality: 69.53%, Competitiveness: 99.72%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.58%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.28%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 22.45%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 19.99%
#3: Memphis Grizzlies (-3.35, 39.68%) at Los Angeles Lakers (3.35, 60.32%)
Estimated score: 113.57 - 116.98, Total: 230.55
Quality: 61.68%, Team quality: 49.12%, Competitiveness: 97.25%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 19.92%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.41%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 17.29%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 25.58%
#4: Denver Nuggets (9.81, 77.83%) at Brooklyn Nets (-9.81, 22.17%)
Estimated score: 122.18 - 112.34, Total: 234.52
Quality: 55.21%, Team quality: 46.24%, Competitiveness: 78.72%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 30.54%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.98%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 22.65%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 19.80%
#5: New Orleans Pelicans (-11.57, 18.31%) at Miami Heat (11.57, 81.69%)
Estimated score: 116.65 - 128.20, Total: 244.85
Quality: 38.53%, Team quality: 28.24%, Competitiveness: 71.69%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 34.85%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 20.61%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 40.14%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 8.86%
#6: Milwaukee Bucks (2.67, 58.25%) at Sacramento Kings (-2.67, 41.75%)
Estimated score: 115.57 - 112.89, Total: 228.46
Quality: 27.06%, Team quality: 14.20%, Competitiveness: 98.25%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 19.37%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.77%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 14.83%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 28.93%
#7: Indiana Pacers (-13.90, 13.88%) at Orlando Magic (13.90, 86.12%)
Estimated score: 106.01 - 119.90, Total: 225.91
Quality: 24.63%, Team quality: 15.54%, Competitiveness: 61.81%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 41.22%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 17.36%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 12.15%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 33.29%
#8: Minnesota Timberwolves (13.85, 86.04%) at Washington Wizards (-13.85, 13.96%)
Estimated score: 126.00 - 112.15, Total: 238.15
Quality: 22.32%, Team quality: 13.39%, Competitiveness: 62.01%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 41.09%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 17.42%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 28.30%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 15.27%
Games on Monday, January 5, 2026
#1: New York Knicks (0.42, 51.30%) at Detroit Pistons (-0.42, 48.70%)
Estimated score: 116.56 - 116.15, Total: 232.71
Quality: 88.25%, Team quality: 82.93%, Competitiveness: 99.96%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.45%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.37%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 20.11%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 22.32%
#2: Phoenix Suns (-7.80, 27.11%) at Houston Rockets (7.80, 72.89%)
Estimated score: 109.37 - 117.18, Total: 226.54
Quality: 79.41%, Team quality: 76.33%, Competitiveness: 85.97%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.27%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.47%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 12.78%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 32.19%
#3: Denver Nuggets (6.29, 68.83%) at Philadelphia 76ers (-6.29, 31.17%)
Estimated score: 124.60 - 118.39, Total: 242.99
Quality: 72.39%, Team quality: 64.68%, Competitiveness: 90.66%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 23.58%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.10%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 36.70%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 10.39%
#4: Golden State Warriors (2.89, 58.94%) at Los Angeles Clippers (-2.89, 41.06%)
Estimated score: 111.65 - 108.76, Total: 220.41
Quality: 64.98%, Team quality: 52.92%, Competitiveness: 97.95%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 19.54%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.66%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 7.58%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 43.43%
#5: Atlanta Hawks (-3.02, 40.69%) at Toronto Raptors (3.02, 59.31%)
Estimated score: 115.39 - 118.42, Total: 233.81
Quality: 60.24%, Team quality: 47.29%, Competitiveness: 97.77%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 19.63%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.59%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 21.63%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 20.77%
#6: Charlotte Hornets (-18.16, 7.81%) at Oklahoma City Thunder (18.16, 92.19%)
Estimated score: 105.52 - 123.70, Total: 229.22
Quality: 44.24%, Team quality: 44.41%, Competitiveness: 43.90%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 53.90%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 11.68%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 15.69%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 27.69%
#7: Chicago Bulls (-12.07, 17.30%) at Boston Celtics (12.07, 82.70%)
Estimated score: 110.53 - 122.58, Total: 233.11
