NBA Data
This page serves as a landing page for data from the current NBA season. I will update it approximately weekly during the season with new ratings and game predictions. New types of analysis will be added as they are developed.
Updated for games played through October 20, 2025. Games from the 2024-25 regular season and postseason are weighted at 50%, and 2025-26 preseason games are weighted at 100%. Changes in the ratings are relative to ratings that do not include preseason games.
Predictive Ratings
Predictive Ratings
Home advantage: 1.81 points
Mean score: 113.42 points
Rank Move Rating Change Team Offense Defense
1 11.22 -1.11 Oklahoma City Thunder 4.05 7.15
2 +1 8.78 +0.34 Boston Celtics 1.86 6.92
3 -1 8.47 -1.05 Cleveland Cavaliers 7.48 1.02
4 +1 4.81 +0.02 Los Angeles Clippers -2.08 6.90
5 +1 4.64 -0.03 Houston Rockets 0.84 3.80
6 -2 4.28 -0.73 Minnesota Timberwolves 0.26 4.02
7 +2 3.75 +0.05 Denver Nuggets 5.51 -1.77
8 +2 3.37 -0.24 Golden State Warriors -0.24 3.61
9 -1 3.16 -0.55 New York Knicks 0.13 3.01
10 +1 2.89 -0.55 Indiana Pacers 3.82 -0.95
11 +1 2.88 +0.42 Milwaukee Bucks 1.49 1.36
12 -5 2.56 -1.58 Memphis Grizzlies 7.06 -4.50
13 2.07 +0.39 Detroit Pistons 1.23 0.84
14 +3 0.38 +0.94 Dallas Mavericks 0.68 -0.32
15 +3 0.11 +0.76 Orlando Magic -7.27 7.36
16 -2 0.07 -1.31 Los Angeles Lakers -1.71 1.80
17 -2 -0.29 -0.76 Sacramento Kings 1.85 -2.14
18 +2 -1.13 +0.82 Chicago Bulls 4.34 -5.49
19 +4 -1.41 +1.32 San Antonio Spurs 1.17 -2.55
20 -4 -1.45 -1.10 Miami Heat -3.66 2.18
Rank Move Rating Change Team Offense Defense
21 -2 -2.00 -0.10 Atlanta Hawks 4.52 -6.53
22 -2.25 +0.40 Phoenix Suns 0.14 -2.36
23 -2 -2.59 -0.02 Portland Trail Blazers -1.92 -0.68
24 -3.45 +0.70 Toronto Raptors -2.08 -1.34
25 +1 -6.61 +0.38 Brooklyn Nets -7.81 1.21
26 -1 -6.62 +0.02 Philadelphia 76ers -4.30 -2.32
27 +2 -7.52 +1.51 Charlotte Hornets -6.68 -0.83
28 -1 -8.19 +0.25 New Orleans Pelicans -2.70 -5.52
29 -1 -8.36 +0.14 Utah Jazz -0.62 -7.73
30 -11.62 +0.72 Washington Wizards -5.38 -6.23 Schedule Strength
Schedule Strength for an Average Team
Home advantage: 1.81 points
Mean score: 113.42 points
Rank Team SOS Future OppRtg Future
1 Oklahoma City Thunder --- .493 (24) --- -0.31 (25)
2 Boston Celtics --- .483 (30) --- -0.66 (30)
3 Cleveland Cavaliers --- .487 (29) --- -0.51 (29)
4 Los Angeles Clippers --- .498 (19) --- -0.10 (20)
5 Houston Rockets --- .493 (25) --- -0.28 (24)
6 Minnesota Timberwolves --- .501 (15) --- 0.03 (15)
7 Denver Nuggets --- .503 (10) --- 0.13 (10)
8 Golden State Warriors --- .503 (11) --- 0.12 (11)
9 New York Knicks --- .488 (27) --- -0.46 (27)
10 Indiana Pacers --- .498 (20) --- -0.09 (19)
11 Milwaukee Bucks --- .488 (28) --- -0.47 (28)
12 Memphis Grizzlies --- .502 (12) --- 0.06 (12)
13 Detroit Pistons --- .491 (26) --- -0.37 (26)
14 Dallas Mavericks --- .508 (6) --- 0.27 (6)
15 Orlando Magic --- .495 (22) --- -0.21 (22)
16 Los Angeles Lakers --- .504 (9) --- 0.16 (8)
17 Sacramento Kings --- .506 (7) --- 0.19 (7)
18 Chicago Bulls --- .501 (13) --- 0.04 (14)
19 San Antonio Spurs --- .511 (5) --- 0.40 (5)
20 Miami Heat --- .498 (21) --- -0.12 (21)
Rank Team SOS Future OppRtg Future
21 Atlanta Hawks --- .494 (23) --- -0.24 (23)
22 Phoenix Suns --- .511 (4) --- 0.41 (4)
23 Portland Trail Blazers --- .515 (3) --- 0.53 (3)
24 Toronto Raptors --- .498 (18) --- -0.08 (18)
25 Brooklyn Nets --- .500 (17) --- -0.04 (17)
26 Philadelphia 76ers --- .505 (8) --- 0.14 (9)
27 Charlotte Hornets --- .501 (14) --- 0.01 (16)
28 New Orleans Pelicans --- .517 (2) --- 0.62 (2)
29 Utah Jazz --- .521 (1) --- 0.77 (1)
30 Washington Wizards --- .501 (16) --- 0.05 (13) Upcoming Game Predictions
Games on Tuesday, October 21, 2025
#1: Houston Rockets (-8.38, 27.69%) at Oklahoma City Thunder (8.38, 72.31%)
Estimated score: 106.21 - 114.57, Total: 220.78
Quality: 86.37%, Team quality: 86.62%, Competitiveness: 85.86%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 28.33%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.20%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 13.16%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 29.35%
#2: Golden State Warriors (1.49, 54.21%) at Los Angeles Lakers (-1.49, 45.79%)
Estimated score: 110.47 - 109.00, Total: 219.47
Quality: 72.86%, Team quality: 62.35%, Competitiveness: 99.52%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.09%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.51%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 11.80%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 31.67%
Games on Wednesday, October 22, 2025
#1: Cleveland Cavaliers (3.50, 59.79%) at New York Knicks (-3.50, 40.21%)
Estimated score: 116.99 - 113.43, Total: 230.42
Quality: 88.72%, Team quality: 84.69%, Competitiveness: 97.37%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 22.20%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.82%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 26.31%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 15.19%
#2: Detroit Pistons (1.40, 53.95%) at Chicago Bulls (-1.40, 46.05%)
Estimated score: 119.23 - 117.83, Total: 237.06
Quality: 65.61%, Team quality: 53.26%, Competitiveness: 99.58%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.06%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.52%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 38.24%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 8.65%
#3: Minnesota Timberwolves (5.06, 63.99%) at Portland Trail Blazers (-5.06, 36.01%)
Estimated score: 113.45 - 108.38, Total: 221.84
Quality: 63.97%, Team quality: 52.61%, Competitiveness: 94.58%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 23.64%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.93%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 14.32%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 27.55%
#4: San Antonio Spurs (-3.59, 39.96%) at Dallas Mavericks (3.59, 60.04%)
Estimated score: 114.01 - 117.56, Total: 231.56
Quality: 57.72%, Team quality: 44.47%, Competitiveness: 97.23%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 22.27%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.78%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 28.23%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 13.88%
