NBA Data
This page serves as a landing page for data from the current NBA season. I will update it approximately weekly during the season with new ratings and game predictions. New types of analysis will be added as they are developed.
Updated for games played through November 30, 2025. Games from the 2024-25 regular season and postseason are weighted at 2%, and 2025-26 preseason games are weighted at 20%. Changes in the ratings are relative to ratings from the prior week.
Predictive Ratings
Predictive Ratings
Home advantage: 1.80 points
Mean score: 113.99 points
Rank Rating Team Offense Defense
1 11.73 Oklahoma City Thunder 3.01 8.73
2 11.49 Houston Rockets 5.30 6.17
3 8.11 Denver Nuggets 6.74 1.37
4 6.02 Orlando Magic 2.14 3.86
5 5.86 New York Knicks 1.94 3.93
6 4.76 Detroit Pistons 2.12 2.65
7 4.66 Boston Celtics -1.59 6.25
8 4.53 Miami Heat 5.29 -0.73
9 4.21 San Antonio Spurs 1.92 2.30
10 3.53 Minnesota Timberwolves 1.23 2.32
11 3.26 Cleveland Cavaliers 2.26 1.00
12 2.45 Toronto Raptors -0.03 2.51
13 2.17 Los Angeles Lakers 0.86 1.30
14 1.81 Phoenix Suns -0.54 2.36
15 1.68 Atlanta Hawks 2.05 -0.38
16 1.52 Golden State Warriors -2.23 3.74
17 -0.92 Portland Trail Blazers 2.66 -3.57
18 -1.55 Philadelphia 76ers 0.82 -2.36
19 -1.95 Milwaukee Bucks -1.24 -0.70
20 -2.56 Memphis Grizzlies -1.55 -0.98
Rank Rating Team Offense Defense
21 -2.60 Chicago Bulls 2.70 -5.31
22 -4.48 Los Angeles Clippers -4.54 0.04
23 -5.03 Charlotte Hornets -1.86 -3.16
24 -5.84 Dallas Mavericks -6.41 0.58
25 -7.06 Utah Jazz 1.70 -8.76
26 -7.49 Indiana Pacers -5.77 -1.71
27 -7.76 Sacramento Kings -3.44 -4.32
28 -8.68 Brooklyn Nets -6.88 -1.81
29 -8.85 New Orleans Pelicans -3.63 -5.24
30 -12.91 Washington Wizards -2.93 -10.00 Schedule Strength
Schedule Strength for an Average Team
Home advantage: 1.80 points
Mean score: 113.99 points
Rank Team SOS Future OppRtg Future
1 Oklahoma City Thunder .423 (30) .522 (1) -3.10 (30) 0.84 (1)
2 Houston Rockets .523 (7) .475 (30) 0.82 (8) -0.99 (30)
3 Denver Nuggets .469 (26) .505 (7) -1.22 (26) 0.23 (7)
4 Orlando Magic .523 (6) .484 (29) 0.92 (6) -0.69 (29)
5 New York Knicks .478 (22) .494 (22) -0.98 (23) -0.24 (22)
6 Detroit Pistons .476 (23) .492 (25) -1.00 (24) -0.33 (25)
7 Boston Celtics .499 (17) .496 (21) -0.14 (17) -0.20 (21)
8 Miami Heat .522 (8) .489 (26) 0.87 (7) -0.47 (26)
9 San Antonio Spurs .491 (18) .509 (6) -0.38 (18) 0.38 (6)
10 Minnesota Timberwolves .464 (28) .503 (12) -1.47 (28) 0.16 (10)
11 Cleveland Cavaliers .502 (15) .487 (27) 0.08 (13) -0.54 (27)
12 Toronto Raptors .465 (27) .504 (10) -1.46 (27) 0.13 (12)
13 Los Angeles Lakers .461 (29) .505 (9) -1.51 (29) 0.21 (8)
14 Phoenix Suns .475 (24) .518 (3) -0.93 (22) 0.75 (3)
15 Atlanta Hawks .489 (19) .499 (16) -0.44 (19) -0.08 (17)
16 Golden State Warriors .510 (12) .502 (14) 0.45 (12) 0.08 (13)
17 Portland Trail Blazers .566 (2) .484 (28) 2.76 (2) -0.63 (28)
18 Philadelphia 76ers .502 (16) .497 (20) 0.01 (16) -0.17 (20)
19 Milwaukee Bucks .483 (20) .497 (19) -0.74 (20) -0.14 (19)
20 Memphis Grizzlies .515 (9) .498 (17) 0.55 (10) -0.07 (16)
Rank Team SOS Future OppRtg Future
21 Chicago Bulls .503 (13) .497 (18) 0.05 (14) -0.12 (18)
22 Los Angeles Clippers .515 (10) .501 (15) 0.57 (9) 0.06 (14)
23 Charlotte Hornets .481 (21) .511 (5) -0.81 (21) 0.38 (5)
24 Dallas Mavericks .473 (25) .519 (2) -1.16 (25) 0.77 (2)
25 Utah Jazz .513 (11) .516 (4) 0.50 (11) 0.64 (4)
26 Indiana Pacers .503 (14) .505 (8) 0.05 (15) 0.19 (9)
27 Sacramento Kings .570 (1) .493 (24) 2.92 (1) -0.28 (23)
28 Brooklyn Nets .542 (3) .494 (23) 1.70 (3) -0.29 (24)
29 New Orleans Pelicans .536 (4) .503 (11) 1.52 (4) 0.14 (11)
30 Washington Wizards .531 (5) .502 (13) 1.32 (5) 0.06 (15) Upcoming Game Predictions
Games on Monday, December 1, 2025
#1: Atlanta Hawks (-4.88, 37.34%) at Detroit Pistons (4.88, 62.66%)
Estimated score: 112.50 - 117.39, Total: 229.89
Quality: 75.64%, Team quality: 67.32%, Competitiveness: 95.48%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.94%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.59%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 25.09%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 18.43%
#2: Phoenix Suns (-2.16, 44.31%) at Los Angeles Lakers (2.16, 55.69%)
Estimated score: 111.26 - 113.39, Total: 224.65
Quality: 72.66%, Team quality: 62.21%, Competitiveness: 99.10%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 27.00%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.65%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 17.85%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 25.79%
#3: Chicago Bulls (-10.42, 24.60%) at Orlando Magic (10.42, 75.40%)
Estimated score: 111.93 - 122.35, Total: 234.27
Quality: 58.47%, Team quality: 49.66%, Competitiveness: 81.05%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 37.01%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 20.44%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 32.17%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 13.40%
#4: Los Angeles Clippers (-10.81, 23.79%) at Miami Heat (10.81, 76.21%)
Estimated score: 109.28 - 120.13, Total: 229.41
Quality: 49.66%, Team quality: 39.19%, Competitiveness: 79.74%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 37.77%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 20.07%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 24.37%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 19.04%
#5: Houston Rockets (16.75, 86.40%) at Utah Jazz (-16.75, 13.60%)
Estimated score: 127.16 - 110.43, Total: 237.59
Quality: 44.33%, Team quality: 38.68%, Competitiveness: 58.23%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 50.92%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 14.11%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 38.01%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 10.29%
#6: Cleveland Cavaliers (8.95, 72.26%) at Indiana Pacers (-8.95, 27.74%)
Estimated score: 117.07 - 108.13, Total: 225.20
Quality: 42.73%, Team quality: 30.18%, Competitiveness: 85.63%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 34.40%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 21.74%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 18.54%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 24.96%
#7: Dallas Mavericks (-15.75, 15.06%) at Denver Nuggets (15.75, 84.94%)
Estimated score: 105.31 - 121.05, Total: 226.36
Quality: 42.66%, Team quality: 35.39%, Competitiveness: 61.99%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 48.52%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 15.13%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 20.06%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 23.23%
#8: Charlotte Hornets (1.85, 54.88%) at Brooklyn Nets (-1.85, 45.12%)
Estimated score: 113.04 - 111.17, Total: 224.21
Quality: 25.50%, Team quality: 12.92%, Competitiveness: 99.33%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.87%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.72%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 17.31%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 26.48%
#9: Milwaukee Bucks (9.17, 72.75%) at Washington Wizards (-9.17, 27.25%)
Estimated score: 121.86 - 112.66, Total: 234.52
Quality: 18.81%, Team quality: 8.85%, Competitiveness: 84.97%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 34.77%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 21.55%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 32.60%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 13.14%
Games on Tuesday, December 2, 2025
#1: New York Knicks (-0.61, 48.40%) at Boston Celtics (0.61, 51.60%)
Estimated score: 108.78 - 109.38, Total: 218.16
Quality: 86.51%, Team quality: 80.50%, Competitiveness: 99.93%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.56%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.90%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 10.93%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 36.67%
#2: Oklahoma City Thunder (8.41, 71.08%) at Golden State Warriors (-8.41, 28.92%)
Estimated score: 112.36 - 103.93, Total: 216.29
Quality: 81.84%, Team quality: 79.29%, Competitiveness: 87.18%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 33.53%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.19%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 9.36%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 40.06%
#3: Portland Trail Blazers (-5.17, 36.62%) at Toronto Raptors (5.17, 63.38%)
Estimated score: 113.24 - 118.43, Total: 231.67
Quality: 63.60%, Team quality: 52.06%, Competitiveness: 94.94%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 29.24%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.44%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 27.86%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 16.26%
#4: Memphis Grizzlies (-8.57, 28.58%) at San Antonio Spurs (8.57, 71.42%)
Estimated score: 109.24 - 117.80, Total: 227.04
Quality: 58.24%, Team quality: 47.72%, Competitiveness: 86.73%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 33.77%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.06%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 20.98%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 22.26%
#5: Minnesota Timberwolves (10.58, 75.74%) at New Orleans Pelicans (-10.58, 24.26%)
Estimated score: 119.56 - 108.94, Total: 228.50
Quality: 37.25%, Team quality: 25.34%, Competitiveness: 80.51%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 37.33%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 20.28%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 23.03%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 20.24%
#6: Washington Wizards (-13.17, 19.31%) at Philadelphia 76ers (13.17, 80.69%)
Estimated score: 112.52 - 125.72, Total: 238.24
Quality: 15.68%, Team quality: 7.34%, Competitiveness: 71.52%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 42.63%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 17.76%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 39.20%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 9.74%
Games on Wednesday, December 3, 2025
#1: San Antonio Spurs (-3.61, 40.56%) at Orlando Magic (3.61, 59.44%)
Estimated score: 111.15 - 114.74, Total: 225.89
Quality: 84.33%, Team quality: 78.43%, Competitiveness: 97.50%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 27.85%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.18%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 19.44%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 23.92%
#2: Detroit Pistons (4.91, 62.72%) at Milwaukee Bucks (-4.91, 37.28%)
Estimated score: 115.92 - 111.01, Total: 226.93