Quality: 43.66%, Team quality: 34.57%, Competitiveness: 69.62%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 36.16%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 19.92%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 20.66%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 21.75%
#8: Utah Jazz (-4.98, 34.87%) at Portland Trail Blazers (4.98, 65.13%)
Estimated score: 123.76 - 128.73, Total: 252.49
Quality: 37.45%, Team quality: 23.64%, Competitiveness: 94.04%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 21.69%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 28.28%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 54.81%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 4.27%
Games on Tuesday, January 6, 2026
#1: Miami Heat (-1.87, 44.20%) at Minnesota Timberwolves (1.87, 55.80%)
Estimated score: 118.19 - 120.06, Total: 238.25
Quality: 82.44%, Team quality: 75.18%, Competitiveness: 99.14%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.89%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.08%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 28.45%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 15.16%
#2: San Antonio Spurs (4.77, 64.53%) at Memphis Grizzlies (-4.77, 35.47%)
Estimated score: 117.05 - 112.28, Total: 229.33
Quality: 72.83%, Team quality: 63.93%, Competitiveness: 94.51%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 21.43%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 28.44%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 15.82%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 27.51%
#3: Los Angeles Lakers (5.48, 66.57%) at New Orleans Pelicans (-5.48, 33.43%)
Estimated score: 122.16 - 116.65, Total: 238.81
Quality: 42.57%, Team quality: 28.83%, Competitiveness: 92.82%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 22.37%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.85%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 29.38%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 14.53%
#4: Cleveland Cavaliers (9.15, 76.26%) at Indiana Pacers (-9.15, 23.74%)
Estimated score: 120.68 - 111.53, Total: 232.21
Quality: 29.97%, Team quality: 18.21%, Competitiveness: 81.23%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 29.04%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.84%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 19.43%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 23.06%
#5: Dallas Mavericks (2.15, 56.68%) at Sacramento Kings (-2.15, 43.32%)
Estimated score: 116.16 - 113.95, Total: 230.11
Quality: 25.95%, Team quality: 13.29%, Competitiveness: 98.86%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 19.04%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.98%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 16.76%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 26.25%
#6: Orlando Magic (12.84, 84.20%) at Washington Wizards (-12.84, 15.80%)
Estimated score: 124.38 - 111.56, Total: 235.93
Quality: 22.10%, Team quality: 12.75%, Competitiveness: 66.36%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 38.24%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 18.84%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 24.77%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 17.94%
Games on Wednesday, January 7, 2026
#1: Denver Nuggets (-0.02, 49.93%) at Boston Celtics (0.02, 50.07%)
Estimated score: 118.98 - 119.02, Total: 237.99
Quality: 90.83%, Team quality: 86.57%, Competitiveness: 100.00%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.42%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.39%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 28.03%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 15.45%
#2: Los Angeles Lakers (-6.38, 30.91%) at San Antonio Spurs (6.38, 69.09%)
Estimated score: 112.82 - 119.15, Total: 231.97
Quality: 73.94%, Team quality: 66.88%, Competitiveness: 90.39%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 23.73%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.00%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 19.11%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 23.41%
#3: Houston Rockets (8.80, 75.41%) at Portland Trail Blazers (-8.80, 24.59%)
Estimated score: 122.50 - 113.68, Total: 236.18
Quality: 68.24%, Team quality: 62.07%, Competitiveness: 82.50%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.29%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.27%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 25.15%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 17.63%
#4: Phoenix Suns (1.47, 54.57%) at Memphis Grizzlies (-1.47, 45.43%)
Estimated score: 113.10 - 111.61, Total: 224.71
Quality: 67.37%, Team quality: 55.45%, Competitiveness: 99.47%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.71%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.20%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 11.01%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 35.44%
#5: Los Angeles Clippers (-9.63, 22.60%) at New York Knicks (9.63, 77.40%)
Estimated score: 108.89 - 118.51, Total: 227.40
Quality: 61.31%, Team quality: 53.87%, Competitiveness: 79.43%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 30.12%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.23%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 13.67%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 30.72%
#6: Orlando Magic (5.84, 67.58%) at Brooklyn Nets (-5.84, 32.42%)
Estimated score: 113.23 - 107.35, Total: 220.59
Quality: 52.80%, Team quality: 40.02%, Competitiveness: 91.89%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 22.89%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.53%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 7.70%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 43.10%