#5: Miami Heat (-3.37, 40.56%) at Orlando Magic (3.37, 59.44%)
Estimated score: 101.50 - 104.87, Total: 206.37
Quality: 56.98%, Team quality: 43.54%, Competitiveness: 97.56%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 22.10%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.88%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 3.25%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 57.25%
#6: Sacramento Kings (0.15, 50.42%) at Phoenix Suns (-0.15, 49.58%)
Estimated score: 116.73 - 116.61, Total: 233.34
Quality: 54.81%, Team quality: 40.58%, Competitiveness: 100.00%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 20.85%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.66%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 31.32%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 11.99%
#7: Toronto Raptors (-3.26, 40.88%) at Atlanta Hawks (3.26, 59.12%)
Estimated score: 116.96 - 120.19, Total: 237.15
Quality: 43.86%, Team quality: 29.39%, Competitiveness: 97.72%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 22.01%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.93%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 38.42%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 8.57%
#8: Los Angeles Clippers (11.36, 78.83%) at Utah Jazz (-11.36, 21.17%)
Estimated score: 118.16 - 106.81, Total: 224.97
Quality: 36.05%, Team quality: 24.90%, Competitiveness: 75.59%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 34.17%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 20.05%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 18.19%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 22.54%
#9: Philadelphia 76ers (-17.20, 11.44%) at Boston Celtics (17.20, 88.56%)
Estimated score: 101.29 - 118.50, Total: 219.79
Quality: 34.27%, Team quality: 27.61%, Competitiveness: 52.83%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 48.63%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 13.34%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 12.12%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 31.10%
#10: New Orleans Pelicans (-12.56, 18.84%) at Memphis Grizzlies (12.56, 81.16%)
Estimated score: 114.32 - 126.90, Total: 241.23
Quality: 28.51%, Team quality: 18.05%, Competitiveness: 71.08%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 36.87%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 18.68%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 46.45%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 5.79%
#11: Brooklyn Nets (-0.90, 47.47%) at Charlotte Hornets (0.90, 52.53%)
Estimated score: 105.54 - 106.43, Total: 211.97
Quality: 20.34%, Team quality: 9.18%, Competitiveness: 99.83%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 20.94%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.60%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 5.91%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 46.05%
#12: Washington Wizards (-16.31, 12.66%) at Milwaukee Bucks (16.31, 87.34%)
Estimated score: 105.78 - 122.04, Total: 227.82
Quality: 15.88%, Team quality: 8.43%, Competitiveness: 56.31%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 46.26%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 14.34%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 22.22%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 18.47%
Games on Thursday, October 23, 2025
#1: Oklahoma City Thunder (6.52, 67.76%) at Indiana Pacers (-6.52, 32.24%)
Estimated score: 117.52 - 110.99, Total: 228.51
Quality: 87.79%, Team quality: 86.14%, Competitiveness: 91.18%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 25.44%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.86%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 23.28%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 17.56%
#2: Denver Nuggets (-1.42, 45.99%) at Golden State Warriors (1.42, 54.01%)
Estimated score: 114.42 - 115.85, Total: 230.27
Quality: 82.08%, Team quality: 74.53%, Competitiveness: 99.56%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.07%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.52%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 26.07%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 15.37%
Games on Friday, October 24, 2025
#1: Boston Celtics (3.81, 60.63%) at New York Knicks (-3.81, 39.37%)
Estimated score: 111.37 - 107.53, Total: 218.90
Quality: 88.84%, Team quality: 85.06%, Competitiveness: 96.89%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 22.44%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.67%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 11.24%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 32.71%
#2: Detroit Pistons (-4.38, 37.83%) at Houston Rockets (4.38, 62.17%)
Estimated score: 109.94 - 114.33, Total: 224.27
Quality: 78.27%, Team quality: 70.70%, Competitiveness: 95.92%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 22.95%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.36%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 17.27%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 23.62%
#3: Minnesota Timberwolves (2.40, 56.74%) at Los Angeles Lakers (-2.40, 43.26%)
Estimated score: 110.97 - 108.59, Total: 219.56
Quality: 74.70%, Team quality: 64.97%, Competitiveness: 98.76%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.48%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.26%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 11.89%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 31.51%
#4: Golden State Warriors (4.16, 61.57%) at Portland Trail Blazers (-4.16, 38.43%)
Estimated score: 112.95 - 108.79, Total: 221.75
Quality: 62.61%, Team quality: 50.48%, Competitiveness: 96.31%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 22.74%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.48%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 14.22%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 27.71%
#5: Miami Heat (-5.82, 34.02%) at Memphis Grizzlies (5.82, 65.98%)
Estimated score: 113.36 - 119.21, Total: 232.57
Quality: 61.01%, Team quality: 49.44%, Competitiveness: 92.90%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 24.53%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.40%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 29.96%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 12.79%