Quality: 67.19%, Team quality: 56.38%, Competitiveness: 95.44%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.97%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.58%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 20.82%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 22.42%
#3: Portland Trail Blazers (-5.98, 34.63%) at Cleveland Cavaliers (5.98, 65.37%)
Estimated score: 114.76 - 120.72, Total: 235.48
Quality: 64.51%, Team quality: 53.64%, Competitiveness: 93.30%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 30.13%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.96%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 34.25%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 12.20%
#4: Miami Heat (8.57, 71.43%) at Dallas Mavericks (-8.57, 28.57%)
Estimated score: 117.80 - 109.21, Total: 227.01
Quality: 50.83%, Team quality: 38.91%, Competitiveness: 86.73%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 33.78%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.06%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 20.94%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 22.29%
#5: Los Angeles Clippers (-7.96, 29.94%) at Atlanta Hawks (7.96, 70.06%)
Estimated score: 108.93 - 116.90, Total: 225.83
Quality: 48.03%, Team quality: 35.40%, Competitiveness: 88.43%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 32.82%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.55%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 19.35%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 24.02%
#6: Charlotte Hornets (-12.69, 20.18%) at New York Knicks (12.69, 79.82%)
Estimated score: 107.31 - 119.99, Total: 227.30
Quality: 47.17%, Team quality: 37.84%, Competitiveness: 73.26%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 41.59%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 18.24%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 21.33%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 21.90%
#7: Denver Nuggets (13.80, 81.79%) at Indiana Pacers (-13.80, 18.21%)
Estimated score: 121.54 - 107.76, Total: 229.30
Quality: 44.05%, Team quality: 35.14%, Competitiveness: 69.23%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 44.02%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 17.12%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 24.20%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 19.19%
#8: Sacramento Kings (-21.05, 8.50%) at Houston Rockets (21.05, 91.50%)
Estimated score: 103.48 - 124.51, Total: 227.99
Quality: 31.94%, Team quality: 27.60%, Competitiveness: 42.78%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 61.38%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 10.02%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 22.31%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 20.93%
#9: Brooklyn Nets (-7.89, 30.12%) at Chicago Bulls (7.89, 69.88%)
Estimated score: 111.52 - 119.39, Total: 230.92
Quality: 27.18%, Team quality: 15.05%, Competitiveness: 88.64%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 32.71%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.61%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 26.67%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 17.16%
Games on Thursday, December 4, 2025
#1: Los Angeles Lakers (-2.08, 44.52%) at Toronto Raptors (2.08, 55.48%)
Estimated score: 111.43 - 113.57, Total: 225.00
Quality: 74.23%, Team quality: 64.22%, Competitiveness: 99.16%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.96%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.67%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 18.29%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 25.26%
#2: Golden State Warriors (1.26, 53.33%) at Philadelphia 76ers (-1.26, 46.67%)
Estimated score: 113.23 - 111.97, Total: 225.20
Quality: 62.68%, Team quality: 49.70%, Competitiveness: 99.69%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.68%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.83%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 18.54%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 24.96%
#3: Minnesota Timberwolves (10.58, 75.74%) at New Orleans Pelicans (-10.58, 24.26%)
Estimated score: 119.56 - 108.94, Total: 228.50
Quality: 37.25%, Team quality: 25.34%, Competitiveness: 80.51%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 37.33%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 20.28%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 23.03%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 20.24%
#4: Boston Celtics (15.78, 84.98%) at Washington Wizards (-15.78, 15.02%)
Estimated score: 121.51 - 105.71, Total: 227.22
Quality: 22.28%, Team quality: 13.37%, Competitiveness: 61.88%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 48.59%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 15.10%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 21.22%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 22.01%
#5: Utah Jazz (-0.18, 49.52%) at Brooklyn Nets (0.18, 50.48%)
Estimated score: 116.60 - 116.77, Total: 233.37
Quality: 21.31%, Team quality: 9.83%, Competitiveness: 99.99%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.52%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.92%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 30.65%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 14.34%
Games on Friday, December 5, 2025
#1: Miami Heat (-3.28, 41.40%) at Orlando Magic (3.28, 58.60%)
Estimated score: 114.52 - 117.77, Total: 232.28
Quality: 85.17%, Team quality: 79.43%, Competitiveness: 97.93%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 27.63%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.31%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 28.85%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 15.55%
#2: Denver Nuggets (4.63, 62.03%) at Atlanta Hawks (-4.63, 37.97%)
Estimated score: 120.21 - 115.57, Total: 235.78
Quality: 82.47%, Team quality: 76.47%, Competitiveness: 95.93%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.70%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.72%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 34.78%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 11.91%
#3: San Antonio Spurs (-0.85, 47.75%) at Cleveland Cavaliers (0.85, 52.25%)
Estimated score: 114.02 - 114.86, Total: 228.88
Quality: 80.94%, Team quality: 72.86%, Competitiveness: 99.86%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.59%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.88%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 23.58%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 19.74%
#4: Los Angeles Lakers (-4.29, 38.83%) at Boston Celtics (4.29, 61.17%)
Estimated score: 107.70 - 112.01, Total: 219.71
Quality: 77.20%, Team quality: 69.05%, Competitiveness: 96.49%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.40%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.89%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 12.38%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 33.93%
#5: Phoenix Suns (-11.48, 22.46%) at Houston Rockets (11.48, 77.54%)
Estimated score: 106.39 - 117.84, Total: 224.23
Quality: 75.12%, Team quality: 73.97%, Competitiveness: 77.49%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 39.08%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 19.43%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 17.33%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 26.45%
#6: Portland Trail Blazers (-7.48, 31.06%) at Detroit Pistons (7.48, 68.94%)
Estimated score: 113.11 - 120.58, Total: 233.69
Quality: 65.61%, Team quality: 56.11%, Competitiveness: 89.72%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 32.11%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.92%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 31.18%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 14.01%
#7: Philadelphia 76ers (-1.40, 46.30%) at Milwaukee Bucks (1.40, 53.70%)
Estimated score: 114.61 - 116.02, Total: 230.63
Quality: 52.89%, Team quality: 38.53%, Competitiveness: 99.62%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.72%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.81%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 26.23%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 17.50%
#8: Charlotte Hornets (-9.28, 27.00%) at Toronto Raptors (9.28, 73.00%)
Estimated score: 108.72 - 118.02, Total: 226.74
Quality: 46.29%, Team quality: 34.23%, Competitiveness: 84.62%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 34.97%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 21.46%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 20.57%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 22.68%
#9: Los Angeles Clippers (-3.72, 40.28%) at Memphis Grizzlies (3.72, 59.72%)
Estimated score: 109.53 - 113.30, Total: 222.83
Quality: 41.63%, Team quality: 27.23%, Competitiveness: 97.35%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 27.94%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.14%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 15.67%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 28.68%
#10: Dallas Mavericks (-19.37, 10.28%) at Oklahoma City Thunder (19.37, 89.72%)
Estimated score: 97.95 - 117.32, Total: 215.27
Quality: 40.06%, Team quality: 36.34%, Competitiveness: 48.66%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 57.28%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 11.55%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 8.58%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 41.94%
#11: Utah Jazz (-14.72, 16.67%) at New York Knicks (14.72, 83.33%)
Estimated score: 110.87 - 125.59, Total: 236.46
Quality: 37.93%, Team quality: 28.80%, Competitiveness: 65.82%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 46.12%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 16.18%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 35.98%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 11.28%
#12: Indiana Pacers (-6.69, 32.92%) at Chicago Bulls (6.69, 67.08%)
Estimated score: 112.64 - 119.30, Total: 231.94
Quality: 31.16%, Team quality: 18.17%, Competitiveness: 91.69%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 31.02%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.49%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 28.29%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 15.95%
Games on Saturday, December 6, 2025
#1: Golden State Warriors (-3.55, 40.72%) at Cleveland Cavaliers (3.55, 59.28%)
Estimated score: 109.87 - 113.42, Total: 223.28
Quality: 73.45%, Team quality: 63.72%, Competitiveness: 97.59%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 27.81%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.21%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 16.20%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 27.94%