#7: Toronto Raptors (2.64, 58.16%) at Charlotte Hornets (-2.64, 41.84%)
Estimated score: 115.20 - 112.56, Total: 227.76
Quality: 51.47%, Team quality: 37.25%, Competitiveness: 98.29%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 19.35%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.78%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 14.06%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 30.10%
#8: Milwaukee Bucks (-8.12, 26.29%) at Golden State Warriors (8.12, 73.71%)
Estimated score: 107.85 - 115.96, Total: 223.81
Quality: 50.92%, Team quality: 39.44%, Competitiveness: 84.89%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.89%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.10%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 10.22%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 37.06%
#9: Chicago Bulls (-11.00, 19.51%) at Detroit Pistons (11.00, 80.49%)
Estimated score: 113.08 - 124.05, Total: 237.13
Quality: 43.75%, Team quality: 33.63%, Competitiveness: 74.02%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 33.40%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 21.40%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 26.64%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 16.46%
#10: Utah Jazz (-19.61, 6.28%) at Oklahoma City Thunder (19.61, 93.72%)
Estimated score: 112.68 - 132.28, Total: 244.95
Quality: 36.99%, Team quality: 36.38%, Competitiveness: 38.24%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 58.28%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 9.96%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 40.34%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 8.78%
#11: New Orleans Pelicans (-6.96, 29.33%) at Atlanta Hawks (6.96, 70.67%)
Estimated score: 118.86 - 125.77, Total: 244.63
Quality: 35.30%, Team quality: 22.27%, Competitiveness: 88.67%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 24.71%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.40%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 39.73%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 9.03%
#12: Washington Wizards (-12.18, 17.08%) at Philadelphia 76ers (12.18, 82.92%)
Estimated score: 112.99 - 125.21, Total: 238.20
Quality: 15.86%, Team quality: 7.60%, Competitiveness: 69.15%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 36.45%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 19.77%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 28.37%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 15.22%
Games on Thursday, January 8, 2026
#1: Cleveland Cavaliers (-4.11, 37.40%) at Minnesota Timberwolves (4.11, 62.60%)
Estimated score: 115.60 - 119.71, Total: 235.31
Quality: 75.06%, Team quality: 66.40%, Competitiveness: 95.89%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 20.66%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 28.93%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 23.83%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 18.75%
#2: Miami Heat (7.22, 71.35%) at Chicago Bulls (-7.22, 28.65%)
Estimated score: 126.14 - 118.94, Total: 245.08
Quality: 50.98%, Team quality: 38.83%, Competitiveness: 87.88%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 25.16%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.13%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 40.57%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 8.68%
#3: Dallas Mavericks (-0.53, 48.34%) at Utah Jazz (0.53, 51.66%)
Estimated score: 123.02 - 123.50, Total: 246.52
Quality: 33.64%, Team quality: 19.52%, Competitiveness: 99.93%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.46%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.36%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 43.31%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 7.63%
#4: Indiana Pacers (-7.16, 28.79%) at Charlotte Hornets (7.16, 71.21%)
Estimated score: 110.88 - 118.01, Total: 228.88
Quality: 20.23%, Team quality: 9.70%, Competitiveness: 88.04%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 25.07%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.19%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 15.30%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 28.24%
Games on Friday, January 9, 2026
#1: New York Knicks (2.25, 56.99%) at Phoenix Suns (-2.25, 43.01%)
Estimated score: 115.51 - 113.27, Total: 228.78
Quality: 84.14%, Team quality: 77.66%, Competitiveness: 98.75%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 19.10%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.94%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 15.19%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 28.40%
#2: Toronto Raptors (-6.44, 30.74%) at Boston Celtics (6.44, 69.26%)
Estimated score: 107.80 - 114.26, Total: 222.06
Quality: 71.82%, Team quality: 64.08%, Competitiveness: 90.21%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 23.84%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.94%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 8.79%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 40.31%
#3: Oklahoma City Thunder (11.80, 82.16%) at Memphis Grizzlies (-11.80, 17.84%)
Estimated score: 119.31 - 107.49, Total: 226.80
Quality: 70.55%, Team quality: 70.46%, Competitiveness: 70.74%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 35.45%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 20.30%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 13.05%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 31.74%