#6: Phoenix Suns (-8.86, 26.57%) at Los Angeles Clippers (8.86, 73.43%)
Estimated score: 105.76 - 114.60, Total: 220.36
Quality: 58.53%, Team quality: 48.76%, Competitiveness: 84.32%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 29.18%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.72%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 12.71%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 30.09%
#7: Milwaukee Bucks (4.53, 62.58%) at Toronto Raptors (-4.53, 37.42%)
Estimated score: 115.35 - 110.88, Total: 226.23
Quality: 57.99%, Team quality: 45.15%, Competitiveness: 95.63%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 23.10%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.27%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 19.91%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 20.68%
#8: Atlanta Hawks (-3.93, 39.05%) at Orlando Magic (3.93, 60.95%)
Estimated score: 109.68 - 113.58, Total: 223.27
Quality: 54.61%, Team quality: 41.04%, Competitiveness: 96.70%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 22.54%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.61%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 16.01%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 25.20%
#9: Cleveland Cavaliers (13.28, 82.48%) at Brooklyn Nets (-13.28, 17.52%)
Estimated score: 118.79 - 105.49, Total: 224.28
Quality: 44.69%, Team quality: 36.16%, Competitiveness: 68.28%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 38.57%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 17.85%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 17.29%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 23.60%
#10: San Antonio Spurs (4.97, 63.76%) at New Orleans Pelicans (-4.97, 36.24%)
Estimated score: 119.20 - 114.18, Total: 233.39
Quality: 29.99%, Team quality: 16.87%, Competitiveness: 94.77%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 23.55%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.99%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 31.41%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 11.94%
#11: Utah Jazz (-9.88, 24.30%) at Sacramento Kings (9.88, 75.70%)
Estimated score: 114.04 - 123.91, Total: 237.95
Quality: 26.24%, Team quality: 14.94%, Competitiveness: 80.93%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 31.09%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 21.68%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 39.96%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 7.96%
#12: Washington Wizards (-13.81, 16.60%) at Dallas Mavericks (13.81, 83.40%)
Estimated score: 107.45 - 121.23, Total: 228.68
Quality: 15.43%, Team quality: 7.45%, Competitiveness: 66.21%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 39.86%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 17.23%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 23.54%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 17.34%
Games on Saturday, October 25, 2025
#1: Indiana Pacers (-1.48, 45.83%) at Memphis Grizzlies (1.48, 54.17%)
Estimated score: 120.84 - 122.34, Total: 243.18
Quality: 78.15%, Team quality: 69.25%, Competitiveness: 99.53%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.09%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.51%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 50.35%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 4.74%
#2: Oklahoma City Thunder (11.41, 78.94%) at Atlanta Hawks (-11.41, 21.06%)
Estimated score: 123.10 - 111.70, Total: 234.80
Quality: 67.46%, Team quality: 63.81%, Competitiveness: 75.40%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 34.29%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 19.99%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 33.98%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 10.58%
#3: Chicago Bulls (-3.05, 41.44%) at Orlando Magic (3.05, 58.56%)
Estimated score: 109.50 - 112.55, Total: 222.04
Quality: 58.31%, Team quality: 44.97%, Competitiveness: 97.99%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.87%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.02%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 14.56%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 27.21%
#4: Phoenix Suns (-7.81, 29.05%) at Denver Nuggets (7.81, 70.95%)
Estimated score: 114.43 - 122.20, Total: 236.62
Quality: 58.12%, Team quality: 47.35%, Competitiveness: 87.60%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 27.38%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.74%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 37.40%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 9.00%
#5: Charlotte Hornets (-2.72, 42.37%) at Philadelphia 76ers (2.72, 57.63%)
Estimated score: 108.15 - 110.85, Total: 219.00
Quality: 19.92%, Team quality: 8.96%, Competitiveness: 98.41%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.66%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.15%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 11.34%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 32.51%
Games on Sunday, October 26, 2025
#1: Boston Celtics (4.90, 63.56%) at Detroit Pistons (-4.90, 36.44%)
Estimated score: 113.54 - 108.63, Total: 222.16
Quality: 85.68%, Team quality: 81.41%, Competitiveness: 94.92%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 23.47%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.04%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 14.70%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 27.01%
#2: Milwaukee Bucks (-7.39, 30.06%) at Cleveland Cavaliers (7.39, 69.94%)
Estimated score: 112.98 - 120.45, Total: 233.43
Quality: 81.96%, Team quality: 78.74%, Competitiveness: 88.81%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 26.72%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.12%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 31.48%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 11.90%
#3: Indiana Pacers (-3.19, 41.06%) at Minnesota Timberwolves (3.19, 58.94%)
Estimated score: 112.31 - 115.53, Total: 227.84