#2: Milwaukee Bucks (-8.51, 28.71%) at Detroit Pistons (8.51, 71.29%)
Estimated score: 109.21 - 117.72, Total: 226.93
Quality: 61.19%, Team quality: 51.34%, Competitiveness: 86.91%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 33.67%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.11%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 20.82%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 22.42%
#3: Houston Rockets (15.53, 84.60%) at Dallas Mavericks (-15.53, 15.40%)
Estimated score: 117.82 - 102.32, Total: 220.14
Quality: 50.12%, Team quality: 44.77%, Competitiveness: 62.82%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 48.00%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 15.35%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 12.80%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 33.18%
#4: Los Angeles Clippers (-9.81, 25.86%) at Minnesota Timberwolves (9.81, 74.14%)
Estimated score: 106.23 - 116.08, Total: 222.30
Quality: 49.33%, Team quality: 38.03%, Competitiveness: 82.98%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 35.90%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 20.99%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 15.09%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 29.53%
#5: Sacramento Kings (-14.09, 17.71%) at Miami Heat (14.09, 82.29%)
Estimated score: 110.38 - 124.49, Total: 234.87
Quality: 35.07%, Team quality: 25.16%, Competitiveness: 68.14%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 44.69%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 16.82%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 33.20%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 12.79%
#6: Atlanta Hawks (12.80, 80.02%) at Washington Wizards (-12.80, 19.98%)
Estimated score: 125.15 - 112.34, Total: 237.49
Quality: 21.41%, Team quality: 11.60%, Competitiveness: 72.86%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 41.83%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 18.13%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 37.83%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 10.37%
#7: New Orleans Pelicans (-1.96, 44.83%) at Brooklyn Nets (1.96, 55.17%)
Estimated score: 111.27 - 113.25, Total: 224.52
Quality: 17.66%, Team quality: 7.45%, Competitiveness: 99.25%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.92%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.70%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 17.69%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 26.00%
Games on Sunday, December 7, 2025
#1: Orlando Magic (-1.64, 45.68%) at New York Knicks (1.64, 54.32%)
Estimated score: 111.31 - 112.97, Total: 224.28
Quality: 88.28%, Team quality: 83.17%, Competitiveness: 99.48%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.79%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.76%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 17.39%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 26.37%
#2: Boston Celtics (0.41, 51.08%) at Toronto Raptors (-0.41, 48.92%)
Estimated score: 108.99 - 108.61, Total: 217.60
Quality: 80.29%, Team quality: 71.96%, Competitiveness: 99.97%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.53%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.91%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 10.45%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 37.66%
#3: Los Angeles Lakers (1.92, 55.05%) at Philadelphia 76ers (-1.92, 44.95%)
Estimated score: 116.31 - 114.42, Total: 230.73
Quality: 64.19%, Team quality: 51.61%, Competitiveness: 99.29%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.90%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.71%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 26.38%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 17.39%
#4: Golden State Warriors (2.31, 56.09%) at Chicago Bulls (-2.31, 43.91%)
Estimated score: 116.18 - 113.85, Total: 230.02
Quality: 59.29%, Team quality: 45.89%, Competitiveness: 98.97%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 27.07%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.61%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 25.30%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 18.26%
#5: Denver Nuggets (11.34, 77.26%) at Charlotte Hornets (-11.34, 22.74%)
Estimated score: 122.99 - 111.66, Total: 234.65
Quality: 55.52%, Team quality: 46.85%, Competitiveness: 77.96%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 38.80%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 19.56%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 32.81%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 13.01%
#6: Portland Trail Blazers (-0.16, 49.58%) at Memphis Grizzlies (0.16, 50.42%)
Estimated score: 116.74 - 116.91, Total: 233.64
Quality: 53.15%, Team quality: 38.75%, Competitiveness: 100.00%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.52%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.92%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 31.10%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 14.06%
#7: Oklahoma City Thunder (16.99, 86.73%) at Utah Jazz (-16.99, 13.27%)
Estimated score: 124.86 - 107.86, Total: 232.72
Quality: 44.15%, Team quality: 38.74%, Competitiveness: 57.34%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 51.50%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 13.87%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 29.57%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 15.06%
Games on Monday, December 8, 2025
#1: Phoenix Suns (-3.53, 40.78%) at Minnesota Timberwolves (3.53, 59.22%)
Estimated score: 110.24 - 113.76, Total: 224.00
Quality: 74.77%, Team quality: 65.44%, Competitiveness: 97.62%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 27.79%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.22%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 17.06%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 26.80%
#2: San Antonio Spurs (11.26, 77.09%) at New Orleans Pelicans (-11.26, 22.91%)
Estimated score: 120.25 - 108.97, Total: 229.22
Quality: 37.61%, Team quality: 26.07%, Competitiveness: 78.25%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 38.64%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 19.64%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 24.09%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 19.29%
#3: Sacramento Kings (-2.07, 44.54%) at Indiana Pacers (2.07, 55.46%)
Estimated score: 111.36 - 113.44, Total: 224.80
Quality: 22.12%, Team quality: 10.44%, Competitiveness: 99.17%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.96%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.67%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 18.04%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 25.56%
Games on Tuesday, December 9, 2025
#1: Miami Heat (-3.28, 41.40%) at Orlando Magic (3.28, 58.60%)
Estimated score: 114.52 - 117.77, Total: 232.28
Quality: 85.17%, Team quality: 79.43%, Competitiveness: 97.93%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 27.63%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.31%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 28.85%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 15.55%
#2: New York Knicks (1.60, 54.23%) at Toronto Raptors (-1.60, 45.77%)
Estimated score: 112.52 - 110.94, Total: 223.45
Quality: 82.32%, Team quality: 74.87%, Competitiveness: 99.50%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.78%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.77%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 16.40%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 27.67%
Games on Wednesday, December 10, 2025
#1: San Antonio Spurs (0.24, 50.63%) at Los Angeles Lakers (-0.24, 49.37%)
Estimated score: 113.72 - 113.45, Total: 227.17
Quality: 78.77%, Team quality: 69.91%, Competitiveness: 99.99%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.52%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.91%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 21.16%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 22.07%
#2: Phoenix Suns (-11.72, 22.00%) at Oklahoma City Thunder (11.72, 78.00%)
Estimated score: 103.82 - 115.55, Total: 219.37
Quality: 74.90%, Team quality: 74.04%, Competitiveness: 76.66%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 39.57%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 19.20%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 12.05%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 34.52%
Games on Thursday, December 11, 2025
#1: Boston Celtics (4.81, 62.48%) at Milwaukee Bucks (-4.81, 37.52%)
Estimated score: 112.21 - 107.41, Total: 219.61
Quality: 67.07%, Team quality: 56.18%, Competitiveness: 95.61%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.87%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.63%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 12.29%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 34.09%
#2: Los Angeles Clippers (-17.77, 12.23%) at Houston Rockets (17.77, 87.77%)
Estimated score: 102.38 - 120.15, Total: 222.53
Quality: 46.52%, Team quality: 42.99%, Competitiveness: 54.46%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 53.38%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 13.09%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 15.34%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 29.15%
#3: Denver Nuggets (14.07, 82.26%) at Sacramento Kings (-14.07, 17.74%)
Estimated score: 124.14 - 110.08, Total: 234.22
Quality: 42.79%, Team quality: 33.89%, Competitiveness: 68.22%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 44.64%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 16.84%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 32.08%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 13.45%
#4: Portland Trail Blazers (6.13, 65.74%) at New Orleans Pelicans (-6.13, 34.26%)
Estimated score: 120.99 - 114.83, Total: 235.82
Quality: 32.47%, Team quality: 19.19%, Competitiveness: 92.97%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 30.31%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.86%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 34.85%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 11.87%
Games on Friday, December 12, 2025
#1: Minnesota Timberwolves (0.22, 50.58%) at Golden State Warriors (-0.22, 49.42%)
Estimated score: 110.58 - 110.34, Total: 220.93
Quality: 75.82%, Team quality: 66.02%, Competitiveness: 99.99%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.52%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.91%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 13.60%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 31.83%