#4: Houston Rockets (8.80, 75.41%) at Portland Trail Blazers (-8.80, 24.59%)
Estimated score: 122.50 - 113.68, Total: 236.18
Quality: 68.24%, Team quality: 62.07%, Competitiveness: 82.50%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.29%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.27%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 25.15%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 17.63%
#5: Atlanta Hawks (-9.44, 23.06%) at Denver Nuggets (9.44, 76.94%)
Estimated score: 120.14 - 129.59, Total: 249.74
Quality: 65.27%, Team quality: 58.89%, Competitiveness: 80.16%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 29.68%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.47%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 49.49%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 5.63%
#6: Philadelphia 76ers (-5.62, 33.04%) at Orlando Magic (5.62, 66.96%)
Estimated score: 111.75 - 117.31, Total: 229.06
Quality: 63.38%, Team quality: 52.47%, Competitiveness: 92.47%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 22.57%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.73%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 15.51%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 27.95%
#7: Milwaukee Bucks (-6.22, 31.35%) at Los Angeles Lakers (6.22, 68.65%)
Estimated score: 111.55 - 117.81, Total: 229.36
Quality: 49.08%, Team quality: 36.08%, Competitiveness: 90.85%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 23.48%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.16%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 15.86%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 27.46%
#8: Los Angeles Clippers (1.21, 53.77%) at Brooklyn Nets (-1.21, 46.23%)
Estimated score: 108.90 - 107.65, Total: 216.55
Quality: 42.95%, Team quality: 28.20%, Competitiveness: 99.64%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.62%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.26%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 5.25%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 50.86%
#9: Sacramento Kings (-12.44, 16.55%) at Golden State Warriors (12.44, 83.45%)
Estimated score: 107.15 - 119.60, Total: 226.74
Quality: 30.31%, Team quality: 20.24%, Competitiveness: 68.03%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 37.17%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 19.40%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 12.98%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 31.84%
#10: New Orleans Pelicans (3.72, 61.44%) at Washington Wizards (-3.72, 38.56%)
Estimated score: 124.24 - 120.51, Total: 244.75
Quality: 13.45%, Team quality: 5.02%, Competitiveness: 96.62%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 20.26%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.19%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 39.97%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 8.93%
Games on Saturday, January 10, 2026
#1: San Antonio Spurs (-1.25, 46.10%) at Boston Celtics (1.25, 53.90%)
Estimated score: 112.38 - 113.66, Total: 226.04
Quality: 88.76%, Team quality: 83.79%, Competitiveness: 99.61%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.63%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.25%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 12.28%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 33.07%
#2: Minnesota Timberwolves (0.81, 52.51%) at Cleveland Cavaliers (-0.81, 47.49%)
Estimated score: 118.06 - 117.25, Total: 235.31
Quality: 77.85%, Team quality: 68.75%, Competitiveness: 99.84%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.51%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.33%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 23.83%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 18.75%
#3: Los Angeles Clippers (-7.56, 27.75%) at Detroit Pistons (7.56, 72.25%)
Estimated score: 108.25 - 115.80, Total: 224.05
Quality: 61.17%, Team quality: 51.36%, Competitiveness: 86.78%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 25.80%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.75%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 10.43%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 36.63%
#4: Charlotte Hornets (-0.20, 49.37%) at Utah Jazz (0.20, 50.63%)
Estimated score: 124.12 - 124.35, Total: 248.47
Quality: 34.62%, Team quality: 20.38%, Competitiveness: 99.99%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.43%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.38%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 47.04%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 6.36%
#5: Dallas Mavericks (-0.65, 47.98%) at Chicago Bulls (0.65, 52.02%)
Estimated score: 118.12 - 118.74, Total: 236.87
Quality: 33.97%, Team quality: 19.81%, Competitiveness: 99.90%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.48%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.35%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 26.22%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 16.78%
#6: Miami Heat (11.39, 81.32%) at Indiana Pacers (-11.39, 18.68%)
Estimated score: 123.27 - 111.88, Total: 235.14
Quality: 31.33%, Team quality: 20.61%, Competitiveness: 72.41%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 34.40%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 20.86%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 23.58%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 18.96%