Quality: 80.79%, Team quality: 73.42%, Competitiveness: 97.81%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.97%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.96%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 22.26%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 18.44%
#4: New York Knicks (2.81, 57.88%) at Miami Heat (-2.81, 42.12%)
Estimated score: 110.46 - 107.66, Total: 218.12
Quality: 66.93%, Team quality: 55.23%, Competitiveness: 98.30%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.72%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.12%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 10.51%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 34.13%
#5: Los Angeles Lakers (-1.44, 45.93%) at Sacramento Kings (1.44, 54.07%)
Estimated score: 112.95 - 114.37, Total: 227.32
Quality: 61.97%, Team quality: 48.90%, Competitiveness: 99.55%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.08%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.52%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 21.49%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 19.15%
#6: Portland Trail Blazers (-9.21, 25.78%) at Los Angeles Clippers (9.21, 74.22%)
Estimated score: 103.70 - 112.92, Total: 216.62
Quality: 56.73%, Team quality: 46.85%, Competitiveness: 83.19%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 29.81%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.37%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 9.20%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 36.94%
#7: Toronto Raptors (-5.64, 34.49%) at Dallas Mavericks (5.64, 65.51%)
Estimated score: 110.75 - 116.34, Total: 227.09
Quality: 48.59%, Team quality: 35.07%, Competitiveness: 93.32%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 24.31%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.54%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 21.15%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 19.46%
#8: Brooklyn Nets (-7.01, 30.99%) at San Antonio Spurs (7.01, 69.01%)
Estimated score: 107.26 - 114.29, Total: 221.55
Quality: 32.01%, Team quality: 19.11%, Competitiveness: 89.86%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 26.15%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.45%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 14.00%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 28.04%
#9: Charlotte Hornets (2.29, 56.44%) at Washington Wizards (-2.29, 43.56%)
Estimated score: 112.07 - 109.77, Total: 221.84
Quality: 10.73%, Team quality: 3.54%, Competitiveness: 98.87%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.43%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.30%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 14.32%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 27.55%
Games on Monday, October 27, 2025
#1: Cleveland Cavaliers (4.59, 62.74%) at Detroit Pistons (-4.59, 37.26%)
Estimated score: 119.16 - 114.52, Total: 233.69
Quality: 85.62%, Team quality: 81.05%, Competitiveness: 95.53%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 23.15%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.23%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 31.95%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 11.64%
#2: Denver Nuggets (-2.33, 43.45%) at Minnesota Timberwolves (2.33, 56.55%)
Estimated score: 114.00 - 116.35, Total: 230.36
Quality: 83.43%, Team quality: 76.66%, Competitiveness: 98.83%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.45%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.28%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 26.21%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 15.26%
#3: Oklahoma City Thunder (9.03, 73.81%) at Dallas Mavericks (-9.03, 26.19%)
Estimated score: 116.89 - 107.85, Total: 224.74
Quality: 78.60%, Team quality: 76.13%, Competitiveness: 83.78%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 29.49%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.55%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 17.88%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 22.90%
#4: Memphis Grizzlies (-2.61, 42.65%) at Golden State Warriors (2.61, 57.35%)
Estimated score: 115.97 - 118.59, Total: 234.55
Quality: 78.51%, Team quality: 70.08%, Competitiveness: 98.52%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.60%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.19%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 33.53%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 10.81%
#5: Portland Trail Blazers (-4.47, 37.58%) at Los Angeles Lakers (4.47, 62.42%)
Estimated score: 108.80 - 113.29, Total: 222.09
Quality: 51.96%, Team quality: 38.27%, Competitiveness: 95.74%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 23.04%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.30%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 14.61%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 27.13%
#6: Atlanta Hawks (-2.68, 42.47%) at Chicago Bulls (2.68, 57.53%)
Estimated score: 122.53 - 125.19, Total: 247.73
Quality: 51.81%, Team quality: 37.59%, Competitiveness: 98.45%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.64%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.16%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 59.41%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 2.87%
#7: Toronto Raptors (-3.85, 39.24%) at San Antonio Spurs (3.85, 60.76%)
Estimated score: 112.99 - 116.84, Total: 229.83
Quality: 45.22%, Team quality: 30.91%, Competitiveness: 96.82%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 22.48%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.65%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 25.35%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 15.90%
#8: Orlando Magic (4.92, 63.62%) at Philadelphia 76ers (-4.92, 36.38%)
Estimated score: 107.56 - 102.66, Total: 210.23
Quality: 38.99%, Team quality: 25.00%, Competitiveness: 94.87%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 23.49%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.03%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 4.94%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 49.54%
#9: Boston Celtics (15.16, 85.62%) at New Orleans Pelicans (-15.16, 14.38%)
Estimated score: 119.89 - 104.70, Total: 224.60