#2: Atlanta Hawks (-4.88, 37.34%) at Detroit Pistons (4.88, 62.66%)
Estimated score: 112.50 - 117.39, Total: 229.89
Quality: 75.64%, Team quality: 67.32%, Competitiveness: 95.48%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.94%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.59%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 25.09%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 18.43%
#3: Chicago Bulls (0.63, 51.67%) at Charlotte Hornets (-0.63, 48.33%)
Estimated score: 118.95 - 118.35, Total: 237.29
Quality: 41.30%, Team quality: 26.55%, Competitiveness: 99.92%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.56%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.89%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 37.48%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 10.54%
#4: Utah Jazz (-6.31, 33.84%) at Memphis Grizzlies (6.31, 66.16%)
Estimated score: 115.78 - 122.10, Total: 237.88
Quality: 32.65%, Team quality: 19.39%, Competitiveness: 92.58%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 30.53%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.75%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 38.54%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 10.04%
#5: Indiana Pacers (-7.74, 30.46%) at Philadelphia 76ers (7.74, 69.54%)
Estimated score: 109.69 - 117.42, Total: 227.11
Quality: 32.54%, Team quality: 19.67%, Competitiveness: 89.03%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 32.49%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.72%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 21.07%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 22.16%
#6: Brooklyn Nets (-4.65, 37.92%) at Dallas Mavericks (4.65, 62.08%)
Estimated score: 105.63 - 110.29, Total: 215.92
Quality: 22.67%, Team quality: 11.02%, Competitiveness: 95.89%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.72%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.71%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 9.07%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 40.74%
#7: Cleveland Cavaliers (14.38, 82.76%) at Washington Wizards (-14.38, 17.24%)
Estimated score: 125.36 - 110.96, Total: 236.32
Quality: 22.01%, Team quality: 12.61%, Competitiveness: 67.10%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 45.33%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 16.53%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 35.74%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 11.40%
Games on Sunday, December 14, 2025
#1: Golden State Warriors (0.63, 51.67%) at Portland Trail Blazers (-0.63, 48.33%)
Estimated score: 114.43 - 113.82, Total: 228.25
Quality: 64.55%, Team quality: 51.88%, Competitiveness: 99.92%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.56%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.89%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 22.67%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 20.59%
#2: Philadelphia 76ers (-5.03, 36.97%) at Atlanta Hawks (5.03, 63.03%)
Estimated score: 114.29 - 119.31, Total: 233.60
Quality: 60.12%, Team quality: 47.78%, Competitiveness: 95.21%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 29.09%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.51%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 31.02%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 14.11%
#3: Charlotte Hornets (-10.09, 25.28%) at Cleveland Cavaliers (10.09, 74.72%)
Estimated score: 110.23 - 120.32, Total: 230.55
Quality: 46.75%, Team quality: 35.27%, Competitiveness: 82.10%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 36.41%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 20.74%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 26.10%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 17.60%
#4: Sacramento Kings (-13.09, 19.44%) at Minnesota Timberwolves (13.09, 80.56%)
Estimated score: 107.33 - 120.44, Total: 227.77
Quality: 34.98%, Team quality: 24.42%, Competitiveness: 71.79%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 42.47%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 17.83%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 21.98%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 21.24%
#5: Milwaukee Bucks (4.94, 62.80%) at Brooklyn Nets (-4.94, 37.20%)
Estimated score: 113.66 - 108.71, Total: 222.37
Quality: 31.36%, Team quality: 17.98%, Competitiveness: 95.38%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 29.00%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.56%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 15.17%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 29.41%
#6: New Orleans Pelicans (-8.05, 29.74%) at Chicago Bulls (8.05, 70.26%)
Estimated score: 114.78 - 122.82, Total: 237.60
Quality: 26.65%, Team quality: 14.65%, Competitiveness: 88.19%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 32.96%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.48%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 38.03%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 10.27%
#7: Washington Wizards (-7.23, 31.64%) at Indiana Pacers (7.23, 68.36%)
Estimated score: 111.87 - 119.13, Total: 231.00
Quality: 11.42%, Team quality: 4.06%, Competitiveness: 90.36%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 31.75%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.11%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 26.81%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 17.05%
Games on Monday, December 15, 2025
#1: Houston Rockets (1.58, 54.16%) at Denver Nuggets (-1.58, 45.84%)
Estimated score: 117.03 - 115.46, Total: 232.49
Quality: 96.09%, Team quality: 94.42%, Competitiveness: 99.52%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.77%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.78%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 29.18%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 15.32%
#2: Detroit Pistons (-1.70, 45.52%) at Boston Celtics (1.70, 54.48%)
Estimated score: 108.96 - 110.66, Total: 219.62
Quality: 84.32%, Team quality: 77.64%, Competitiveness: 99.44%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.82%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.75%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 12.30%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 34.07%
#3: Memphis Grizzlies (0.12, 50.32%) at Los Angeles Clippers (-0.12, 49.68%)
Estimated score: 111.50 - 111.33, Total: 222.83
Quality: 42.98%, Team quality: 28.18%, Competitiveness: 100.00%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.52%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.92%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 15.67%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 28.68%
#4: Dallas Mavericks (-0.57, 48.49%) at Utah Jazz (0.57, 51.51%)
Estimated score: 115.44 - 116.02, Total: 231.46
Quality: 27.59%, Team quality: 14.50%, Competitiveness: 99.94%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.55%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.90%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 27.53%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 16.50%
Games on Wednesday, December 17, 2025
#1: Cleveland Cavaliers (4.06, 60.59%) at Chicago Bulls (-4.06, 39.41%)
Estimated score: 120.67 - 116.59, Total: 237.26
Quality: 62.63%, Team quality: 50.37%, Competitiveness: 96.85%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.20%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.99%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 37.41%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 10.57%
#2: Memphis Grizzlies (-7.89, 30.10%) at Minnesota Timberwolves (7.89, 69.90%)
Estimated score: 109.22 - 117.10, Total: 226.32
Quality: 57.85%, Team quality: 46.74%, Competitiveness: 88.62%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 32.72%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.60%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 20.00%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 23.29%
#3: Los Angeles Clippers (-18.01, 11.92%) at Oklahoma City Thunder (18.01, 88.08%)
Estimated score: 99.81 - 117.86, Total: 217.67
Quality: 46.30%, Team quality: 43.03%, Competitiveness: 53.58%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 53.97%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 12.86%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 10.51%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 37.54%
#4: Washington Wizards (-18.92, 10.80%) at San Antonio Spurs (18.92, 89.20%)
Estimated score: 107.86 - 126.82, Total: 234.68
Quality: 16.78%, Team quality: 9.70%, Competitiveness: 50.25%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 56.20%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 11.97%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 32.87%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 12.98%
Games on Thursday, December 18, 2025
#1: Orlando Magic (-3.89, 39.83%) at Denver Nuggets (3.89, 60.17%)
Estimated score: 113.87 - 117.77, Total: 231.63
Quality: 89.69%, Team quality: 86.20%, Competitiveness: 97.10%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.07%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.07%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 27.80%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 16.30%
#2: Golden State Warriors (-2.09, 44.49%) at Phoenix Suns (2.09, 55.51%)
Estimated score: 108.51 - 110.62, Total: 219.12
Quality: 71.09%, Team quality: 60.20%, Competitiveness: 99.15%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.97%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.67%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 11.82%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 34.95%
#3: Toronto Raptors (2.60, 56.83%) at Milwaukee Bucks (-2.60, 43.17%)
Estimated score: 113.77 - 111.14, Total: 224.91
Quality: 63.47%, Team quality: 50.90%, Competitiveness: 98.70%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 27.21%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.54%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 18.17%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 25.40%
#4: Detroit Pistons (8.80, 71.93%) at Dallas Mavericks (-8.80, 28.07%)
Estimated score: 114.64 - 105.84, Total: 220.48
Quality: 50.98%, Team quality: 39.24%, Competitiveness: 86.07%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 34.15%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 21.87%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 13.14%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 32.60%
#5: Atlanta Hawks (4.91, 62.74%) at Charlotte Hornets (-4.91, 37.26%)