Games on Sunday, January 11, 2026
#1: San Antonio Spurs (0.08, 50.24%) at Minnesota Timberwolves (-0.08, 49.76%)
Estimated score: 115.52 - 115.47, Total: 230.99
Quality: 86.80%, Team quality: 80.87%, Competitiveness: 100.00%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.43%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.39%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 17.85%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 24.89%
#2: Miami Heat (-10.62, 20.34%) at Oklahoma City Thunder (10.62, 79.66%)
Estimated score: 112.43 - 123.05, Total: 235.48
Quality: 80.70%, Team quality: 83.41%, Competitiveness: 75.55%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 32.47%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 21.91%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 24.08%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 18.52%
#3: New York Knicks (6.56, 69.57%) at Portland Trail Blazers (-6.56, 30.43%)
Estimated score: 122.49 - 115.93, Total: 238.42
Quality: 68.11%, Team quality: 59.30%, Competitiveness: 89.88%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 24.02%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.83%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 28.73%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 14.96%
#4: Atlanta Hawks (-5.38, 33.72%) at Golden State Warriors (5.38, 66.28%)
Estimated score: 114.02 - 119.43, Total: 233.45
Quality: 64.01%, Team quality: 53.08%, Competitiveness: 93.07%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 22.23%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.94%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 21.13%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 21.26%
#5: Philadelphia 76ers (-3.17, 40.21%) at Toronto Raptors (3.17, 59.79%)
Estimated score: 111.98 - 115.08, Total: 227.06
Quality: 59.61%, Team quality: 46.60%, Competitiveness: 97.53%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 19.76%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.51%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 13.31%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 31.30%
#6: Milwaukee Bucks (-12.18, 17.08%) at Denver Nuggets (12.18, 82.92%)
Estimated score: 113.97 - 126.12, Total: 240.10
Quality: 50.97%, Team quality: 43.75%, Competitiveness: 69.15%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 36.46%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 19.77%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 31.56%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 13.15%
#7: Brooklyn Nets (-5.46, 33.48%) at Memphis Grizzlies (5.46, 66.52%)
Estimated score: 107.83 - 113.31, Total: 221.14
Quality: 42.37%, Team quality: 28.62%, Competitiveness: 92.86%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 22.35%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.87%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 8.10%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 42.05%
#8: New Orleans Pelicans (-10.77, 20.02%) at Orlando Magic (10.77, 79.98%)
Estimated score: 112.43 - 123.18, Total: 235.61
Quality: 38.37%, Team quality: 27.46%, Competitiveness: 74.96%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 32.83%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 21.71%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 24.29%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 18.35%
#9: Houston Rockets (14.81, 87.64%) at Sacramento Kings (-14.81, 12.36%)
Estimated score: 123.16 - 108.33, Total: 231.49
Quality: 37.23%, Team quality: 29.85%, Competitiveness: 57.88%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 43.87%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 16.08%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 18.48%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 24.13%
#10: Washington Wizards (-15.59, 11.17%) at Phoenix Suns (15.59, 88.83%)
Estimated score: 108.86 - 124.43, Total: 233.29
Quality: 16.73%, Team quality: 9.26%, Competitiveness: 54.58%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 46.15%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 15.02%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 20.90%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 21.49%
Games on Monday, January 12, 2026
#1: Philadelphia 76ers (-3.17, 40.21%) at Toronto Raptors (3.17, 59.79%)
Estimated score: 111.98 - 115.08, Total: 227.06
Quality: 59.61%, Team quality: 46.60%, Competitiveness: 97.53%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 19.76%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.51%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 13.31%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 31.30%
#2: Charlotte Hornets (-3.76, 38.45%) at Los Angeles Clippers (3.76, 61.55%)
Estimated score: 110.98 - 114.76, Total: 225.73
Quality: 43.72%, Team quality: 29.42%, Competitiveness: 96.55%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 20.30%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.17%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 11.98%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 33.61%
#3: Utah Jazz (-8.39, 25.60%) at Cleveland Cavaliers (8.39, 74.40%)
Estimated score: 121.70 - 130.10, Total: 251.80
Quality: 42.00%, Team quality: 29.71%, Competitiveness: 83.95%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 27.44%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.77%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 53.47%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 4.59%
#4: Brooklyn Nets (-2.08, 43.55%) at Dallas Mavericks (2.08, 56.45%)