Quality: 36.48%, Team quality: 28.24%, Competitiveness: 60.87%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 43.26%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 15.66%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 17.70%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 23.11%
#10: Brooklyn Nets (-13.07, 17.91%) at Houston Rockets (13.07, 82.09%)
Estimated score: 100.90 - 113.96, Total: 214.86
Quality: 35.95%, Team quality: 25.93%, Competitiveness: 69.11%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 38.06%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 18.09%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 7.82%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 40.32%
#11: Phoenix Suns (4.31, 61.98%) at Utah Jazz (-4.31, 38.02%)
Estimated score: 120.38 - 116.07, Total: 236.45
Quality: 27.79%, Team quality: 14.95%, Competitiveness: 96.05%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 22.88%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.40%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 37.08%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 9.14%
Games on Tuesday, October 28, 2025
#1: Los Angeles Clippers (-0.37, 48.96%) at Golden State Warriors (0.37, 51.04%)
Estimated score: 106.82 - 107.18, Total: 214.00
Quality: 84.63%, Team quality: 77.87%, Competitiveness: 99.97%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 20.86%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.65%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 7.21%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 42.01%
#2: New York Knicks (-1.53, 45.69%) at Milwaukee Bucks (1.53, 54.31%)
Estimated score: 111.29 - 112.80, Total: 224.09
Quality: 79.56%, Team quality: 71.14%, Competitiveness: 99.49%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.11%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.50%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 17.05%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 23.89%
#3: Sacramento Kings (-13.32, 17.46%) at Oklahoma City Thunder (13.32, 82.54%)
Estimated score: 107.22 - 120.52, Total: 227.74
Quality: 65.19%, Team quality: 63.76%, Competitiveness: 68.13%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 38.66%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 17.80%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 22.11%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 18.58%
#4: Charlotte Hornets (-7.88, 28.88%) at Miami Heat (7.88, 71.12%)
Estimated score: 103.65 - 111.49, Total: 215.15
Quality: 28.33%, Team quality: 16.13%, Competitiveness: 87.38%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 27.50%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.67%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 8.03%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 39.77%
#5: Philadelphia 76ers (3.20, 58.96%) at Washington Wizards (-3.20, 41.04%)
Estimated score: 114.45 - 111.26, Total: 225.70
Quality: 11.94%, Team quality: 4.17%, Competitiveness: 97.80%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.97%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.96%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 19.18%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 21.45%
Games on Wednesday, October 29, 2025
#1: Cleveland Cavaliers (-2.12, 44.04%) at Boston Celtics (2.12, 55.96%)
Estimated score: 113.07 - 115.16, Total: 228.23
Quality: 95.90%, Team quality: 94.38%, Competitiveness: 99.03%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.34%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.35%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 22.85%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 17.92%
#2: Indiana Pacers (0.71, 52.00%) at Dallas Mavericks (-0.71, 48.00%)
Estimated score: 116.65 - 115.95, Total: 232.60
Quality: 72.68%, Team quality: 62.00%, Competitiveness: 99.89%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 20.90%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.63%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 30.02%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 12.75%
#3: Los Angeles Lakers (-6.01, 33.53%) at Minnesota Timberwolves (6.01, 66.47%)
Estimated score: 106.78 - 112.78, Total: 219.56
Quality: 69.66%, Team quality: 60.47%, Competitiveness: 92.45%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 24.77%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.26%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 11.89%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 31.51%
#4: Orlando Magic (-3.77, 39.48%) at Detroit Pistons (3.77, 60.52%)
Estimated score: 104.41 - 108.19, Total: 212.60
Quality: 67.29%, Team quality: 56.05%, Competitiveness: 96.96%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 22.41%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.69%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 6.29%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 44.79%
#5: Memphis Grizzlies (3.00, 58.43%) at Phoenix Suns (-3.00, 41.57%)
Estimated score: 121.94 - 118.97, Total: 240.91
Quality: 62.52%, Team quality: 49.93%, Competitiveness: 98.06%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.84%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.04%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 45.80%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 5.98%
#6: Houston Rockets (6.29, 67.19%) at Toronto Raptors (-6.29, 32.81%)
Estimated score: 114.70 - 108.43, Total: 223.14
Quality: 60.37%, Team quality: 48.97%, Competitiveness: 91.76%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 25.14%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.04%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 15.86%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 25.41%
#7: Sacramento Kings (-0.97, 47.27%) at Chicago Bulls (0.97, 52.73%)
Estimated score: 119.86 - 120.81, Total: 240.67
Quality: 58.31%, Team quality: 44.57%, Competitiveness: 99.80%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 20.95%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.59%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 45.33%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 6.12%
#8: Atlanta Hawks (2.80, 57.87%) at Brooklyn Nets (-2.80, 42.13%)