Estimated score: 118.30 - 113.41, Total: 231.71
Quality: 50.77%, Team quality: 37.04%, Competitiveness: 95.42%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.98%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.58%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 27.93%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 16.21%
#6: New York Knicks (11.54, 77.65%) at Indiana Pacers (-11.54, 22.35%)
Estimated score: 116.74 - 105.20, Total: 221.94
Quality: 44.09%, Team quality: 33.30%, Competitiveness: 77.28%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 39.21%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 19.37%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 14.69%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 30.13%
#7: Los Angeles Lakers (7.44, 68.84%) at Utah Jazz (-7.44, 31.16%)
Estimated score: 122.71 - 115.30, Total: 238.01
Quality: 43.38%, Team quality: 30.14%, Competitiveness: 89.83%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 32.04%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.95%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 38.78%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 9.93%
#8: Miami Heat (11.42, 77.41%) at Brooklyn Nets (-11.42, 22.59%)
Estimated score: 120.18 - 108.74, Total: 228.92
Quality: 38.44%, Team quality: 27.03%, Competitiveness: 77.70%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 38.96%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 19.49%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 23.65%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 19.68%
#9: Houston Rockets (18.54, 88.74%) at New Orleans Pelicans (-18.54, 11.26%)
Estimated score: 123.63 - 105.10, Total: 228.73
Quality: 36.26%, Team quality: 30.38%, Competitiveness: 51.65%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 55.26%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 12.34%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 23.36%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 19.94%
#10: Sacramento Kings (-8.64, 28.41%) at Portland Trail Blazers (8.64, 71.59%)
Estimated score: 113.21 - 121.87, Total: 235.09
Quality: 32.26%, Team quality: 19.70%, Competitiveness: 86.53%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 33.89%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.00%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 33.57%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 12.58%
Games on Friday, December 19, 2025
#1: Oklahoma City Thunder (6.39, 66.38%) at Minnesota Timberwolves (-6.39, 33.62%)
Estimated score: 113.78 - 107.39, Total: 221.17
Quality: 87.97%, Team quality: 85.85%, Competitiveness: 92.37%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 30.64%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.69%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 13.86%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 31.42%
#2: Miami Heat (-1.93, 44.92%) at Boston Celtics (1.93, 55.08%)
Estimated score: 112.13 - 114.04, Total: 226.16
Quality: 83.80%, Team quality: 76.99%, Competitiveness: 99.28%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.90%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.71%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 19.79%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 23.52%
#3: San Antonio Spurs (0.73, 51.92%) at Atlanta Hawks (-0.73, 48.08%)
Estimated score: 115.39 - 114.65, Total: 230.04
Quality: 77.64%, Team quality: 68.45%, Competitiveness: 99.90%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.57%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.89%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 25.32%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 18.24%
#4: Philadelphia 76ers (-9.20, 27.18%) at New York Knicks (9.20, 72.82%)
Estimated score: 109.99 - 119.19, Total: 229.18
Quality: 63.22%, Team quality: 54.57%, Competitiveness: 84.86%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 34.83%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 21.52%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 24.02%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 19.34%
#5: Chicago Bulls (-7.66, 30.64%) at Cleveland Cavaliers (7.66, 69.36%)
Estimated score: 114.79 - 122.47, Total: 237.26
Quality: 57.48%, Team quality: 46.13%, Competitiveness: 89.25%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 32.37%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.78%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 37.41%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 10.57%
Games on Saturday, December 20, 2025
#1: Houston Rockets (1.58, 54.16%) at Denver Nuggets (-1.58, 45.84%)
Estimated score: 117.03 - 115.46, Total: 232.49
Quality: 96.09%, Team quality: 94.42%, Competitiveness: 99.52%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.77%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.78%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 29.18%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 15.32%
#2: Boston Celtics (0.41, 51.08%) at Toronto Raptors (-0.41, 48.92%)
Estimated score: 108.99 - 108.61, Total: 217.60
Quality: 80.29%, Team quality: 71.96%, Competitiveness: 99.97%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.53%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.91%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 10.45%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 37.66%
#3: Phoenix Suns (-1.51, 46.03%) at Golden State Warriors (1.51, 53.97%)
Estimated score: 108.82 - 110.31, Total: 219.12
Quality: 71.38%, Team quality: 60.45%, Competitiveness: 99.56%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.75%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.79%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 11.82%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 34.95%
#4: Los Angeles Lakers (4.85, 62.59%) at Los Angeles Clippers (-4.85, 37.41%)
Estimated score: 113.90 - 109.05, Total: 222.96
Quality: 53.71%, Team quality: 40.27%, Competitiveness: 95.53%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.92%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.61%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 15.82%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 28.46%
#5: Charlotte Hornets (-11.59, 22.25%) at Detroit Pistons (11.59, 77.75%)
Estimated score: 108.59 - 120.18, Total: 228.76
Quality: 47.18%, Team quality: 36.90%, Competitiveness: 77.11%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 39.31%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 19.32%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 23.41%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 19.89%
#6: Orlando Magic (11.28, 77.15%) at Utah Jazz (-11.28, 22.85%)
Estimated score: 124.00 - 112.74, Total: 236.73
Quality: 46.02%, Team quality: 35.31%, Competitiveness: 78.16%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 38.69%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 19.62%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 36.47%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 11.03%
#7: Dallas Mavericks (-6.09, 34.36%) at Philadelphia 76ers (6.09, 65.64%)
Estimated score: 109.05 - 115.14, Total: 224.18
Quality: 38.56%, Team quality: 24.82%, Competitiveness: 93.06%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 30.27%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.89%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 17.28%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 26.52%
#8: Portland Trail Blazers (5.04, 63.06%) at Sacramento Kings (-5.04, 36.94%)
Estimated score: 120.07 - 115.02, Total: 235.09
Quality: 36.21%, Team quality: 22.33%, Competitiveness: 95.19%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 29.10%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.51%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 33.57%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 12.58%
#9: Indiana Pacers (-0.44, 48.84%) at New Orleans Pelicans (0.44, 51.16%)
Estimated score: 112.56 - 112.98, Total: 225.54
Quality: 20.12%, Team quality: 9.02%, Competitiveness: 99.96%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.54%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.91%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 18.98%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 24.45%
#10: Washington Wizards (-12.16, 21.17%) at Memphis Grizzlies (12.16, 78.83%)
Estimated score: 111.14 - 123.34, Total: 234.49
Quality: 15.14%, Team quality: 6.80%, Competitiveness: 75.14%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 40.47%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 18.77%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 32.53%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 13.18%
Games on Sunday, December 21, 2025
#1: Miami Heat (-3.12, 41.81%) at New York Knicks (3.12, 58.19%)
Estimated score: 114.45 - 117.56, Total: 232.01
Quality: 85.04%, Team quality: 79.17%, Competitiveness: 98.12%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 27.52%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.37%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 28.41%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 15.86%
#2: Milwaukee Bucks (-7.28, 31.52%) at Minnesota Timberwolves (7.28, 68.48%)
Estimated score: 109.54 - 116.82, Total: 226.36
Quality: 60.49%, Team quality: 49.53%, Competitiveness: 90.23%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 31.82%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.07%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 20.05%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 23.24%
#3: Chicago Bulls (-6.08, 34.38%) at Atlanta Hawks (6.08, 65.62%)
Estimated score: 116.17 - 122.26, Total: 238.42
Quality: 55.91%, Team quality: 43.34%, Competitiveness: 93.08%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 30.25%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.89%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 39.53%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 9.59%
#4: Houston Rockets (17.45, 87.35%) at Sacramento Kings (-17.45, 12.65%)
Estimated score: 122.71 - 105.28, Total: 227.99
Quality: 41.12%, Team quality: 35.35%, Competitiveness: 55.65%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 52.60%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 13.41%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 22.31%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 20.93%
#5: Toronto Raptors (9.34, 73.11%) at Brooklyn Nets (-9.34, 26.89%)
Estimated score: 114.87 - 105.50, Total: 220.37