Estimated score: 109.72 - 111.89, Total: 221.61
Quality: 35.24%, Team quality: 21.03%, Competitiveness: 98.93%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 19.00%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.01%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 8.44%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 41.17%
#5: Los Angeles Lakers (7.24, 71.40%) at Sacramento Kings (-7.24, 28.60%)
Estimated score: 119.79 - 112.50, Total: 232.29
Quality: 35.09%, Team quality: 22.18%, Competitiveness: 87.81%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 25.20%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.11%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 19.54%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 22.94%
#6: Boston Celtics (12.94, 84.39%) at Indiana Pacers (-12.94, 15.61%)
Estimated score: 118.05 - 105.13, Total: 223.18
Quality: 31.61%, Team quality: 21.89%, Competitiveness: 65.93%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 38.52%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 18.70%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 9.68%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 38.23%
Games on Tuesday, January 13, 2026
#1: San Antonio Spurs (-8.68, 24.89%) at Oklahoma City Thunder (8.68, 75.11%)
Estimated score: 109.77 - 118.46, Total: 228.23
Quality: 87.40%, Team quality: 89.72%, Competitiveness: 82.94%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.03%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.43%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 14.57%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 29.32%
#2: Phoenix Suns (-3.01, 40.70%) at Miami Heat (3.01, 59.30%)
Estimated score: 115.18 - 118.20, Total: 233.38
Quality: 78.00%, Team quality: 69.66%, Competitiveness: 97.78%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 19.63%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.60%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 21.04%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 21.36%
#3: Atlanta Hawks (-3.48, 39.30%) at Los Angeles Lakers (3.48, 60.70%)
Estimated score: 117.73 - 121.28, Total: 239.00
Quality: 61.16%, Team quality: 48.56%, Competitiveness: 97.05%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 20.03%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.34%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 29.71%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 14.32%
#4: Portland Trail Blazers (-6.43, 30.77%) at Golden State Warriors (6.43, 69.23%)
Estimated score: 112.50 - 118.94, Total: 231.44
Quality: 59.14%, Team quality: 47.88%, Competitiveness: 90.24%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 23.82%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.95%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 18.42%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 24.21%
#5: Minnesota Timberwolves (5.91, 67.79%) at Milwaukee Bucks (-5.91, 32.21%)
Estimated score: 117.15 - 111.23, Total: 228.38
Quality: 58.40%, Team quality: 46.61%, Competitiveness: 91.69%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 23.00%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.46%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 14.74%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 29.06%
#6: Denver Nuggets (11.44, 81.42%) at New Orleans Pelicans (-11.44, 18.58%)
Estimated score: 130.47 - 119.07, Total: 249.54
Quality: 46.77%, Team quality: 37.64%, Competitiveness: 72.23%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 34.52%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 20.80%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 49.12%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 5.74%
#7: Chicago Bulls (-15.31, 11.58%) at Houston Rockets (15.31, 88.42%)
Estimated score: 111.47 - 126.77, Total: 238.24
Quality: 41.89%, Team quality: 36.31%, Competitiveness: 55.73%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 45.34%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 15.39%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 28.43%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 15.17%
Games on Wednesday, January 14, 2026
#1: Cleveland Cavaliers (0.87, 52.70%) at Philadelphia 76ers (-0.87, 47.30%)
Estimated score: 118.09 - 117.26, Total: 235.35
Quality: 64.13%, Team quality: 51.41%, Competitiveness: 99.81%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.53%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.32%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 23.89%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 18.69%
#2: Denver Nuggets (9.39, 76.83%) at Dallas Mavericks (-9.39, 23.17%)
Estimated score: 125.53 - 116.21, Total: 241.75
Quality: 57.42%, Team quality: 48.55%, Competitiveness: 80.34%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 29.57%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.54%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 34.46%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 11.52%
#3: New York Knicks (12.57, 83.69%) at Sacramento Kings (-12.57, 16.31%)
Estimated score: 123.15 - 110.58, Total: 233.73
Quality: 38.01%, Team quality: 28.52%, Competitiveness: 67.50%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 37.51%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 19.22%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 21.51%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 20.88%
#4: Utah Jazz (-1.77, 44.50%) at Chicago Bulls (1.77, 55.50%)