Estimated score: 115.83 - 113.04, Total: 228.88
Quality: 34.41%, Team quality: 20.36%, Competitiveness: 98.31%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.71%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.12%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 23.84%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 17.09%
#9: New Orleans Pelicans (-13.75, 16.70%) at Denver Nuggets (13.75, 83.30%)
Estimated score: 111.59 - 125.35, Total: 236.94
Quality: 28.68%, Team quality: 18.85%, Competitiveness: 66.44%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 39.71%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 17.30%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 38.02%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 8.74%
#10: Portland Trail Blazers (3.96, 61.04%) at Utah Jazz (-3.96, 38.96%)
Estimated score: 118.33 - 114.38, Total: 232.71
Quality: 27.11%, Team quality: 14.36%, Competitiveness: 96.65%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 22.57%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.59%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 30.22%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 12.63%
Games on Thursday, October 30, 2025
#1: Golden State Warriors (-1.32, 46.27%) at Milwaukee Bucks (1.32, 53.73%)
Estimated score: 110.92 - 112.20, Total: 223.11
Quality: 80.15%, Team quality: 71.89%, Competitiveness: 99.62%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.04%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.54%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 15.83%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 25.45%
#2: Miami Heat (-1.85, 44.78%) at San Antonio Spurs (1.85, 55.22%)
Estimated score: 111.41 - 113.31, Total: 224.73
Quality: 53.26%, Team quality: 39.02%, Competitiveness: 99.26%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.23%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.42%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 17.87%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 22.92%
#3: Orlando Magic (5.83, 66.01%) at Charlotte Hornets (-5.83, 33.99%)
Estimated score: 106.08 - 100.28, Total: 206.36
Quality: 35.24%, Team quality: 21.71%, Competitiveness: 92.88%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 24.54%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.40%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 3.25%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 57.27%
#4: Washington Wizards (-24.64, 4.44%) at Oklahoma City Thunder (24.64, 95.56%)
Estimated score: 99.98 - 124.61, Total: 224.59
Quality: 13.62%, Team quality: 9.60%, Competitiveness: 27.39%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 68.32%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 6.41%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 17.69%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 23.12%
Games on Friday, October 31, 2025
#1: New York Knicks (2.49, 56.99%) at Chicago Bulls (-2.49, 43.01%)
Estimated score: 118.14 - 115.66, Total: 233.79
Quality: 68.16%, Team quality: 56.65%, Competitiveness: 98.66%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.53%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.23%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 32.14%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 11.54%
#2: Los Angeles Lakers (-4.30, 38.05%) at Memphis Grizzlies (4.30, 61.95%)
Estimated score: 115.31 - 119.58, Total: 234.89
Quality: 67.86%, Team quality: 57.04%, Competitiveness: 96.06%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 22.87%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.40%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 34.15%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 10.50%
#3: Denver Nuggets (4.54, 62.61%) at Portland Trail Blazers (-4.54, 37.39%)
Estimated score: 118.71 - 114.18, Total: 232.88
Quality: 63.23%, Team quality: 51.42%, Competitiveness: 95.62%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 23.10%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.26%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 30.52%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 12.46%
#4: Atlanta Hawks (-6.70, 31.77%) at Indiana Pacers (6.70, 68.23%)
Estimated score: 117.99 - 124.67, Total: 242.66
Quality: 58.69%, Team quality: 47.21%, Competitiveness: 90.70%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 25.70%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.71%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 49.32%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 5.00%
#5: Toronto Raptors (-13.73, 16.73%) at Cleveland Cavaliers (13.73, 83.27%)
Estimated score: 109.41 - 123.15, Total: 232.56
Quality: 50.92%, Team quality: 44.55%, Competitiveness: 66.50%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 39.67%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 17.32%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 29.94%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 12.80%
#6: Boston Celtics (13.59, 83.02%) at Philadelphia 76ers (-13.59, 16.98%)
Estimated score: 116.69 - 103.10, Total: 219.79
Quality: 44.55%, Team quality: 36.31%, Competitiveness: 67.06%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 39.32%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 17.49%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 12.12%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 31.10%
#7: New Orleans Pelicans (-14.80, 14.94%) at Los Angeles Clippers (14.80, 85.06%)
Estimated score: 102.92 - 117.76, Total: 220.68
Quality: 28.63%, Team quality: 19.41%, Competitiveness: 62.28%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 42.35%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 16.08%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 13.05%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 29.53%
#8: Utah Jazz (-7.92, 28.79%) at Phoenix Suns (7.92, 71.21%)
Estimated score: 114.26 - 122.19, Total: 236.45
Quality: 24.27%, Team quality: 12.80%, Competitiveness: 87.27%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 27.56%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.64%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 37.08%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 9.14%