Quality: 37.12%, Team quality: 24.61%, Competitiveness: 84.46%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 35.06%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 21.41%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 13.03%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 32.79%
#6: San Antonio Spurs (15.32, 84.29%) at Washington Wizards (-15.32, 15.71%)
Estimated score: 125.02 - 109.66, Total: 234.68
Quality: 22.22%, Team quality: 13.14%, Competitiveness: 63.57%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 47.52%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 15.56%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 32.87%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 12.98%
Games on Monday, December 22, 2025
#1: Orlando Magic (2.70, 57.10%) at Golden State Warriors (-2.70, 42.90%)
Estimated score: 111.50 - 108.80, Total: 220.30
Quality: 80.15%, Team quality: 72.27%, Competitiveness: 98.59%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 27.27%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.50%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 12.96%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 32.90%
#2: Detroit Pistons (3.88, 60.13%) at Portland Trail Blazers (-3.88, 39.87%)
Estimated score: 118.78 - 114.91, Total: 233.69
Quality: 70.91%, Team quality: 60.58%, Competitiveness: 97.12%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.06%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.07%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 31.18%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 14.01%
#3: Memphis Grizzlies (-16.09, 14.56%) at Oklahoma City Thunder (16.09, 85.44%)
Estimated score: 102.80 - 118.88, Total: 221.69
Quality: 55.37%, Team quality: 52.88%, Competitiveness: 60.71%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 49.33%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 14.78%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 14.41%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 30.55%
#4: Charlotte Hornets (-10.09, 25.28%) at Cleveland Cavaliers (10.09, 74.72%)
Estimated score: 110.23 - 120.32, Total: 230.55
Quality: 46.75%, Team quality: 35.27%, Competitiveness: 82.10%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 36.41%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 20.74%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 26.10%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 17.60%
#5: Utah Jazz (-16.98, 13.29%) at Denver Nuggets (16.98, 86.71%)
Estimated score: 113.43 - 130.39, Total: 243.81
Quality: 37.12%, Team quality: 29.85%, Competitiveness: 57.40%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 51.46%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 13.88%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 49.65%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 5.91%
#6: Indiana Pacers (-13.95, 17.95%) at Boston Celtics (13.95, 82.05%)
Estimated score: 101.08 - 115.02, Total: 216.09
Quality: 36.23%, Team quality: 26.32%, Competitiveness: 68.68%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 44.36%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 16.97%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 9.20%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 40.43%
#7: Dallas Mavericks (1.21, 53.20%) at New Orleans Pelicans (-1.21, 46.80%)
Estimated score: 111.92 - 110.69, Total: 222.61
Quality: 23.47%, Team quality: 11.39%, Competitiveness: 99.72%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.67%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.83%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 15.43%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 29.03%
Games on Tuesday, December 23, 2025
#1: Oklahoma City Thunder (5.72, 64.74%) at San Antonio Spurs (-5.72, 35.26%)
Estimated score: 113.80 - 108.08, Total: 221.89
Quality: 89.67%, Team quality: 87.65%, Competitiveness: 93.85%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 29.83%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.12%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 14.63%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 30.22%
#2: New York Knicks (0.52, 51.38%) at Minnesota Timberwolves (-0.52, 48.62%)
Estimated score: 112.71 - 112.19, Total: 224.90
Quality: 84.62%, Team quality: 77.86%, Competitiveness: 99.95%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.55%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.90%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 18.17%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 25.40%
#3: Toronto Raptors (-3.88, 39.86%) at Miami Heat (3.88, 60.14%)
Estimated score: 113.79 - 117.66, Total: 231.46
Quality: 77.97%, Team quality: 69.86%, Competitiveness: 97.12%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.06%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.07%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 27.53%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 16.51%
#4: Los Angeles Lakers (-1.44, 46.21%) at Phoenix Suns (1.44, 53.79%)
Estimated score: 111.59 - 113.06, Total: 224.65
Quality: 73.02%, Team quality: 62.52%, Competitiveness: 99.60%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.73%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.80%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 17.85%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 25.79%
#5: Orlando Magic (5.14, 63.30%) at Portland Trail Blazers (-5.14, 36.70%)
Estimated score: 118.80 - 113.69, Total: 232.49
Quality: 72.33%, Team quality: 63.11%, Competitiveness: 95.01%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 29.20%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.46%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 29.20%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 15.31%
#6: Houston Rockets (14.17, 82.42%) at Los Angeles Clippers (-14.17, 17.58%)
Estimated score: 118.35 - 104.18, Total: 222.53
Quality: 56.59%, Team quality: 51.67%, Competitiveness: 67.86%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 44.86%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 16.74%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 15.34%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 29.15%
#7: Chicago Bulls (-6.08, 34.38%) at Atlanta Hawks (6.08, 65.62%)
Estimated score: 116.17 - 122.26, Total: 238.42
Quality: 55.91%, Team quality: 43.34%, Competitiveness: 93.08%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 30.25%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.89%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 39.53%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 9.59%
#8: Denver Nuggets (12.15, 78.82%) at Dallas Mavericks (-12.15, 21.18%)
Estimated score: 119.25 - 107.11, Total: 226.36
Quality: 51.74%, Team quality: 42.92%, Competitiveness: 75.17%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 40.45%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 18.78%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 20.06%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 23.23%
#9: Detroit Pistons (10.72, 76.02%) at Sacramento Kings (-10.72, 23.98%)
Estimated score: 119.53 - 108.80, Total: 228.34
Quality: 42.51%, Team quality: 30.98%, Competitiveness: 80.05%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 37.59%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 20.15%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 22.79%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 20.46%
#10: Memphis Grizzlies (2.71, 57.11%) at Utah Jazz (-2.71, 42.89%)
Estimated score: 120.30 - 117.58, Total: 237.88
Quality: 35.27%, Team quality: 21.09%, Competitiveness: 98.59%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 27.27%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.50%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 38.54%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 10.04%
#11: Milwaukee Bucks (3.74, 59.77%) at Indiana Pacers (-3.74, 40.23%)
Estimated score: 113.57 - 109.83, Total: 223.40
Quality: 35.21%, Team quality: 21.18%, Competitiveness: 97.32%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 27.95%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.13%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 16.34%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 27.76%
#12: New Orleans Pelicans (-13.91, 18.02%) at Cleveland Cavaliers (13.91, 81.98%)
Estimated score: 108.47 - 122.39, Total: 230.86
Quality: 30.54%, Team quality: 20.34%, Competitiveness: 68.82%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 44.27%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 17.01%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 26.58%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 17.23%
#13: Brooklyn Nets (-8.94, 27.76%) at Philadelphia 76ers (8.94, 72.24%)
Estimated score: 108.57 - 117.52, Total: 226.09
Quality: 28.34%, Team quality: 16.30%, Competitiveness: 85.66%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 34.38%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 21.75%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 19.70%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 23.63%
#14: Washington Wizards (-9.69, 26.14%) at Charlotte Hornets (9.69, 73.86%)
Estimated score: 113.32 - 123.04, Total: 236.36
Quality: 13.47%, Team quality: 5.41%, Competitiveness: 83.38%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 35.67%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 21.10%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 35.80%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 11.37%
Games on Thursday, December 25, 2025
#1: Houston Rockets (7.52, 69.03%) at Los Angeles Lakers (-7.52, 30.97%)
Estimated score: 117.10 - 109.58, Total: 226.68
Quality: 84.10%, Team quality: 81.47%, Competitiveness: 89.62%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 32.16%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.89%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 20.49%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 22.77%
#2: San Antonio Spurs (-9.32, 26.92%) at Oklahoma City Thunder (9.32, 73.08%)
Estimated score: 106.28 - 115.60, Total: 221.89
Quality: 83.64%, Team quality: 83.20%, Competitiveness: 84.51%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 35.03%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 21.42%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 14.63%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 30.22%
#3: Minnesota Timberwolves (-6.38, 33.66%) at Denver Nuggets (6.38, 66.34%)
Estimated score: 112.95 - 119.31, Total: 232.26
Quality: 83.06%, Team quality: 78.75%, Competitiveness: 92.41%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 30.62%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.70%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 28.81%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 15.58%