Estimated score: 126.38 - 128.17, Total: 254.55
Quality: 30.53%, Team quality: 16.94%, Competitiveness: 99.23%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.84%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.11%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 58.73%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 3.44%
#5: Brooklyn Nets (-0.03, 49.91%) at New Orleans Pelicans (0.03, 50.09%)
Estimated score: 114.66 - 114.75, Total: 229.40
Quality: 29.85%, Team quality: 16.31%, Competitiveness: 100.00%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.42%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.39%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 15.91%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 27.39%
#6: Toronto Raptors (8.15, 73.78%) at Indiana Pacers (-8.15, 26.22%)
Estimated score: 116.01 - 107.90, Total: 223.91
Quality: 29.00%, Team quality: 16.95%, Competitiveness: 84.80%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.94%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.07%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 10.31%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 36.89%
#7: Washington Wizards (-11.52, 18.42%) at Los Angeles Clippers (11.52, 81.58%)
Estimated score: 110.20 - 121.70, Total: 231.90
Quality: 15.52%, Team quality: 7.21%, Competitiveness: 71.91%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 34.72%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 20.69%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 19.03%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 23.51%
Games on Thursday, January 15, 2026
#1: Oklahoma City Thunder (2.52, 57.81%) at Houston Rockets (-2.52, 42.19%)
Estimated score: 115.58 - 113.06, Total: 228.64
Quality: 97.47%, Team quality: 96.99%, Competitiveness: 98.44%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 19.27%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.83%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 15.03%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 28.63%
#2: Boston Celtics (-0.11, 49.66%) at Miami Heat (0.11, 50.34%)
Estimated score: 116.59 - 116.71, Total: 233.30
Quality: 85.68%, Team quality: 79.31%, Competitiveness: 100.00%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.43%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.38%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 20.91%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 21.49%
#3: New York Knicks (1.78, 55.52%) at Golden State Warriors (-1.78, 44.48%)
Estimated score: 115.42 - 113.65, Total: 229.07
Quality: 85.37%, Team quality: 79.19%, Competitiveness: 99.22%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.85%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.11%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 15.53%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 27.92%
#4: Phoenix Suns (-3.49, 39.26%) at Detroit Pistons (3.49, 60.74%)
Estimated score: 110.98 - 114.46, Total: 225.44
Quality: 78.56%, Team quality: 70.70%, Competitiveness: 97.02%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 20.04%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.33%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 11.70%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 34.13%
#5: Memphis Grizzlies (-5.33, 33.85%) at Orlando Magic (5.33, 66.15%)
Estimated score: 111.00 - 116.35, Total: 227.35
Quality: 64.66%, Team quality: 53.87%, Competitiveness: 93.19%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 22.16%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.98%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 13.62%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 30.80%
#6: Atlanta Hawks (-0.60, 48.13%) at Portland Trail Blazers (0.60, 51.87%)
Estimated score: 121.09 - 121.71, Total: 242.80
Quality: 54.04%, Team quality: 39.75%, Competitiveness: 99.91%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 18.47%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 30.35%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 36.36%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 10.56%
#7: Milwaukee Bucks (-10.95, 19.63%) at San Antonio Spurs (10.95, 80.37%)
Estimated score: 108.61 - 119.53, Total: 228.14
Quality: 51.44%, Team quality: 42.82%, Competitiveness: 74.24%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 33.27%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 21.47%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 14.48%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 29.46%
#8: Charlotte Hornets (-6.40, 30.85%) at Los Angeles Lakers (6.40, 69.15%)
Estimated score: 113.25 - 119.71, Total: 232.96
Quality: 48.24%, Team quality: 35.25%, Competitiveness: 90.32%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 23.77%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.98%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 20.45%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 21.96%
#9: Utah Jazz (-2.77, 41.42%) at Dallas Mavericks (2.77, 58.58%)
Estimated score: 121.85 - 124.67, Total: 246.52
Quality: 32.90%, Team quality: 19.05%, Competitiveness: 98.11%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 19.45%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 29.72%
High scoring probability (total >= 250.0 pts): 43.31%
Low scoring probability (total <= 217.0 pts): 7.63%Ratings and predictions will be updated on an approximately weekly basis during the season. I expect the next update will be posted around January 6, 2026 with games played through January 5, 2026.