Games on Saturday, November 1, 2025
#1: Houston Rockets (-5.94, 33.71%) at Boston Celtics (5.94, 66.29%)
Estimated score: 106.44 - 112.38, Total: 218.81
Quality: 87.88%, Team quality: 85.61%, Competitiveness: 92.61%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 24.68%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.31%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 11.16%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 32.85%
#2: Golden State Warriors (-1.33, 46.25%) at Indiana Pacers (1.33, 53.75%)
Estimated score: 113.22 - 114.53, Total: 227.75
Quality: 80.17%, Team quality: 71.91%, Competitiveness: 99.62%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.04%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.54%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 22.13%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 18.56%
#3: Dallas Mavericks (-3.50, 40.20%) at Detroit Pistons (3.50, 59.80%)
Estimated score: 112.36 - 115.87, Total: 228.22
Quality: 68.37%, Team quality: 57.29%, Competitiveness: 97.37%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 22.20%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.82%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 22.84%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 17.94%
#4: Sacramento Kings (-4.98, 36.21%) at Milwaukee Bucks (4.98, 63.79%)
Estimated score: 113.01 - 117.95, Total: 230.97
Quality: 66.70%, Team quality: 55.97%, Competitiveness: 94.74%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 23.56%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.99%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 27.22%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 14.55%
#5: Minnesota Timberwolves (9.99, 75.96%) at Charlotte Hornets (-9.99, 24.04%)
Estimated score: 113.61 - 103.62, Total: 217.22
Quality: 39.87%, Team quality: 28.06%, Competitiveness: 80.52%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 31.32%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 21.55%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 9.71%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 35.80%
#6: Orlando Magic (9.93, 75.82%) at Washington Wizards (-9.93, 24.18%)
Estimated score: 111.48 - 101.58, Total: 213.06
Quality: 19.88%, Team quality: 9.87%, Competitiveness: 80.75%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 31.19%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 21.62%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 6.58%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 43.87%
Games on Sunday, November 2, 2025
#1: Chicago Bulls (-6.10, 33.30%) at New York Knicks (6.10, 66.70%)
Estimated score: 113.85 - 119.94, Total: 233.79
Quality: 63.15%, Team quality: 52.26%, Competitiveness: 92.23%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 24.89%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.19%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 32.14%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 11.54%
#2: Atlanta Hawks (-12.28, 19.36%) at Cleveland Cavaliers (12.28, 80.64%)
Estimated score: 116.02 - 128.33, Total: 244.35
Quality: 58.74%, Team quality: 53.01%, Competitiveness: 72.13%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 36.23%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 19.00%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 52.71%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 4.18%
#3: Memphis Grizzlies (4.21, 61.72%) at Toronto Raptors (-4.21, 38.28%)
Estimated score: 120.92 - 116.74, Total: 237.67
Quality: 57.41%, Team quality: 44.35%, Competitiveness: 96.22%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 22.79%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.45%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 39.41%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 8.17%
#4: Miami Heat (-3.33, 40.68%) at Los Angeles Lakers (3.33, 59.32%)
Estimated score: 107.05 - 110.43, Total: 217.48
Quality: 56.89%, Team quality: 43.43%, Competitiveness: 97.62%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 22.07%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.90%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 9.94%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 35.31%
#5: San Antonio Spurs (-0.97, 47.27%) at Phoenix Suns (0.97, 52.73%)
Estimated score: 116.05 - 117.02, Total: 233.07
Quality: 51.01%, Team quality: 36.47%, Competitiveness: 99.80%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 20.95%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.59%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 30.84%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 12.27%
#6: New Orleans Pelicans (-21.21, 7.02%) at Oklahoma City Thunder (21.21, 92.98%)
Estimated score: 102.67 - 123.89, Total: 226.56
Quality: 25.47%, Team quality: 20.83%, Competitiveness: 38.10%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 59.44%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 9.25%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 20.39%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 20.21%
#7: Philadelphia 76ers (-1.81, 44.90%) at Brooklyn Nets (1.81, 55.10%)
Estimated score: 107.01 - 108.83, Total: 215.84
Quality: 22.31%, Team quality: 10.58%, Competitiveness: 99.29%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.21%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.43%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 8.57%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 38.44%
#8: Utah Jazz (-2.64, 42.57%) at Charlotte Hornets (2.64, 57.43%)
Estimated score: 112.73 - 115.37, Total: 228.10
Quality: 16.27%, Team quality: 6.61%, Competitiveness: 98.49%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.62%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.18%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 22.65%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 18.10%
Games on Monday, November 3, 2025
#1: Milwaukee Bucks (-1.81, 44.89%) at Indiana Pacers (1.81, 55.11%)
Estimated score: 114.95 - 116.78, Total: 231.74