#4: Cleveland Cavaliers (-4.40, 38.56%) at New York Knicks (4.40, 61.44%)
Estimated score: 111.43 - 115.83, Total: 227.26
Quality: 81.54%, Team quality: 75.03%, Competitiveness: 96.32%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.49%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.84%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 21.28%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 21.95%
#5: Dallas Mavericks (-9.15, 27.29%) at Golden State Warriors (9.15, 72.71%)
Estimated score: 102.94 - 112.09, Total: 215.03
Quality: 42.14%, Team quality: 29.67%, Competitiveness: 85.02%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 34.74%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 21.57%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 8.40%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 42.39%
Games on Friday, December 26, 2025
#1: Miami Heat (1.05, 52.77%) at Atlanta Hawks (-1.05, 47.23%)
Estimated score: 118.76 - 117.67, Total: 236.43
Quality: 78.27%, Team quality: 69.32%, Competitiveness: 99.79%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.63%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.85%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 35.93%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 11.31%
#2: Philadelphia 76ers (-0.75, 48.02%) at Chicago Bulls (0.75, 51.98%)
Estimated score: 119.22 - 119.95, Total: 239.17
Quality: 51.18%, Team quality: 36.63%, Competitiveness: 99.89%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.58%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.89%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 40.92%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 8.99%
#3: Milwaukee Bucks (-1.19, 46.87%) at Memphis Grizzlies (1.19, 53.13%)
Estimated score: 112.84 - 114.04, Total: 226.88
Quality: 50.05%, Team quality: 35.46%, Competitiveness: 99.73%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.66%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.84%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 20.76%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 22.49%
#4: Charlotte Hornets (-12.85, 19.88%) at Orlando Magic (12.85, 80.12%)
Estimated score: 107.37 - 120.20, Total: 227.57
Quality: 47.14%, Team quality: 37.97%, Competitiveness: 72.68%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 41.93%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 18.08%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 21.70%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 21.52%
#5: Detroit Pistons (10.03, 74.58%) at Utah Jazz (-10.03, 25.42%)
Estimated score: 123.98 - 113.95, Total: 237.93
Quality: 45.56%, Team quality: 33.90%, Competitiveness: 82.31%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 36.29%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 20.80%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 38.63%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 10.00%
#6: Los Angeles Clippers (-5.36, 36.14%) at Portland Trail Blazers (5.36, 63.86%)
Estimated score: 112.11 - 117.51, Total: 229.63
Quality: 44.65%, Team quality: 30.68%, Competitiveness: 94.57%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 29.44%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.33%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 24.69%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 18.77%
#7: Boston Celtics (10.35, 75.25%) at Indiana Pacers (-10.35, 24.75%)
Estimated score: 113.22 - 102.88, Total: 216.09
Quality: 43.66%, Team quality: 32.00%, Competitiveness: 81.27%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 36.88%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 20.50%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 9.20%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 40.43%
#8: Phoenix Suns (8.86, 72.07%) at New Orleans Pelicans (-8.86, 27.93%)
Estimated score: 117.79 - 108.91, Total: 226.70
Quality: 35.89%, Team quality: 23.20%, Competitiveness: 85.89%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 34.25%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 21.82%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 20.51%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 22.74%
#9: Toronto Raptors (13.57, 81.39%) at Washington Wizards (-13.57, 18.61%)
Estimated score: 123.07 - 109.45, Total: 232.51
Quality: 21.74%, Team quality: 12.11%, Competitiveness: 70.07%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 43.51%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 17.35%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 29.23%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 15.29%
Games on Saturday, December 27, 2025
#1: Denver Nuggets (0.29, 50.77%) at Orlando Magic (-0.29, 49.23%)
Estimated score: 115.97 - 115.67, Total: 231.63
Quality: 91.57%, Team quality: 87.63%, Competitiveness: 99.98%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.53%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.91%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 27.80%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 16.30%
#2: Cleveland Cavaliers (-10.03, 25.41%) at Houston Rockets (10.03, 74.59%)
Estimated score: 109.19 - 119.20, Total: 228.39
Quality: 80.61%, Team quality: 79.78%, Competitiveness: 82.30%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 36.30%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 20.79%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 22.87%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 20.40%
#3: New York Knicks (2.37, 56.24%) at Atlanta Hawks (-2.37, 43.76%)
Estimated score: 115.41 - 113.02, Total: 228.42
Quality: 80.39%, Team quality: 72.47%, Competitiveness: 98.91%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 27.10%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.60%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 22.92%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 20.34%
#4: Milwaukee Bucks (-1.15, 46.97%) at Chicago Bulls (1.15, 53.03%)
Estimated score: 117.17 - 118.29, Total: 235.46
Quality: 49.95%, Team quality: 35.35%, Competitiveness: 99.74%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.65%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.84%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 34.22%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 12.22%
#5: Utah Jazz (-13.07, 19.48%) at San Antonio Spurs (13.07, 80.52%)
Estimated score: 112.50 - 125.58, Total: 238.08
Quality: 38.03%, Team quality: 27.66%, Competitiveness: 71.87%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 42.42%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 17.85%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 38.90%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 9.87%
#6: Indiana Pacers (-13.82, 18.17%) at Miami Heat (13.82, 81.83%)
Estimated score: 108.06 - 121.89, Total: 229.95
Quality: 36.23%, Team quality: 26.23%, Competitiveness: 69.15%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 44.07%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 17.10%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 25.18%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 18.36%
#7: Phoenix Suns (8.86, 72.07%) at New Orleans Pelicans (-8.86, 27.93%)
Estimated score: 117.79 - 108.91, Total: 226.70
Quality: 35.89%, Team quality: 23.20%, Competitiveness: 85.89%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 34.25%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 21.82%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 20.51%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 22.74%
#8: Brooklyn Nets (-14.02, 17.83%) at Minnesota Timberwolves (14.02, 82.17%)
Estimated score: 103.89 - 117.93, Total: 221.82
Quality: 31.22%, Team quality: 21.09%, Competitiveness: 68.42%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 44.52%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 16.89%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 14.55%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 30.33%
#9: Dallas Mavericks (0.12, 50.32%) at Sacramento Kings (-0.12, 49.68%)
Estimated score: 111.00 - 110.87, Total: 221.87
Quality: 25.99%, Team quality: 13.25%, Competitiveness: 100.00%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.52%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.92%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 14.61%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 30.24%
Games on Sunday, December 28, 2025
#1: Golden State Warriors (-2.74, 42.81%) at Toronto Raptors (2.74, 57.19%)
Estimated score: 108.35 - 111.13, Total: 219.47
Quality: 72.23%, Team quality: 61.84%, Competitiveness: 98.56%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 27.29%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.49%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 12.15%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 34.33%
#2: Boston Celtics (3.78, 59.88%) at Portland Trail Blazers (-3.78, 40.12%)
Estimated score: 115.07 - 111.30, Total: 226.37
Quality: 70.77%, Team quality: 60.36%, Competitiveness: 97.26%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 27.98%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.11%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 20.07%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 23.21%
#3: Philadelphia 76ers (-15.08, 16.10%) at Oklahoma City Thunder (15.08, 83.90%)
Estimated score: 105.18 - 120.26, Total: 225.44
Quality: 60.14%, Team quality: 58.08%, Competitiveness: 64.49%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 46.94%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 15.81%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 18.85%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 24.59%
#4: Detroit Pistons (7.44, 68.85%) at Los Angeles Clippers (-7.44, 31.15%)
Estimated score: 115.17 - 107.70, Total: 222.87
Quality: 56.90%, Team quality: 45.29%, Competitiveness: 89.82%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 32.05%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.95%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 15.73%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 28.60%
#5: Sacramento Kings (-11.73, 21.98%) at Los Angeles Lakers (11.73, 78.02%)
Estimated score: 108.35 - 120.06, Total: 228.42
Quality: 34.57%, Team quality: 23.22%, Competitiveness: 76.62%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 39.59%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 19.18%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 22.91%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 20.35%
#6: Memphis Grizzlies (8.56, 71.40%) at Washington Wizards (-8.56, 28.60%)