Quality: 78.74%, Team quality: 70.13%, Competitiveness: 99.29%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.21%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.43%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 28.53%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 13.68%
#2: Detroit Pistons (-2.30, 43.54%) at Memphis Grizzlies (2.30, 56.46%)
Estimated score: 118.25 - 120.55, Total: 238.80
Quality: 75.54%, Team quality: 66.03%, Competitiveness: 98.86%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 21.43%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.30%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 41.62%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 7.35%
#3: Dallas Mavericks (-6.07, 33.37%) at Houston Rockets (6.07, 66.63%)
Estimated score: 109.39 - 115.49, Total: 224.87
Quality: 71.28%, Team quality: 62.64%, Competitiveness: 92.30%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 24.85%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.21%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 18.06%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 22.69%
#4: Sacramento Kings (-5.85, 33.94%) at Denver Nuggets (5.85, 66.06%)
Estimated score: 116.14 - 121.98, Total: 238.12
Quality: 67.60%, Team quality: 57.69%, Competitiveness: 92.82%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 24.57%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 25.38%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 40.29%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 7.84%
#5: Miami Heat (-8.07, 28.44%) at Los Angeles Clippers (8.07, 71.56%)
Estimated score: 101.96 - 110.06, Total: 212.02
Quality: 62.60%, Team quality: 53.16%, Competitiveness: 86.82%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 27.80%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 23.50%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 5.93%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 45.95%
#6: Los Angeles Lakers (0.86, 52.43%) at Portland Trail Blazers (-0.86, 47.57%)
Estimated score: 111.48 - 110.60, Total: 222.09
Quality: 54.77%, Team quality: 40.56%, Competitiveness: 99.84%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 20.93%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.61%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 14.61%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 27.13%
#7: Minnesota Timberwolves (9.08, 73.93%) at Brooklyn Nets (-9.08, 26.07%)
Estimated score: 111.57 - 102.49, Total: 214.06
Quality: 44.36%, Team quality: 32.32%, Competitiveness: 83.61%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 29.58%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 22.50%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 7.25%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 41.90%
#8: Utah Jazz (-18.95, 9.31%) at Boston Celtics (18.95, 90.69%)
Estimated score: 104.97 - 123.91, Total: 228.89
Quality: 26.33%, Team quality: 19.88%, Competitiveness: 46.19%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 53.34%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 11.47%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 23.86%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 17.07%
#9: Washington Wizards (-16.59, 12.27%) at New York Knicks (16.59, 87.73%)
Estimated score: 104.13 - 120.68, Total: 224.81
Quality: 15.88%, Team quality: 8.52%, Competitiveness: 55.22%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 47.00%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 14.03%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 17.98%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 22.79%
Games on Tuesday, November 4, 2025
#1: Oklahoma City Thunder (4.60, 62.77%) at Los Angeles Clippers (-4.60, 37.23%)
Estimated score: 109.67 - 105.09, Total: 214.76
Quality: 92.76%, Team quality: 91.42%, Competitiveness: 95.50%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 23.16%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.23%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 7.75%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 40.52%
#2: Milwaukee Bucks (4.53, 62.58%) at Toronto Raptors (-4.53, 37.42%)
Estimated score: 115.35 - 110.88, Total: 226.23
Quality: 57.99%, Team quality: 45.15%, Competitiveness: 95.63%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 23.10%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 26.27%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 19.91%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 20.68%
#3: Phoenix Suns (-7.43, 29.98%) at Golden State Warriors (7.43, 70.02%)
Estimated score: 109.04 - 116.44, Total: 225.48
Quality: 57.88%, Team quality: 46.75%, Competitiveness: 88.71%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 26.77%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.09%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 18.88%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 21.77%
#4: Orlando Magic (0.31, 50.88%) at Atlanta Hawks (-0.31, 49.12%)
Estimated score: 111.78 - 111.49, Total: 223.27
Quality: 56.92%, Team quality: 42.95%, Competitiveness: 99.98%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 20.86%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.65%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 16.01%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 25.20%
#5: Philadelphia 76ers (-7.29, 30.31%) at Chicago Bulls (7.29, 69.69%)
Estimated score: 113.71 - 120.98, Total: 234.69
Quality: 32.39%, Team quality: 19.53%, Competitiveness: 89.09%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 26.57%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 24.21%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 33.77%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 10.69%
#6: Charlotte Hornets (-1.15, 46.77%) at New Orleans Pelicans (1.15, 53.23%)
Estimated score: 111.35 - 112.46, Total: 223.81
Quality: 16.92%, Team quality: 6.97%, Competitiveness: 99.71%
Blowout probability (margin >= 18.0 pts): 20.99%
Close game probability (margin <= 5.0 pts): 27.57%
High scoring probability (total >= 243.0 pts): 16.69%
Low scoring probability (total <= 210.0 pts): 24.34%Ratings and predictions will be updated on an approximately weekly basis during the season. I expect the next update will be posted around October 27, 2025 with games played through October 26, 2025.