Estimated score: 121.54 - 112.94, Total: 234.49
Quality: 18.22%, Team quality: 8.35%, Competitiveness: 86.77%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 33.75%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.07%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 32.53%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 13.18%
Games on Monday, December 29, 2025
#1: Denver Nuggets (1.78, 54.68%) at Miami Heat (-1.78, 45.32%)
Estimated score: 120.56 - 118.81, Total: 239.37
Quality: 89.30%, Team quality: 84.65%, Competitiveness: 99.39%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.84%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.74%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 41.27%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 8.85%
#2: Orlando Magic (1.77, 54.65%) at Toronto Raptors (-1.77, 45.35%)
Estimated score: 112.72 - 111.00, Total: 223.72
Quality: 82.55%, Team quality: 75.23%, Competitiveness: 99.40%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.84%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.74%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 16.72%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 27.24%
#3: Cleveland Cavaliers (-2.75, 42.78%) at San Antonio Spurs (2.75, 57.22%)
Estimated score: 113.06 - 115.82, Total: 228.88
Quality: 79.99%, Team quality: 72.06%, Competitiveness: 98.54%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 27.29%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.49%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 23.58%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 19.74%
#4: Atlanta Hawks (-11.85, 21.75%) at Oklahoma City Thunder (11.85, 78.25%)
Estimated score: 106.41 - 118.28, Total: 224.69
Quality: 74.39%, Team quality: 73.49%, Competitiveness: 76.22%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 39.83%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 19.07%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 17.90%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 25.73%
#5: Minnesota Timberwolves (4.33, 61.28%) at Chicago Bulls (-4.33, 38.72%)
Estimated score: 119.63 - 115.27, Total: 234.90
Quality: 63.06%, Team quality: 51.00%, Competitiveness: 96.42%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.44%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.87%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 33.25%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 12.76%
#6: Milwaukee Bucks (1.28, 53.39%) at Charlotte Hornets (-1.28, 46.61%)
Estimated score: 115.02 - 113.73, Total: 228.75
Quality: 43.00%, Team quality: 28.24%, Competitiveness: 99.68%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.69%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.82%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 23.40%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 19.91%
#7: Dallas Mavericks (-6.72, 32.85%) at Portland Trail Blazers (6.72, 67.15%)
Estimated score: 110.25 - 116.98, Total: 227.23
Quality: 39.47%, Team quality: 25.91%, Competitiveness: 91.62%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 31.06%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.47%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 21.23%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 21.99%
#8: New York Knicks (12.90, 80.22%) at New Orleans Pelicans (-12.90, 19.78%)
Estimated score: 120.27 - 107.34, Total: 227.60
Quality: 38.08%, Team quality: 27.60%, Competitiveness: 72.48%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 42.05%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 18.02%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 21.76%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 21.47%
#9: Golden State Warriors (8.40, 71.05%) at Brooklyn Nets (-8.40, 28.95%)
Estimated score: 112.67 - 104.27, Total: 216.94
Quality: 36.22%, Team quality: 23.35%, Competitiveness: 87.22%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 33.50%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.20%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 9.89%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 38.87%
#10: Indiana Pacers (-20.78, 8.77%) at Houston Rockets (20.78, 91.23%)
Estimated score: 101.16 - 121.91, Total: 223.07
Quality: 33.08%, Team quality: 28.77%, Competitiveness: 43.71%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 60.72%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 10.26%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 15.95%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 28.29%
#11: Phoenix Suns (12.92, 80.25%) at Washington Wizards (-12.92, 19.75%)
Estimated score: 122.56 - 109.61, Total: 232.16
Quality: 21.47%, Team quality: 11.69%, Competitiveness: 72.40%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 42.10%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 18.00%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 28.66%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 15.69%
Games on Tuesday, December 30, 2025
#1: Detroit Pistons (0.79, 52.08%) at Los Angeles Lakers (-0.79, 47.92%)
Estimated score: 113.92 - 113.10, Total: 227.02
Quality: 79.85%, Team quality: 71.40%, Competitiveness: 99.88%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.58%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.88%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 20.95%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 22.29%
#2: Philadelphia 76ers (-0.79, 47.92%) at Memphis Grizzlies (0.79, 52.08%)
Estimated score: 114.89 - 115.70, Total: 230.60
Quality: 51.28%, Team quality: 36.75%, Competitiveness: 99.88%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.58%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.88%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 26.17%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 17.55%
#3: Boston Celtics (9.93, 74.37%) at Utah Jazz (-9.93, 25.63%)
Estimated score: 120.26 - 110.35, Total: 230.61
Quality: 45.51%, Team quality: 33.77%, Competitiveness: 82.63%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 36.11%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 20.89%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 26.20%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 17.53%
#4: Sacramento Kings (-5.08, 36.84%) at Los Angeles Clippers (5.08, 63.16%)
Estimated score: 109.61 - 114.66, Total: 224.27
Quality: 27.42%, Team quality: 14.73%, Competitiveness: 95.11%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 29.14%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.49%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 17.38%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 26.38%
Games on Wednesday, December 31, 2025
#1: New York Knicks (-0.15, 49.60%) at San Antonio Spurs (0.15, 50.40%)
Estimated score: 112.73 - 112.89, Total: 225.62
Quality: 85.82%, Team quality: 79.50%, Competitiveness: 100.00%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.52%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.92%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 19.09%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 24.32%
#2: Denver Nuggets (3.86, 60.08%) at Toronto Raptors (-3.86, 39.92%)
Estimated score: 117.31 - 113.49, Total: 230.81
Quality: 84.64%, Team quality: 79.01%, Competitiveness: 97.15%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.04%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.08%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 26.50%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 17.29%
#3: Minnesota Timberwolves (0.05, 50.14%) at Atlanta Hawks (-0.05, 49.86%)
Estimated score: 114.70 - 114.62, Total: 229.32
Quality: 76.20%, Team quality: 66.52%, Competitiveness: 100.00%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 26.52%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.92%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 24.24%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 19.16%
#4: Phoenix Suns (-3.25, 41.48%) at Cleveland Cavaliers (3.25, 58.52%)
Estimated score: 111.56 - 114.80, Total: 226.36
Quality: 74.40%, Team quality: 64.84%, Competitiveness: 97.97%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 27.60%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.32%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 20.05%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 23.24%
#5: Portland Trail Blazers (-14.45, 17.12%) at Oklahoma City Thunder (14.45, 82.88%)
Estimated score: 107.02 - 121.47, Total: 228.49
Quality: 63.06%, Team quality: 61.25%, Competitiveness: 66.83%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 45.49%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 16.46%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 23.01%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 20.26%
#6: Golden State Warriors (4.74, 62.32%) at Charlotte Hornets (-4.74, 37.68%)
Estimated score: 114.02 - 109.29, Total: 223.32
Quality: 50.49%, Team quality: 36.67%, Competitiveness: 95.72%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 28.81%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.66%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 16.24%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 27.88%
#7: Orlando Magic (11.70, 77.97%) at Indiana Pacers (-11.70, 22.03%)
Estimated score: 116.95 - 105.26, Total: 222.21
Quality: 44.12%, Team quality: 33.46%, Competitiveness: 76.72%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 39.54%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 19.21%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 14.98%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 29.68%
#8: New Orleans Pelicans (-8.05, 29.74%) at Chicago Bulls (8.05, 70.26%)
Estimated score: 114.78 - 122.82, Total: 237.60
Quality: 26.65%, Team quality: 14.65%, Competitiveness: 88.19%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 32.96%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.48%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 38.03%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 10.27%
#9: Washington Wizards (-12.77, 20.03%) at Milwaukee Bucks (12.77, 79.97%)
Estimated score: 110.86 - 123.66, Total: 234.52
Quality: 15.48%, Team quality: 7.13%, Competitiveness: 72.96%
Blowout probability (margin >= 17.0 pts): 41.77%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 18.16%
High scoring probability (total >= 244.0 pts): 32.60%
Low scoring probability (total <= 211.0 pts): 13.14%Ratings and predictions will be updated on an approximately weekly basis during the season. I expect the next update will be posted around December 8, 2025 with games played through December 7, 2025.